Vancouver CanucksVAN 2–6 Final Utah MammothUTA

Monday, February 2, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Vancouver CanucksVAN	1	1	0	2	24
Utah MammothUTA	2	3	1	6	19

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:34	UTA	Nick Schmaltz (20) John Marino (22), Barrett Hayton (13) · wrist xG 0.06	0–1 ▶
7:04	VAN	Liam Ohgren (4) Conor Garland (16), Teddy Blueger (1) · snap xG 0.23	1–1 ▶
7:37	UTA	Nick Schmaltz (21) Sean Durzi (14) · snap xG 0.14	1–2 ▶
2nd Period
8:45	UTA	Mikhail Sergachev (9)PP Nick Schmaltz (29), Dylan Guenther (22) · slap xG 0.04	1–3 ▶
12:16	UTA	Lawson Crouse (14) John Marino (23), Clayton Keller (35) · wrist xG 0.16	1–4 ▶
16:05	UTA	JJ Peterka (20) Kailer Yamamoto (8), John Marino (24) · slap xG 0.10	1–5 ▶
18:49	VAN	Teddy Blueger (5) Conor Garland (17), Marcus Pettersson (10) · snap xG 0.18	2–5 ▶
3rd Period
12:22	UTA	Nick Schmaltz (22) Clayton Keller (36), Lawson Crouse (14) · wrist xG 0.14	2–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VAN 52%Deserve to win48% UTA

VAN		UTA
2.37	Expected goals	2.28
2	Goals (no shootout)	6
2.01	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.08
44	Shot attempts	46
34	Unblocked attempts	34
24	Shots on goal	19

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:49	UTA	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · UTA takes the lead, 61–39% VAN had led since 3:02 of the 1st, by as much as 69%
2nd Period
12:16	VAN	Goalie	Goalie · Lankinen −2.5 goals saved 4 goals on 1.45 xG, 13 shots on goal
3rd Period
6:10	VAN	No shift	No shift · Chytil, 19:01 on the bench No shift after 16:05 of the 2nd; 11 shifts (7:36) before that
6:39	VAN	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · VAN takes the lead, 60–40% UTA had led since 14:49 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
6:40	VAN	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.14–0.03 In xG over 10 minutes, 16:40 of the 2nd to 6:40 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
12:22	VAN	Goalie	Goalie · Lankinen −4.1 goals saved 6 goals on 1.94 xG, 18 shots on goal

Shot map

VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vancouver Canucks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
91	Evander Kane	0	0	0	-1	6	0.18	4	0	18:44
83	Conor Garland	0	2	2	+1	3	0.08	0	1	18:37
74	Jake DeBrusk	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	0	0	17:58
92	Liam Ohgren	1	0	1	+1	3	0.45	0	0	17:53
73	Teddy Blueger	1	1	2	+2	2	0.31	4	0	16:50
18	Drew O'Connor	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	1	0	15:56
40	Elias Pettersson	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	0	1	15:49
64	David Kampf	0	0	0	-2	3	0.14	1	1	15:17
63	Max Sasson	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	14:21
94	Linus Karlsson	0	0	0	-3	3	0.09	0	0	13:52
88	Jonathan Lekkerimäki	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	12:03
77	Filip Chytil	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	0	0	07:36
Defense
57	Tyler Myers	0	0	0	-1	4	0.10	0	0	20:58
17	Filip Hronek	0	0	0	-2	4	0.14	1	1	20:49
25	Elias Pettersson	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	4	1	18:45
26	Marcus Pettersson	0	1	1	+1	5	0.23	0	3	17:59
5	Tom Willander	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	17:59
7	Pierre-Olivier Joseph	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	16:18

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Kevin Lankinen	19	6	13	.684	2.28	-3.72

