Monday, March 9, 2026
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
UTA 26%Deserve to win 74% CHI
UTA CHI
2.46 Expected goals 3.89
2 Goals (no shootout) 3
1.93 Expected goals, 5 on 5 3.42
54 Shot attempts 54
37 Unblocked attempts 44
25 Shots on goal 26
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
4:19
CHI
Deserve to win
Deserve to win · CHI takes the lead, 61–39%
UTA had led since 2:35 of the 1st, by as much as 62%
11:50
CHI
No shift
No shift · Slaggert, 10:05 on the bench
No shift from 16:53 of the 1st to 11:55 of the 2nd; 5 shifts (2:38) before that
Shot map
UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → CHI shoots
Jack McBain: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:49)
Barrett Hayton: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:03)
Alexander Kerfoot: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 2:35)
Connor Bedard: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 4:14)
Andre Burakovsky: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 6:44)
JJ Peterka: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:33)
Clayton Keller: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:08)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:33)
Sam Rinzel: wrist, 141 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:59)
Frank Nazar: backhand, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:23)
Connor Bedard: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:31)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:08)
Alexander Kerfoot: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:59)
Alexander Kerfoot: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 16:51)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:36)
Matt Grzelcyk: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:53)
Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:16)
Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:19)
Ryan Donato: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 0:18)
Ryan Donato: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:23)
John Marino: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:49)
Sam Rinzel: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:37)
Nate Schmidt: wrist, 173 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:41)
Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:00)
Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:10)
Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:11)
Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:19)
Sam Rinzel: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:21)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:37)
Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:45)
Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:24)
Sean Durzi: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:36)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:29)
Clayton Keller: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:29)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 10:56)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:48)
Nick Lardis: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 12:12)
Michael Carcone: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:36)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:42)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:47)
Alex Vlasic: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:03)
Nate Schmidt: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:27)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:22)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:30)
JJ Peterka: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 18:12)
Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:35)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:57)
Lawson Crouse: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:56)
Lawson Crouse: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:11)
MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:15)
Andrew Mangiapane: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:09)
Matt Grzelcyk: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:18)
Landon Slaggert: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 5:26)
JJ Peterka: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:06)
Connor Bedard: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 7:08)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:22)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:00)
Sam Rinzel: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:30)
JJ Peterka: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:16)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:42)
Frank Nazar: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:43)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 9:45)
Wyatt Kaiser: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:26)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:27)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:36)
Connor Bedard: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:29)
Michael Carcone: backhand, 146 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:07)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:13)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:21)
Barrett Hayton: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 17:19)
Kailer Yamamoto: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:20)
JJ Peterka: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:57)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:16)
Clayton Keller: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 0:27)
Logan Cooley: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 1:01)
Teuvo Teravainen: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 2:14)
Barrett Hayton: GOAL, tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:43)
Andrew Mangiapane: GOAL, deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 13:46)
Dylan Guenther: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 16:26)
Andre Burakovsky: GOAL, cradle, 5 ft, xG 0.94 (P2 15:35)
Frank Nazar: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:36)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Utah Mammoth
Chicago Blackhawks
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Utah Mammoth
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
41 Vitek Vanecek G
+0.89
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.89
62:36
57 Nick DeSimone D
+0.51
+0.70
0.00
-0.29
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
14:17
88 Nate Schmidt D
+0.50
0.00
+0.01
+0.41
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
22:02
77 JJ Peterka R
+0.47
0.00
+0.25
+0.06
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
13:13
67 Lawson Crouse L
+0.45
0.00
+0.16
+0.30
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
15:18
11 Dylan Guenther R
+0.44
+0.75
+0.24
-0.60
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
20:30
15 Alexander Kerfoot C
+0.41
0.00
+0.19
+0.23
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:31
53 Michael Carcone L
+0.33
0.00
+0.06
+0.32
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
10:45
82 Kevin Stenlund C
+0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.23
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:51
8 Nick Schmaltz C
+0.11
+0.55
+0.11
-0.58
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
20:48
6 John Marino D
+0.07
0.00
0.00
+0.02
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
22:11
92 Logan Cooley C
-0.12
0.00
+0.08
-0.05
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
15:14
22 Jack McBain C
-0.18
0.00
+0.05
-0.20
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
12:52
52 MacKenzie Weegar D
-0.44
0.00
+0.06
-0.55
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
20:13
28 Ian Cole D
-0.67
+0.55
0.00
-1.21
0.00
0.00
-0.01
—
20:50
27 Barrett Hayton C
-0.82
+0.75
+0.15
-1.58
-0.15
-0.01
+0.03
—
14:40
9 Clayton Keller R
-1.19
+0.70
+0.14
-1.96
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
20:29
56 Kailer Yamamoto R
-1.27
0.00
+0.03
-1.34
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
12:38
50 Sean Durzi D
-1.51
0.00
+0.07
-1.42
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
21:26
Chicago Blackhawks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
98 Connor Bedard C
+3.97
+1.25
+0.48
+2.22
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
21:06
28 Andre Burakovsky L
+3.18
+0.75
+0.73
+1.43
+0.15
0.00
+0.12
—
18:45
20 Ryan Greene C
+2.09
+0.55
+0.06
+1.49
-0.15
-0.01
+0.15
—
21:15
95 Ilya Mikheyev R
+1.48
+0.55
+0.22
+0.54
+0.15
0.00
+0.02
—
18:36
6 Sam Rinzel D
+1.06
0.00
+0.06
+0.95
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
23:22
26 Andrew Mangiapane L
+0.99
+0.75
+0.19
+0.04
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
14:24
44 Wyatt Kaiser D
+0.98
0.00
+0.03
+0.72
+0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
20:22
8 Ryan Donato C
+0.78
+0.70
+0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-0.02
—
16:10
86 Teuvo Teravainen C
+0.75
+0.70
+0.22
-0.14
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
17:40
91 Frank Nazar C
+0.72
+0.75
+0.07
-0.22
0.00
+0.06
+0.07
—
20:40
46 Louis Crevier D
+0.67
0.00
+0.02
+0.69
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
17:17
72 Alex Vlasic D
+0.63
0.00
+0.02
+0.51
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
20:43
33 Drew Commesso G
+0.46
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.46
61:43
48 Matt Grzelcyk D
+0.44
0.00
+0.03
+0.41
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:30
84 Landon Slaggert L
+0.25
0.00
+0.17
+0.04
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
7:07
55 Artyom Levshunov D
+0.12
0.00
+0.05
-0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
19:10
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L
-0.03
0.00
0.00
-0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:51
76 Nick Lardis L
-0.10
0.00
+0.08
-0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:18
24 Sam Lafferty C
-0.29
0.00
0.00
-0.26
0.00
+0.01
-0.04
—
8:05
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.