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Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 2–1 Final/SO Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 10001 2 28
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 10000 1 19
Playoff odds, % Change
CBJ +8.7
PHI -6.5
NYI -1.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 14, 2026 7:24 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:21 CBJ Kirill Marchenko (25) Adam Fantilli (28), Damon Severson (22) · wrist xG 0.14 1–0 ▶
10:24 PHI Alex Bump (2) Emil Andrae (11), Christian Dvorak (26) · tip-in xG 0.71 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
PHI Matvei Michkov vs Jet Greaves Saved
CBJ Kent Johnson vs Dan Vladar Saved
PHI Trevor Zegras vs Jet Greaves Saved
CBJ Adam Fantilli vs Dan Vladar Saved
PHI Travis Konecny vs Jet Greaves Saved
CBJ Kirill Marchenko vs Dan Vladar Goal

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 26%Deserve to win74% PHI
CBJPHI
1.90Expected goals3.20
1Goals (no shootout)1
1.75Expected goals, 5 on 51.70
60Shot attempts52
41Unblocked attempts32
28Shots on goal19

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
13:10 CBJ No shift No shift · Zamula, 16:58 on the bench
No shift after 14:23 of the 2nd; 9 shifts (7:20) before that
Overtime
4:58 CBJ Goalie Goalie · Greaves +2.2 goals saved
1 goal on 3.20 xG, 19 shots on goal

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Nikita Grebenkin: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 1:17) Trevor Zegras: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:28) Trevor Zegras: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:29) Egor Zamula: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:23) Kent Johnson: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:24) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:51) Mason Marchment: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:13) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:14) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:15) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:26) Adam Fantilli: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:01) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:43) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:55) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:15) Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:16) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:22) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:33) Dante Fabbro: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:36) Sean Monahan: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:22) Conor Garland: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:37) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:43) Alex Bump: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:42) Sean Couturier: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:12) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:24) Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:26) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:08) Mason Marchment: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:32) Ivan Provorov: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:31) Sean Monahan: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:36) Conor Garland: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:38) Isac Lundeström: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:31) Danton Heinen: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:52) Zach Werenski: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:19) Owen Tippett: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 8:25) Cam York: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:28) Kent Johnson: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:09) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:00) Denton Mateychuk: backhand, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:08) Zach Werenski: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:57) Danton Heinen: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:01) Boone Jenner: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:50) Luke Glendening: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:09) Trevor Zegras: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:44) Owen Tippett: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:32) Cam York: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:32) Travis Konecny: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:53) Travis Konecny: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:53) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:15) Travis Konecny: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 1:39) Owen Tippett: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 2:59) Travis Konecny: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:32) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:05) Cam York: wrist, 166 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:32) Ivan Provorov: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:19) Nikita Grebenkin: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:47) Isac Lundeström: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:16) Mason Marchment: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:51) Kent Johnson: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:43) Sean Monahan: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:48) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:33) Cam York: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:19) Isac Lundeström: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:29) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 14:57) Zach Werenski: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:00) Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:46) Luke Glendening: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:09) Damon Severson: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:32) Owen Tippett: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 0:34) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 4:27) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 4:33) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.27 (OT 4:58) Kirill Marchenko: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 4:21) Alex Bump: GOAL, tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.71 (P1 10:24)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Kirill Marchenko 101 0 90.51 1122:06
3 Charlie Coyle 000 0 40.16 1021:20
19 Adam Fantilli 011 0 50.18 1119:16
27 Mason Marchment 000 +1 50.10 3017:31
23 Sean Monahan 000 0 40.14 2016:39
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 0 10.00 2114:25
4 Cole Sillinger 000 -1 00.00 3114:06
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 30.10 1013:07
91 Kent Johnson 000 0 30.11 1112:27
83 Conor Garland 000 0 30.18 1012:10
22 Boone Jenner 000 0 10.05 2111:56
58 Danton Heinen 000 0 20.16 1108:28
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 000 0 50.03 3127:13
9 Ivan Provorov 000 0 30.07 0126:37
78 Damon Severson 011 0 20.03 2123:18
15 Dante Fabbro 000 0 30.01 1323:02
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 0 40.05 0316:08
6 Egor Zamula 000 0 30.03 0207:20
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 19118 .947 3.20 +2.20