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
8	Nick Schmaltz	3	1	4	+4	5	0.40	0	2	19:34
67	Lawson Crouse	1	1	2	+3	3	0.31	3	0	18:35
10	JJ Peterka	1	0	1	+1	6	0.35	0	0	18:14
27	Barrett Hayton	0	1	1	+2	1	0.13	2	1	16:27
9	Clayton Keller	0	2	2	+3	7	0.39	0	0	15:44
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	15:05
22	Jack McBain	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	0	14:38
56	Kailer Yamamoto	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	0	1	14:21
11	Dylan Guenther	0	1	1	-2	4	0.24	0	0	12:35
53	Michael Carcone	0	0	0	-2	3	0.06	2	0	12:08
13	Brandon Tanev	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	1	0	08:48
38	Liam O'Brien	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	0	08:29
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	1	0	1	+2	3	0.04	0	0	23:50
6	John Marino	0	3	3	+4	2	0.00	0	1	21:50
88	Nate Schmidt	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	2	20:07
28	Ian Cole	0	0	0	-2	2	0.00	0	2	19:11
5	Sean Durzi	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0	0	16:57
57	Nick DeSimone	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	16:00

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Karel Vejmelka	24	2	22	.917	2.37	+0.37

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vancouver Canucks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
8 Conor Garland R	+2.57	+1.40	+0.05	+1.09	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	18:37
53 Teddy Blueger C	+2.39	+1.30	+0.20	+0.90	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:50
92 Liam Ohgren L	+1.60	+0.75	+0.29	+0.60	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	17:53
29 Marcus Pettersson D	+1.34	+0.55	+0.15	+0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	17:59
74 Jake DeBrusk L	+0.21	0.00	+0.15	+0.05	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	17:58
18 Drew O'Connor L	+0.16	0.00	+0.10	+0.03	0.00	-0.01	+0.04	—	15:56
63 Max Sasson C	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.11	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	14:21
17 Filip Hronek D	+0.07	0.00	+0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	20:49
40 Elias Pettersson C	-0.30	0.00	+0.12	-0.58	+0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	15:49
5 Tom Willander D	-0.31	0.00	0.00	-0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:59
91 Evander Kane L	-0.33	0.00	+0.12	-0.55	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	18:44
57 Tyler Myers D	-0.34	0.00	+0.06	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	20:58
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D	-0.39	0.00	+0.01	-0.38	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:18
25 Elias Pettersson D	-0.39	0.00	+0.02	-0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:45
23 Jonathan Lekkerimäki R	-0.41	0.00	0.00	-0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	12:03
64 David Kampf C	-0.75	0.00	+0.09	-0.74	-0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	15:17
94 Linus Karlsson C	-0.81	0.00	+0.06	-0.87	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:52
72 Filip Chytil C	-1.11	0.00	+0.01	-1.09	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	7:36
32 Kevin Lankinen G	-3.72	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-3.72	60:00

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
8 Nick Schmaltz C	+3.86	+2.95	+0.26	+0.59	0.00	-0.02	+0.08	—	19:34
6 John Marino D	+3.60	+1.95	0.00	+1.64	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	21:50
9 Clayton Keller R	+2.20	+1.25	+0.25	+0.72	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:44
77 JJ Peterka R	+1.76	+0.75	+0.23	+0.80	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:14
67 Lawson Crouse L	+1.73	+1.30	+0.20	+0.22	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	18:35
27 Barrett Hayton C	+1.60	+0.55	+0.09	+0.87	0.00	+0.05	+0.05	—	16:27
56 Kailer Yamamoto R	+1.49	+0.70	+0.11	+0.63	0.00	-0.01	+0.07	—	14:21
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	+0.62	+0.75	+0.02	-0.02	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	23:50
57 Nick DeSimone D	+0.51	0.00	+0.03	+0.48	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:00
70 Karel Vejmelka G	+0.37	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.37	59:27
88 Nate Schmidt D	+0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	20:07
11 Dylan Guenther R	+0.12	+0.55	+0.15	-0.59	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:35
50 Sean Durzi D	+0.11	+0.70	0.00	-0.59	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:57
22 Jack McBain C	-0.07	0.00	+0.03	-0.29	+0.15	+0.04	0.00	—	14:38
13 Brandon Tanev L	-0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.16	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:48
82 Kevin Stenlund C	-0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.22	0.00	+0.02	-0.02	—	15:05
38 Liam O'Brien C	-0.38	0.00	+0.06	-0.27	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	8:29
28 Ian Cole D	-0.67	0.00	0.00	-0.71	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	19:11
53 Michael Carcone L	-0.73	0.00	+0.04	-0.73	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	12:08

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.