hockeystats.io

Winnipeg JetsWPG 3–2 Final/OT Vancouver CanucksVAN

Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG 1101 3 28
Vancouver CanucksVAN 1100 2 23
Playoff odds, % Change
WPG +0.8
VAN +0.0
NSH -0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Feb 23, 2026 9:51 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:58 VAN Drew O'Connor (14) Brock Boeser (14) · wrist xG 0.08 0–1 ▶
11:42 WPG Kyle Connor (26) Mark Scheifele (42) · wrist xG 0.23 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
0:38 VAN Evander Kane (10) Elias Pettersson (22) · wrist xG 0.06 1–2 ▶
18:45 WPG Gabriel Vilardi (22) Mark Scheifele (43), Luke Schenn (6) · tip-in xG 0.33 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
1:37 WPG Cole Perfetti (7) Adam Lowry (11), Dylan Samberg (10) · snap xG 0.20 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 75%Deserve to win25% VAN
WPGVAN
4.07Expected goals2.43
3Goals (no shootout)2
2.80Expected goals, 5 on 52.07
74Shot attempts44
51Unblocked attempts35
28Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
18:50 WPG xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.24–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 8:50 to 18:50 of the 2nd; goals 1–0

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VAN shoots
Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:40) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 1:01) Logan Stanley: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:10) Jake DeBrusk: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:58) Elias Pettersson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:01) Brock Boeser: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 4:16) Evander Kane: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:21) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 8:00) Logan Stanley: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:19) Mark Scheifele: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:31) Marco Rossi: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:34) Morgan Barron: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:40) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:48) Gabriel Vilardi: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:58) Cole Perfetti: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:06) Filip Hronek: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:41) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:49) Liam Ohgren: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:35) Liam Ohgren: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:39) Evander Kane: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:55) Elias Salomonsson: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:35) Nils Hoglander: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 18:24) Logan Stanley: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:42) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:32) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:50) Brock Boeser: slap, 105 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:58) Kyle Connor: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:24) Teddy Blueger: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:32) Cole Koepke: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:14) Logan Stanley: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:24) Logan Stanley: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:28) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:36) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 4:47) Nils Hoglander: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:39) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:41) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:17) Ville Heinola: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:26) Adam Lowry: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:25) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:04) Logan Stanley: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:24) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:41) Logan Stanley: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:11) Kyle Connor: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:40) Mark Scheifele: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:52) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:53) Logan Stanley: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:39) Ville Heinola: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:14) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:35) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:38) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:10) Evander Kane: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 19:01) Filip Hronek: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:56) Zeev Buium: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:59) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:41) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:02) Filip Hronek: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:09) Gabriel Vilardi: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 4:31) Kyle Connor: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:32) Mark Scheifele: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:36) Nils Hoglander: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:02) Elias Pettersson: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:09) Adam Lowry: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 9:38) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:01) Liam Ohgren: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:26) Marcus Pettersson: slap, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:04) Filip Hronek: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:34) Tom Willander: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:24) Filip Hronek: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:34) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:54) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:26) Filip Hronek: wrist, 154 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:32) Conor Garland: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:09) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 17:22) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:38) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:51) Teddy Blueger: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 19:20) Conor Garland: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.45 (P3 19:23) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:37) Kyle Connor: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 0:52) Brock Boeser: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (OT 1:03) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 1:12) Drew O'Connor: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:58) Kyle Connor: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 11:42) Evander Kane: GOAL, wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:38) Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.33 (P2 18:45) Cole Perfetti: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 1:37)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Mark Scheifele 022 +2 50.31 0123:16
13 Gabriel Vilardi 101 +2 60.82 0022:53
81 Kyle Connor 101 +2 60.56 1022:38
91 Cole Perfetti 101 0 90.97 0116:15
19 Jonathan Toews 000 -1 00.00 0015:05
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 -1 40.35 1014:25
9 Alex Iafallo 000 -1 20.05 1013:11
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 000 -1 10.00 1113:02
17 Adam Lowry 011 0 40.16 0012:24
36 Morgan Barron 000 0 20.03 1112:05
70 Tanner Pearson 000 0 20.00 2110:39
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 10.04 4010:31
Defense
8 Logan Stanley 000 0 90.40 2025:34
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 0 50.06 1022:11
54 Dylan Samberg 011 0 40.10 1022:05
57 Elias Salomonsson 000 -1 100.18 2120:24
14 Ville Heinola 000 +1 20.05 2113:44
2 Luke Schenn 011 +1 20.00 1012:40
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Eric Comrie 23221 .913 2.43 +0.43

