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Anaheim DucksANA 4–1 Final Winnipeg JetsWPG

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Anaheim DucksANA 031 4 35
Winnipeg JetsWPG 010 1 13
Playoff odds, % Change
WPG -5.3
ANA +2.4
SJS +0.9

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 10, 2026 8:14 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
5:04 WPG Morgan Barron (10) Elias Salomonsson (1), Cole Perfetti (15) · tip-in xG 0.10 0–1 ▶
6:24 ANA Tim Washe (2) Jansen Harkins (4), Radko Gudas (11) · snap xG 0.07 1–1 ▶
6:38 ANA Ryan Poehling (8) Alex Killorn (13), Jackson LaCombe (37) · tip-in xG 0.06 2–1 ▶
8:08 ANA Alex Killorn (9) Ryan Poehling (19) · wrist xG 0.08 3–1 ▶
3rd Period
19:34 ANA Jackson LaCombe (8)EN Jacob Trouba (21) · wrist xG 0.42 4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

ANA 70%Deserve to win30% WPG
ANAWPG
3.76Expected goals1.67
4Goals (no shootout)1
2.49Expected goals, 5 on 51.06
61Shot attempts41
48Unblocked attempts29
35Shots on goal13

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
16:52 WPG Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 3–1
With 3:08 left; ANA scored at 19:34 of the 3rd (4–1)

Shot map

ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots
Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 3:27) Dylan Samberg: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:18) Beckett Sennecke: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:34) Olen Zellweger: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:04) Olen Zellweger: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:06) Jeffrey Viel: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 7:51) Ryan Poehling: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:59) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:38) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:33) Ryan Poehling: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:47) Leo Carlsson: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:01) Chris Kreider: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:38) Mikael Granlund: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:02) Mark Scheifele: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:46) Isak Rosen: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:34) Ryan Poehling: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 16:47) Beckett Sennecke: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:17) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:57) Jackson LaCombe: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 0:42) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:51) Jacob Trouba: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:19) Mason McTavish: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:37) Mason McTavish: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:36) Tim Washe: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:49) Kyle Connor: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:07) Isak Rosen: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 3:35) Morgan Barron: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:57) Jansen Harkins: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:22) Tim Washe: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:23) Ryan Poehling: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:42) Jackson LaCombe: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:17) Adam Lowry: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:00) Dylan Samberg: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:03) Josh Morrissey: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:08) Kyle Connor: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:11) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:40) Cutter Gauthier: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 12:03) Ian Moore: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:14) Ryan Poehling: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 14:59) Cutter Gauthier: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:07) Olen Zellweger: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:30) Beckett Sennecke: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:38) Cutter Gauthier: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:18) Cutter Gauthier: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:42) Mason McTavish: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:40) Jansen Harkins: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:03) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:50) Brad Lambert: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 0:44) Isak Rosen: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:16) Gustav Nyquist: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 1:54) Haydn Fleury: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:55) Leo Carlsson: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:39) Chris Kreider: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:02) Chris Kreider: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:31) Ian Moore: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:40) Jackson LaCombe: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:57) Jacob Trouba: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:01) Jansen Harkins: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:26) Ross Johnston: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:32) Jansen Harkins: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:51) Morgan Barron: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:08) Jonathan Toews: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:45) Cole Koepke: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:54) Dylan DeMelo: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:36) Cole Perfetti: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:49) Alex Killorn: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:23) Cole Koepke: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 14:48) Jacob Trouba: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:11) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:27) Olen Zellweger: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.61 (P3 17:16) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:01) Haydn Fleury: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:23) Morgan Barron: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:04) Tim Washe: GOAL, snap, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:24) Ryan Poehling: GOAL, tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:38) Alex Killorn: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:08) Jackson LaCombe: GOAL, wrist, 161 ft, xG 0.42 (P3 19:34)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Anaheim Ducks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
64 Mikael Granlund 000 +1 10.14 0018:58
17 Alex Killorn 112 +2 30.14 0017:50
45 Beckett Sennecke 000 0 40.25 0217:37
91 Leo Carlsson 000 -1 40.04 0016:12
25 Ryan Poehling 112 +3 60.56 3016:06
61 Cutter Gauthier 000 -1 70.37 1015:41
22 Chris Kreider 000 -1 30.16 2014:57
83 Mason McTavish 000 0 40.19 1014:42
25 Jeffrey Viel 000 +2 10.11 0013:18
42 Tim Washe 101 +2 40.18 1013:04
49 Ross Johnston 000 +1 20.07 3008:49
10 Jansen Harkins 011 +1 40.23 2108:37
Defense
2 Jackson LaCombe 112 +2 40.51 0127:21
65 Jacob Trouba 011 +1 40.11 1227:02
8 Olen Zellweger 000 +2 60.66 1216:26
98 Pavel Mintyukov 000 -1 10.00 0216:19
6 Radko Gudas 011 +2 10.00 0016:14
3 Ian Moore 000 0 20.04 0115:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Lukas Dostal 13112 .923 1.67 +0.67

