hockeystats.io

Ottawa SenatorsOTT 2–1 Final/OT Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Thursday, February 5, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 0101 2 27
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0010 1 16
Playoff odds, % Change
OTT +4.1
PHI -3.2
BOS -0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Feb 5, 2026 5:15 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
9:55 OTT Nick Cousins (8) Shane Pinto (14), Michael Amadio (14) · wrist xG 0.45 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
18:46 PHI Jamie Drysdale (5) Bobby Brink (11), Trevor Zegras (29) · wrist xG 0.08 1–1 ▶
Overtime
0:47 OTT Tim Stützle (28) Brady Tkachuk (23) · backhand xG 0.57 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 78%Deserve to win22% PHI
OTTPHI
3.27Expected goals1.72
2Goals (no shootout)1
2.42Expected goals, 5 on 51.42
45Shot attempts55
39Unblocked attempts37
27Shots on goal16

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
13:20 OTT xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced PHI 1.07–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:20 to 13:20 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
18:20 OTT No shift No shift · Halliday, 13:42 on the bench
No shift from 7:53 of the 2nd to 1:59 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (4:55) before that
3rd Period
2:10 PHI No shift No shift · Grebenkin, 10:45 on the bench
No shift from 12:08 of the 2nd to 2:53 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (7:27) before that
17:45 PHI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 1–0
With 2:15 left; PHI scored at 18:46 of the 3rd (1–1)

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Noah Juulsen: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:02) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:21) Tyler Kleven: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:45) Jordan Spence: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:47) Christian Dvorak: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:48) Claude Giroux: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:57) Dylan Cozens: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:06) Ridly Greig: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 5:20) Stephen Halliday: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 5:43) Nick Seeler: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:34) Travis Sanheim: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:11) Shane Pinto: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:30) Nick Cousins: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:44) Shane Pinto: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:45) Dylan Cozens: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:27) Ridly Greig: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 10:32) Thomas Chabot: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:26) Thomas Chabot: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 15:20) Owen Tippett: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:28) Denver Barkey: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:35) Travis Sanheim: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:47) Ridly Greig: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:48) Cam York: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:30) Garnet Hathaway: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:06) Carl Grundstrom: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:12) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:28) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:56) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:20) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 164 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:21) Nick Cousins: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.33 (P2 5:51) Thomas Chabot: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:15) Ridly Greig: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:17) Nick Cousins: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:39) Dylan Cozens: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:44) Brady Tkachuk: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:45) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:13) Nick Jensen: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:37) Shane Pinto: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:52) Jordan Spence: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:06) Noah Cates: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:13) Jordan Spence: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:47) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:02) Travis Konecny: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:02) Rasmus Ristolainen: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:19) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:31) Cam York: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:53) Travis Sanheim: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 17:23) Michael Amadio: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:58) Trevor Zegras: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:05) Noah Juulsen: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:18) Trevor Zegras: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:03) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:56) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:58) Jordan Spence: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:21) Lars Eller: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:11) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:48) Michael Amadio: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:04) Travis Konecny: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:11) Sean Couturier: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:06) Jake Sanderson: wrist, 187 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:11) Sean Couturier: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 9:34) Sean Couturier: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:35) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:11) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:25) Sean Couturier: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:56) Bobby Brink: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:19) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:20) Cam York: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:52) Owen Tippett: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:59) Trevor Zegras: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:16) Jordan Spence: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:14) Tim Stützle: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 0:15) Travis Konecny: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 0:38) Nick Cousins: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.45 (P2 9:55) Jamie Drysdale: GOAL, wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:46) Tim Stützle: GOAL, backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.57 (OT 0:47)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Tim Stützle 101 +1 30.77 2019:18
12 Shane Pinto 011 0 30.14 4118:33
22 Michael Amadio 011 0 30.07 1217:53
71 Ridly Greig 000 0 40.32 1117:50
21 Nick Cousins 101 0 40.81 5116:53
8 Brady Tkachuk 011 +1 40.21 1016:20
24 Dylan Cozens 000 0 40.18 1116:02
19 Drake Batherson 000 0 10.00 1015:44
28 Claude Giroux 000 0 10.00 2015:19
20 Lars Eller 000 0 10.04 1009:34
20 Fabian Zetterlund 000 0 30.00 0009:11
34 Stephen Halliday 000 0 10.21 0007:34
Defense
72 Thomas Chabot 000 +1 30.30 0224:29
2 Artem Zub 000 -1 20.00 0122:15
85 Jake Sanderson 000 0 10.00 0121:59
4 Nick Jensen 000 +1 10.04 1221:23
43 Tyler Kleven 000 0 10.04 0315:29
10 Jordan Spence 000 0 50.14 0314:35
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
James Reimer 16115 .938 1.72 +0.72

