| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
 |
1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 36 |
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:10 | |
Juraj Slafkovský (26)PP Nick Suzuki (58), Cole Caufield (30) · slap xG 0.11 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 6:46 | |
Emil Heineman (20)PP Anders Lee (21), Tony DeAngelo (28) · snap xG 0.07 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 13:19 | |
Simon Holmstrom (17) Adam Pelech (10) · wrist xG 0.27 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 17:49 | |
Alex Newhook (10) Kaiden Guhle (7), Oliver Kapanen (14) · snap xG 0.03 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 19:08 | |
Cole Caufield (41)PP Nick Suzuki (59), Juraj Slafkovský (33) · snap xG 0.16 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:45 | |
Matthew Schaefer (22)PP Mathew Barzal (46), Bo Horvat (21) · slap xG 0.04 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 3:17 | |
Kaiden Guhle (2) Alexandre Carrier (14), Brendan Gallagher (16) · slap xG 0.01 | 3–4 ▶ |
| 8:08 | |
Juraj Slafkovský (27) Cole Caufield (31), Nick Suzuki (60) · snap xG 0.18 | 3–5 ▶ |
| 11:20 | |
Cole Caufield (42) Juraj Slafkovský (34), Kaiden Guhle (8) · snap xG 0.21 | 3–6 ▶ |
| 14:59 | |
Cole Caufield (43)PP Nick Suzuki (61) · snap xG 0.19 | 3–7 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | Expected goals | 4.46 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 7 |
| 1.54 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.34 |
| 50 | Shot attempts | 67 |
| 30 | Unblocked attempts | 54 |
| 22 | Shots on goal | 36 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.14–0.11
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 1–1 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 17:07 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 21 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:50 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.31–0.17
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:20 of the 2nd to 6:20 of the 3rd; goals 3–1 |
| 11:20 | NYI | Goalie change | Goalie change · Rittich in for Sorokin
11:20 of the 3rd; Sorokin had allowed 6 goals on 32 shots (4.19 xG) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 20:21 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 8 | 0.42 | 2 | 0 | 18:24 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.22 | 3 | 0 | 17:46 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.06 | 3 | 2 | 15:15 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 13:55 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 13:20 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 2 | 1 | 12:37 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 11:40 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.13 | 6 | 0 | 10:46 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 9 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 22:25 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 22:19 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.11 | 3 | 0 | 21:03 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 20:29 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 14:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 32 | 6 | 26 | .813 | 4.19 | -1.81 |
| David Rittich | 4 | 1 | 3 | .750 | 0.27 | -0.73 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 0.35 | 2 | 0 | 18:47 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 7 | 0.47 | 1 | 1 | 17:14 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.45 | 1 | 0 | 16:14 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 3 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 4 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 16:02 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.86 | 5 | 1 | 14:11 |
| 15 | Alex Newhook | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 13:15 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 5 | 0 | 12:04 |
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 11:38 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.05 | 2 | 3 | 21:45 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 21:42 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 9 | 0.40 | 0 | 5 | 21:27 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 20:37 |
| 21 | Kaiden Guhle | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 0.12 | 2 | 4 | 16:21 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 14:51 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fowler | 22 | 3 | 19 | .864 | 2.07 | -0.93 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.81 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -0.25 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 17:46 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.67 | +0.75 | +0.07 | -0.38 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:25 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +0.37 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.53 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:15 |
| 92 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.13 | +0.75 | +0.24 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:09 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +0.10 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:29 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.10 | +0.70 | +0.27 | -0.75 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:24 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | -0.04 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.60 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 20:21 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:19 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:37 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:11 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.49 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 15:15 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:46 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.31 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 13:20 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:48 |
| 33 David Rittich G | -0.73 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.73 | 8:11 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.13 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | — | 13:55 |
| 81 Ondrej Palat L | -1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:42 |
| 4 Carson Soucy D | -1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:24 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | -1.33 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -1.63 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:01 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | -1.81 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.81 | 50:47 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +5.60 | +3.50 | +0.36 | +1.59 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:07 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +4.76 | +2.75 | +0.30 | +1.54 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 17:14 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +4.65 | +2.65 | +0.23 | +1.71 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 18:47 |
| 21 Kaiden Guhle D | +3.52 | +2.00 | +0.08 | +1.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 16:21 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +1.87 | 0.00 | +0.56 | +1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:11 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:42 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +1.53 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:37 |
| 15 Alex Newhook C | +1.26 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.31 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 13:52 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +1.19 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:45 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.55 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.27 | — | 21:27 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +0.89 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.31 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:50 |
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:38 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +0.57 | +0.55 | +0.11 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:15 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:02 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:14 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.32 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 15:30 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:51 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:04 |
| 32 Jacob Fowler G | -0.93 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.93 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.