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Chicago BlackhawksCHI 2–3 Final/OT Winnipeg JetsWPG

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 1010 2 19
Winnipeg JetsWPG 1011 3 32
Playoff odds, % Change
WPG +1.7
CHI -0.3
EDM -0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 3, 2026 7:42 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:59 WPG Dylan Samberg (1) Mark Scheifele (44), Kyle Connor (41) · wrist xG 0.15 0–1 ▶
18:48 CHI Teuvo Teravainen (13)PP Frank Nazar (18), Connor Bedard (31) · wrist xG 0.14 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
0:32 CHI Ryan Greene (8) Connor Bedard (32), Sam Rinzel (9) · wrist xG 0.05 2–1 ▶
19:21 WPG Cole Perfetti (8) Mark Scheifele (45), Logan Stanley (12) · wrist xG 0.04 2–2 ▶
Overtime
2:06 WPG Mark Scheifele (28) Dylan Samberg (12) · wrist xG 0.12 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CHI 46%Deserve to win54% WPG
CHIWPG
2.17Expected goals2.40
2Goals (no shootout)3
1.83Expected goals, 5 on 51.81
42Shot attempts60
31Unblocked attempts42
19Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
12:40 WPG xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.31–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:40 to 12:40 of the 3rd; neither team scored
18:33 WPG Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 2–1
With 1:27 left; WPG scored at 19:21 of the 3rd (2–2)

Shot map

CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots
Oliver Moore: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:36) Ilya Mikheyev: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:23) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:10) Haydn Fleury: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:53) Louis Crevier: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:29) Frank Nazar: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:39) Adam Lowry: snap, 139 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:57) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:39) Frank Nazar: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 10:07) Morgan Barron: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:46) Ethan Del Mastro: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:40) Nick Foligno: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:02) Louis Crevier: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:52) Tanner Pearson: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:02) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:41) Frank Nazar: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:12) Oliver Moore: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:26) Ryan Greene: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:38) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:08) Logan Stanley: wrist, 172 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:03) Landon Slaggert: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:18) Connor Bedard: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:05) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:10) Connor Bedard: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:16) Nick Foligno: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:36) Tanner Pearson: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:48) Ilya Mikheyev: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:55) Jason Dickinson: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:24) Connor Bedard: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:36) Kyle Connor: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:54) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:41) Logan Stanley: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:30) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:10) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:26) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:00) Logan Stanley: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:37) Artyom Levshunov: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:12) Adam Lowry: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:09) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:29) Louis Crevier: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:18) Landon Slaggert: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.50 (P3 2:21) Jonathan Toews: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:53) Alex Iafallo: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:10) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 5:14) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:59) Mark Scheifele: slap, 14 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:44) Kyle Connor: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:12) Cole Perfetti: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:46) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:36) Alex Iafallo: slap, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 8:44) Tanner Pearson: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:18) Alex Iafallo: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 11:50) Logan Stanley: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:10) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:29) Kyle Connor: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:35) Alex Iafallo: poke, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:36) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:37) Mark Scheifele: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:38) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 12:39) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:52) Kyle Connor: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 15:40) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:26) Elias Salomonsson: backhand, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:37) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:00) Mark Scheifele: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:01) Elias Salomonsson: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:07) Kyle Connor: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 0:45) Ilya Mikheyev: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 1:27) Dylan Samberg: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 3:59) Teuvo Teravainen: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 18:48) Ryan Greene: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:32) Cole Perfetti: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:21) Mark Scheifele: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 2:06)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
98 Connor Bedard 022 0 40.35 1019:53
91 Frank Nazar 011 -1 40.19 0218:30
86 Teuvo Teravainen 101 -1 40.17 0317:43
95 Ilya Mikheyev 000 -2 30.21 0017:32
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 000 -1 30.04 0215:44
8 Ryan Donato 000 0 00.00 0015:18
20 Ryan Greene 101 0 20.15 1015:17
16 Jason Dickinson 000 -1 20.18 1115:07
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 +1 00.00 1014:06
71 Nick Foligno 000 0 20.04 3012:00
84 Landon Slaggert 000 0 20.52 3011:51
11 Oliver Moore 000 0 30.06 0011:00
Defense
72 Alex Vlasic 000 -2 10.00 1225:54
6 Sam Rinzel 011 +1 30.09 0022:22
46 Louis Crevier 000 -1 30.06 3220:13
55 Artyom Levshunov 000 -2 20.03 3218:47
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 +1 10.00 0116:55
38 Ethan Del Mastro 000 0 30.07 2315:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Spencer Knight 32329 .906 2.40 -0.60