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
46 Trevor Zegras 011 0 50.18 3021:17
22 Christian Dvorak 000 0 30.10 1020:52
11 Travis Konecny 000 -1 60.31 2020:46
27 Noah Cates 000 +1 20.09 0018:52
10 Bobby Brink 011 +1 10.04 1017:16
74 Owen Tippett 000 -1 50.12 3015:41
39 Matvei Michkov 000 0 20.06 1014:58
14 Sean Couturier 000 0 50.31 1014:23
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 0 00.00 2010:38
86 Denver Barkey 000 -1 20.06 0109:44
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 0 20.05 1009:27
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 10.01 4008:17
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 50.07 0024:11
9 Jamie Drysdale 101 +1 40.13 0023:17
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 000 0 40.08 0022:57
8 Cam York 000 +1 50.06 1122:42
24 Nick Seeler 000 -1 10.01 0214:11
47 Noah Juulsen 000 -1 20.05 3211:56
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 27225 .926 3.27 +1.27

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
21 Nick Cousins C +2.43 +0.75 +0.52 +1.13 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:53
22 Michael Amadio R +2.00 +0.55 +0.05 +1.13 +0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 17:53
12 Shane Pinto C +1.93 +0.70 +0.09 +1.09 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 18:33
7 Brady Tkachuk L +1.31 +0.70 +0.14 +0.45 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 16:20
72 Thomas Chabot D +0.80 0.00 +0.19 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 24:29
47 James Reimer G +0.72 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.72 60:47
10 Jordan Spence D +0.67 0.00 +0.09 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 14:35
18 Tim Stützle C +0.57 +0.75 +0.50 -0.64 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 19:18
71 Ridly Greig C +0.56 0.00 +0.20 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:50
3 Nick Jensen D +0.53 0.00 +0.03 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:23
43 Tyler Kleven D +0.51 0.00 +0.03 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 15:29
83 Stephen Halliday C +0.47 0.00 +0.14 +0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:34
2 Artem Zub D +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:15
89 Lars Eller C +0.42 0.00 +0.03 +0.43 0.00 +0.03 -0.06 — 9:34
85 Jake Sanderson D +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 21:59
24 Dylan Cozens C +0.30 0.00 +0.12 +0.21 0.00 -0.05 +0.03 — 16:02
20 Fabian Zetterlund L +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:11
28 Claude Giroux R -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 15:19
19 Drake Batherson R -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.47 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 15:44

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
80 Dan Vladar G +1.27 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.27 59:43
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.42 0.00 +0.04 +0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:11
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.39 +0.55 +0.12 -0.36 +0.15 -0.04 -0.02 — 21:17
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D +0.35 0.00 +0.05 +0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.08 — 22:57
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.30 +0.75 +0.09 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 23:17
10 Bobby Brink R +0.29 +0.70 +0.02 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:16
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.23 0.00 +0.06 +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:52
29 Nikita Grebenkin R +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 10:38
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:17
11 Travis Konecny R -0.07 0.00 +0.20 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 20:46
14 Sean Couturier C -0.10 0.00 +0.20 -0.12 -0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:23
91 Carl Grundstrom R -0.35 0.00 +0.04 -0.38 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 9:27
39 Matvei Michkov R -0.40 0.00 +0.04 -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:58
8 Cam York D -0.48 0.00 +0.04 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:42
74 Owen Tippett R -0.52 0.00 +0.08 -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:41
27 Noah Cates L -0.57 0.00 +0.06 -0.61 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 18:52
24 Nick Seeler D -0.66 0.00 +0.01 -0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 14:11
52 Denver Barkey C -0.78 0.00 +0.04 -0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:44
47 Noah Juulsen D -1.33 0.00 +0.03 -1.44 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 11:56

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.