Vancouver Canucks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
6 Brock Boeser 011 +1 30.36 2219:53
73 Teddy Blueger 000 -1 20.09 2017:22
23 Marco Rossi 000 +1 10.07 1117:07
83 Conor Garland 000 -1 30.54 0016:30
40 Elias Pettersson 011 -1 00.00 0716:25
18 Drew O'Connor 101 +1 30.08 2015:36
74 Jake DeBrusk 000 -1 30.09 1115:07
91 Evander Kane 101 0 40.38 2014:14
92 Liam Ohgren 000 -1 30.14 1114:05
64 David Kampf 000 0 00.00 2013:23
21 Nils Hoglander 000 0 30.33 1109:25
94 Linus Karlsson 000 0 20.04 1009:23
Defense
17 Filip Hronek 000 +1 80.20 3028:53
26 Marcus Pettersson 000 -1 10.01 4322:44
25 Elias Pettersson 000 +1 30.03 2419:34
5 Tom Willander 000 -2 10.06 0119:08
8 Zeev Buium 000 0 30.01 0016:30
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph 000 0 10.00 0013:53
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Nikita Tolopilo 28325 .893 4.07 +1.07

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
55 Mark Scheifele C +3.21 +1.40 +0.20 +1.56 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 23:16
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +2.37 +0.75 +0.53 +1.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:53
81 Kyle Connor L +2.05 +0.75 +0.36 +1.09 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 22:38
91 Cole Perfetti C +1.73 +0.75 +0.63 +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:15
34 Ville Heinola D +1.15 0.00 +0.03 +0.92 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 13:44
5 Luke Schenn D +1.08 +0.55 0.00 +0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:40
54 Dylan Samberg D +1.02 +0.55 +0.06 +0.26 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 22:05
17 Adam Lowry C +0.75 +0.70 +0.11 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 12:24
57 Elias Salomonsson D +0.54 0.00 +0.12 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 20:24
1 Eric Comrie G +0.43 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.43 61:26
9 Alex Iafallo L +0.25 0.00 +0.03 +0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:11
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 13:02
2 Dylan DeMelo D -0.10 0.00 +0.04 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:11
45 Cole Koepke L -0.11 0.00 +0.02 -0.13 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:31
64 Logan Stanley D -0.15 0.00 +0.26 -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 25:34
14 Gustav Nyquist R -0.25 0.00 +0.23 -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:25
19 Jonathan Toews C -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.29 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 15:05
36 Morgan Barron C -0.40 0.00 +0.02 -0.46 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 12:05
70 Tanner Pearson L -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:39

Vancouver Canucks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Brock Boeser R +1.39 +0.70 +0.24 +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:53
60 Nikita Tolopilo G +1.07 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.07 61:16
18 Drew O'Connor L +1.05 +0.75 +0.05 +0.10 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:36
93 Marco Rossi C +0.58 0.00 +0.05 +0.49 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 17:07
21 Nils Hoglander L +0.40 0.00 +0.21 +0.29 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 9:25
25 Elias Pettersson D +0.27 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 19:34
40 Elias Pettersson C +0.12 +0.70 0.00 -0.90 0.00 -0.01 +0.33 — 16:25
91 Evander Kane L +0.03 +0.75 +0.25 -0.79 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:14
64 David Kampf C +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 +0.06 0.00 — 13:23
94 Linus Karlsson C -0.01 0.00 +0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 9:23
8 Conor Garland R -0.05 0.00 +0.35 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:30
17 Filip Hronek D -0.11 0.00 +0.13 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 28:53
92 Liam Ohgren L -0.20 0.00 +0.09 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:05
5 Tom Willander D -0.25 0.00 +0.04 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 19:08
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:53
24 Zeev Buium D -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:30
29 Marcus Pettersson D -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 22:44
53 Teddy Blueger C -0.39 0.00 +0.06 -0.40 0.00 -0.07 +0.02 — 17:22
74 Jake DeBrusk L -0.73 0.00 +0.06 -0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 15:07

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.