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Mark Scheifele 000 -3 20.04 1123:48
81 Kyle Connor 000 -3 50.10 1023:26
13 Gabriel Vilardi 000 -3 10.07 0220:30
91 Cole Perfetti 011 0 10.04 2016:15
17 Adam Lowry 000 0 10.08 4214:15
9 Alex Iafallo 000 +1 30.03 2013:58
19 Jonathan Toews 000 -1 30.10 0013:08
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 0 30.45 0012:23
27 Isak Rosen 000 0 40.23 0112:12
36 Morgan Barron 101 0 30.13 1011:50
93 Brad Lambert 000 -1 10.08 0011:45
45 Cole Koepke 000 -1 30.15 1009:57
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 000 -2 30.01 0224:54
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 -1 20.06 1221:14
54 Dylan Samberg 000 +1 20.02 0019:40
57 Elias Salomonsson 011 +1 10.00 2018:28
24 Haydn Fleury 000 -2 30.10 0117:41
78 Jacob Bryson 000 -2 00.00 0113:18
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 34331 .912 2.73 -0.27

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Anaheim Ducks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
2 Jackson LaCombe D +2.36 +1.30 +0.33 +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 27:21
25 Ryan Poehling C +2.27 +1.45 +0.36 +0.52 0.00 -0.06 0.00 — 16:06
17 Alex Killorn L +2.04 +1.45 +0.09 +0.52 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 17:50
7 Radko Gudas D +1.63 +0.55 0.00 +1.10 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:14
42 Tim Washe C +1.45 +0.75 +0.11 +0.60 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:04
51 Olen Zellweger D +1.41 0.00 +0.43 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:26
24 Jansen Harkins C +1.16 +0.70 +0.15 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:37
65 Jacob Trouba D +1.07 +0.70 +0.07 +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 27:02
44 Ross Johnston L +0.80 0.00 +0.05 +0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:49
28 Jeffrey Viel L +0.78 0.00 +0.07 +0.88 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:18
23 Mason McTavish C +0.69 0.00 +0.12 +0.59 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 14:42
3 Ian Moore D +0.68 0.00 +0.02 +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:19
1 Lukas Dostal G +0.67 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.67 59:28
64 Mikael Granlund C +0.59 0.00 +0.09 +0.51 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 18:58
98 Pavel Mintyukov D +0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.29 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 16:19
45 Beckett Sennecke R +0.44 0.00 +0.17 +0.47 -0.30 0.00 +0.10 — 17:37
61 Cutter Gauthier L +0.43 0.00 +0.24 +0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:41
91 Leo Carlsson C +0.33 0.00 +0.03 +0.17 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 16:12
20 Chris Kreider L +0.25 0.00 +0.10 +0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:57

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Cole Perfetti C +0.67 +0.55 +0.02 +0.27 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 16:15
19 Jonathan Toews C +0.67 0.00 +0.06 +0.56 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 13:08
27 Isak Rosen R +0.60 0.00 +0.15 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:12
14 Gustav Nyquist R +0.43 0.00 +0.29 +0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:23
57 Elias Salomonsson D +0.23 +0.70 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:28
36 Morgan Barron C +0.07 +0.75 +0.08 -0.76 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:50
9 Alex Iafallo L -0.26 0.00 +0.02 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:58
37 Connor Hellebuyck G -0.27 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.27 57:18
24 Haydn Fleury D -0.42 0.00 +0.07 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:41
45 Cole Koepke L -0.45 0.00 +0.10 -0.70 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:57
17 Adam Lowry C -0.46 0.00 +0.05 -0.50 -0.15 +0.04 +0.10 — 14:15
93 Brad Lambert C -0.48 0.00 +0.05 -0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:45
2 Dylan DeMelo D -0.49 0.00 +0.04 -0.76 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 21:14
44 Josh Morrissey D -0.54 0.00 +0.01 -0.80 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 24:54
78 Jacob Bryson D -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:18
54 Dylan Samberg D -0.67 0.00 +0.01 -0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:40
81 Kyle Connor L -1.23 0.00 +0.06 -1.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:26
13 Gabriel Vilardi C -1.29 0.00 +0.05 -1.40 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 20:30
55 Mark Scheifele C -1.44 0.00 +0.02 -1.47 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 23:48

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.