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Mark Scheifele 123 +3 80.72 1023:51
81 Kyle Connor 011 +2 70.35 0121:34
9 Alex Iafallo 000 0 60.53 3017:14
17 Adam Lowry 000 -1 30.04 5116:40
13 Gabriel Vilardi 000 +1 10.03 0116:30
91 Cole Perfetti 101 +2 40.14 0016:21
36 Morgan Barron 000 0 20.04 3013:44
19 Jonathan Toews 000 +2 20.04 0013:40
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 -1 30.05 0113:06
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 10.00 2010:14
71 Walker Duehr 000 -1 00.00 4009:47
70 Tanner Pearson 000 0 30.06 2009:42
Defense
8 Logan Stanley 011 +2 40.07 1127:11
54 Dylan Samberg 112 +2 30.15 0122:14
57 Elias Salomonsson 000 0 70.16 4221:43
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 0 20.00 0120:53
2 Luke Schenn 000 -1 10.00 1014:52
24 Haydn Fleury 000 -1 30.03 2214:35
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 19217 .895 2.17 +0.17

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
20 Ryan Greene C +1.12 +0.75 +0.10 +0.25 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 15:17
6 Sam Rinzel D +1.07 +0.55 +0.06 +0.61 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 22:19
98 Connor Bedard C +0.89 +1.25 +0.22 -0.37 -0.15 -0.04 -0.02 — 19:19
84 Landon Slaggert L +0.85 0.00 +0.34 +0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:51
91 Frank Nazar C +0.81 +0.70 +0.12 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:30
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +0.75 +0.75 +0.11 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 17:43
11 Oliver Moore C +0.65 0.00 +0.04 +0.62 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 11:00
38 Ethan Del Mastro D +0.61 0.00 +0.05 +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 15:07
8 Ryan Donato C +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:18
48 Matt Grzelcyk D +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:55
28 Andre Burakovsky L +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 14:05
55 Artyom Levshunov D +0.11 0.00 +0.02 -0.16 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 18:47
17 Nick Foligno L +0.08 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 12:00
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L +0.01 0.00 +0.03 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:44
46 Louis Crevier D -0.14 0.00 +0.04 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:13
72 Alex Vlasic D -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.69 +0.30 0.00 +0.10 — 25:47
16 Jason Dickinson C -0.36 0.00 +0.11 -0.53 0.00 +0.05 +0.01 — 15:07
95 Ilya Mikheyev R -0.44 0.00 +0.14 -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:16
30 Spencer Knight G -0.60 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.60 62:06

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
55 Mark Scheifele C +2.74 +2.15 +0.47 +0.22 0.00 -0.06 -0.04 — 23:30
54 Dylan Samberg D +1.94 +1.45 +0.09 +0.21 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 22:14
81 Kyle Connor L +1.10 +0.55 +0.23 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 21:32
57 Elias Salomonsson D +0.85 0.00 +0.10 +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 21:43
9 Alex Iafallo L +0.82 0.00 +0.34 +0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:14
64 Logan Stanley D +0.64 +0.55 +0.04 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 26:44
91 Cole Perfetti C +0.53 +0.75 +0.09 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:21
2 Dylan DeMelo D +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:20
19 Jonathan Toews C +0.24 0.00 +0.03 +0.22 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 13:34
37 Connor Hellebuyck G +0.17 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.17 61:18
14 Gustav Nyquist R +0.11 0.00 +0.03 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 13:06
45 Cole Koepke L +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.09 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:14
70 Tanner Pearson L -0.06 0.00 +0.04 -0.09 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 9:42
71 Walker Duehr R -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:47
36 Morgan Barron C -0.23 0.00 +0.02 -0.06 -0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 13:34
17 Adam Lowry C -0.44 0.00 +0.02 -0.54 0.00 +0.01 +0.07 — 16:40
5 Luke Schenn D -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:52
13 Gabriel Vilardi C -0.60 0.00 +0.02 -0.36 -0.30 -0.02 +0.05 — 16:30
24 Haydn Fleury D -0.91 0.00 +0.02 -1.03 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:35

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.