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
46 Trevor Zegras 000 0 70.22 2022:15
11 Travis Konecny 000 0 60.29 0222:05
74 Owen Tippett 000 0 80.58 0321:23
22 Christian Dvorak 011 0 10.14 0019:47
39 Matvei Michkov 000 0 30.22 1017:18
20 Alex Bump 101 0 30.83 2015:34
14 Sean Couturier 000 0 10.07 0015:16
27 Noah Cates 000 0 10.00 2113:09
41 Luke Glendening 000 0 20.18 2012:29
86 Denver Barkey 000 0 10.00 3112:01
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 0 20.23 1111:55
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 0 10.01 4210:51
Defense
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 0 30.03 1125:16
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 000 -1 60.28 1424:35
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 10.00 0224:08
8 Cam York 000 0 50.13 0020:50
24 Nick Seeler 000 +1 10.00 2112:42
36 Emil Andrae 011 +1 00.00 0111:26
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 28127 .964 1.90 +0.90

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
73 Jet Greaves G +2.20 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.20 64:51
5 Denton Mateychuk D +0.86 0.00 +0.03 +0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 16:08
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.80 0.00 +0.05 +0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 26:37
17 Mason Marchment L +0.72 0.00 +0.06 +0.71 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 17:31
83 Conor Garland R +0.62 0.00 +0.12 +0.50 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 12:10
91 Kent Johnson C +0.60 0.00 +0.07 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:27
23 Sean Monahan C +0.54 0.00 +0.09 +0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:39
86 Kirill Marchenko R +0.45 +0.75 +0.33 -0.53 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 22:06
38 Boone Jenner C +0.34 0.00 +0.03 +0.29 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 11:56
43 Danton Heinen L +0.32 0.00 +0.10 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:28
21 Isac Lundeström C +0.23 0.00 +0.07 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:07
19 Adam Fantilli C +0.15 +0.70 +0.12 -0.70 0.00 +0.02 +0.01 — 19:16
3 Charlie Coyle C +0.13 0.00 +0.11 +0.02 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 21:20
78 Damon Severson D +0.08 +0.55 +0.02 -0.24 -0.30 0.00 +0.05 — 23:18
24 Mathieu Olivier R +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 14:25
8 Zach Werenski D -0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 27:13
6 Egor Zamula D -0.26 0.00 +0.02 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 7:20
15 Dante Fabbro D -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:02
4 Cole Sillinger C -1.35 0.00 0.00 -1.39 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 14:06

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
20 Alex Bump L +1.71 +0.75 +0.54 +0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:34
36 Emil Andrae D +1.38 +0.70 0.00 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:26
22 Christian Dvorak C +1.00 +0.55 +0.09 +0.27 0.00 +0.08 0.00 — 19:47
11 Travis Konecny R +0.95 0.00 +0.19 +0.67 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 — 22:05
80 Dan Vladar G +0.90 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.90 65:00
24 Nick Seeler D +0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:42
29 Nikita Grebenkin R +0.54 0.00 +0.15 +0.19 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 11:55
52 Denver Barkey C +0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.12 +0.45 0.00 +0.05 — 12:01
74 Owen Tippett R +0.26 0.00 +0.38 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:23
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.23 0.00 +0.14 +0.19 0.00 -0.06 -0.04 — 22:15
39 Matvei Michkov R -0.04 0.00 +0.15 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 17:18
8 Cam York D -0.13 0.00 +0.09 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:50
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D -0.16 0.00 +0.18 -0.35 -0.15 0.00 +0.16 — 24:35
27 Noah Cates L -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 13:09
9 Jamie Drysdale D -0.19 0.00 +0.02 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 25:16
41 Luke Glendening C -0.24 0.00 +0.11 -0.32 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 12:29
14 Sean Couturier C -0.28 0.00 +0.04 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:16
91 Carl Grundstrom R -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 10:51
6 Travis Sanheim D -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.78 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 24:08

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.