Sunday, March 22, 2026
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
WPG 67%Deserve to win 33% NYR
WPG NYR
3.48 Expected goals 2.46
2 Goals (no shootout) 2
2.28 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.36
67 Shot attempts 58
54 Unblocked attempts 48
37 Shots on goal 29
Shot map
WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → NYR shoots
Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:03)
Cole Koepke: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:49)
Cole Perfetti: deflected, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 3:21)
Alex Iafallo: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 3:55)
Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:26)
Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:44)
J.T. Miller: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:18)
Conor Sheary: wrist, 98 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:29)
J.T. Miller: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:33)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:09)
Dylan Samberg: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:33)
Morgan Barron: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:20)
Kyle Connor: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:08)
Will Cuylle: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:44)
Braden Schneider: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:11)
Will Borgen: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:24)
Connor Mackey: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:38)
Cole Koepke: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:39)
Will Cuylle: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:59)
Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:10)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:54)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:32)
Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:58)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:33)
Dylan Samberg: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:40)
Gabe Perreault: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:14)
Dylan DeMelo: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:06)
Tye Kartye: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 4:09)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:30)
Mark Scheifele: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:34)
Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:37)
Mark Scheifele: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 4:41)
Neal Pionk: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:25)
Brad Lambert: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:49)
Jonathan Toews: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 6:06)
Brad Lambert: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:07)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:11)
Alex Iafallo: backhand, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:54)
Will Borgen: wrist, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:26)
Gabriel Vilardi: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:36)
Kyle Connor: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:40)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:45)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:05)
Braden Schneider: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:42)
Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:55)
Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:33)
Alexis Lafrenière: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:42)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:51)
Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:52)
J.T. Miller: slap, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:13)
Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:14)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.32 (P2 11:09)
Will Cuylle: slap, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:38)
Will Cuylle: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:45)
Conor Sheary: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:48)
Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:11)
Adam Fox: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:01)
Connor Mackey: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:04)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:35)
Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:01)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:58)
Matthew Robertson: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:40)
Cole Koepke: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:31)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:38)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:41)
Jonny Brodzinski: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:10)
Adam Fox: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:33)
Dylan Samberg: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:58)
Braden Schneider: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:48)
Mark Scheifele: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 5:35)
Alexis Lafrenière: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:15)
Gabe Perreault: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 6:20)
Matthew Robertson: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:59)
Morgan Barron: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:35)
Alex Iafallo: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:53)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:58)
Cole Perfetti: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:21)
Brad Lambert: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:12)
Jonny Brodzinski: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:52)
Cole Perfetti: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:50)
Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:50)
Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:59)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:37)
Mark Scheifele: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:45)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:24)
Cole Perfetti: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:28)
Kyle Connor: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 16:42)
Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:51)
Connor Mackey: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:04)
Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:41)
Adam Fox: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (OT 1:50)
J.T. Miller: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:13)
Vincent Trocheck: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 2:46)
Adam Fox: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 3:03)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 3:38)
J.T. Miller: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 3:44)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 3:51)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 4:52)
Adam Lowry: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 13:06)
Tye Kartye: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 0:41)
Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 6:43)
Mika Zibanejad: GOAL, slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:03)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Winnipeg Jets
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Eric Comrie
29 2 27
.931
2.46
+0.46
New York Rangers
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Dylan Garand
37 2 35
.946
3.48
+1.48
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Winnipeg Jets
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
81 Kyle Connor L
+2.70
+0.70
+0.48
+1.17
+0.30
0.00
+0.06
—
24:46
13 Gabriel Vilardi C
+1.98
+1.45
+0.18
+0.33
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
17:19
55 Mark Scheifele C
+1.60
0.00
+0.34
+1.18
0.00
+0.03
+0.05
—
24:40
91 Cole Perfetti C
+1.37
+0.55
+0.33
+0.43
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:43
44 Josh Morrissey D
+1.36
+0.55
+0.10
+0.71
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
26:47
17 Adam Lowry C
+1.12
+0.75
+0.11
+0.31
0.00
-0.05
0.00
—
17:06
4 Neal Pionk D
+0.88
0.00
+0.12
+0.81
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
25:27
9 Alex Iafallo L
+0.70
0.00
+0.10
+0.55
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
18:22
1 Eric Comrie G
+0.46
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.46
64:37
57 Elias Salomonsson D
+0.35
0.00
+0.01
+0.36
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
19:38
36 Morgan Barron C
+0.30
0.00
+0.03
+0.17
0.00
-0.03
+0.12
—
13:46
93 Brad Lambert C
+0.23
0.00
+0.12
+0.13
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
13:04
54 Dylan Samberg D
+0.19
0.00
+0.07
+0.16
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
23:05
2 Dylan DeMelo D
+0.18
0.00
+0.10
+0.08
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:14
27 Isak Rosen R
+0.02
0.00
0.00
-0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
10:10
19 Jonathan Toews C
-0.23
0.00
+0.12
-0.39
0.00
+0.04
0.00
—
11:05
24 Haydn Fleury D
-0.26
0.00
0.00
-0.13
-0.15
0.00
+0.02
—
10:43
14 Gustav Nyquist R
-0.37
0.00
+0.02
-0.39
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:30
45 Cole Koepke L
-0.43
0.00
+0.04
-0.45
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
11:12
New York Rangers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
33 Dylan Garand G
+1.48
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.48
65:00
8 J.T. Miller C
+1.14
+1.25
+0.21
-0.42
0.00
+0.07
+0.03
—
20:21
93 Mika Zibanejad C
+0.66
+0.75
+0.20
-0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
23:29
24 Tye Kartye L
+0.55
+0.75
+0.26
-0.28
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
13:18
4 Braden Schneider D
+0.48
0.00
+0.02
+0.33
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
24:38
22 Jonny Brodzinski C
+0.24
0.00
+0.12
+0.12
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
6:04
84 Adam Edstrom C
+0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.12
0.00
-0.03
+0.10
—
7:12
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R
+0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.04
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
6:03
29 Matthew Robertson D
+0.13
0.00
+0.03
+0.21
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
23:16
13 Alexis Lafrenière L
-0.04
0.00
+0.09
-0.13
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
19:43
17 Will Borgen D
-0.13
0.00
+0.02
-0.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:32
12 Connor Mackey D
-0.16
0.00
+0.05
-0.25
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:30
94 Gabe Perreault R
-0.20
0.00
+0.14
-0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.03
—
19:58
23 Adam Fox D
-0.31
+0.70
+0.11
-1.20
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
23:19
50 Will Cuylle L
-0.32
0.00
+0.12
-0.42
0.00
-0.02
0.00
—
17:30
16 Vincent Trocheck C
-0.40
0.00
+0.13
-0.50
0.00
+0.02
-0.04
—
24:31
43 Conor Sheary L
-0.41
0.00
0.00
-0.43
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
14:16
14 Taylor Raddysh R
-0.65
0.00
+0.06
-0.54
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
17:51
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D
-0.75
0.00
+0.06
-0.97
+0.15
0.00
+0.01
—
24:17
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.