Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
CBJ 33%Deserve to win 67% PHI
CBJ PHI
1.66 Expected goals 2.54
3 Goals (no shootout) 2
1.49 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.38
45 Shot attempts 58
34 Unblocked attempts 44
19 Shots on goal 26
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
16:51
PHI
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 3–1
With 3:09 left; PHI scored at 17:56 of the 3rd (3–2)
18:02
PHI
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 3–2
With 1:58 left
Shot map
CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → PHI shoots
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:32)
Alex Bump: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:23)
Garnet Hathaway: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:54)
Erik Gudbranson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:55)
Trevor Zegras: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:16)
Owen Tippett: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:34)
Mason Marchment: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:58)
Noah Cates: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:55)
Cam York: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:08)
Owen Tippett: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:15)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:50)
Ivan Provorov: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:37)
Cam York: snap, 144 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:42)
Mason Marchment: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 13:02)
Noah Cates: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:23)
Noah Cates: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 13:28)
Travis Konecny: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:29)
Noah Juulsen: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:34)
Owen Tippett: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:48)
Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:05)
Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:04)
Luke Glendening: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 17:06)
Garnet Hathaway: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:44)
Zach Werenski: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:25)
Ivan Provorov: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:23)
Boone Jenner: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:23)
Danton Heinen: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 1:46)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:49)
Trevor Zegras: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:10)
Mason Marchment: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 2:16)
Dante Fabbro: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:38)
Dante Fabbro: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:49)
Travis Sanheim: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:13)
Owen Tippett: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:59)
Mathieu Olivier: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:31)
Danton Heinen: wrist, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:50)
Damon Severson: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:29)
Nick Seeler: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:18)
Denver Barkey: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:48)
Travis Sanheim: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:01)
Mason Marchment: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:40)
Zach Werenski: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:58)
Noah Cates: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:20)
Travis Konecny: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:06)
Owen Tippett: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:55)
Conor Garland: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:30)
Owen Tippett: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:40)
Cam York: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:31)
Rasmus Ristolainen: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:34)
Owen Tippett: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:35)
Owen Tippett: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:36)
Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:14)
Garnet Hathaway: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:31)
Sean Couturier: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:54)
Boone Jenner: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:06)
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:48)
Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:53)
Conor Garland: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:05)
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:37)
Damon Severson: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:38)
Alex Bump: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 8:07)
Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:05)
Kent Johnson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 10:14)
Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:41)
Christian Dvorak: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 13:57)
Charlie Coyle: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:25)
Sean Couturier: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:57)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 159 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:00)
Owen Tippett: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:50)
Trevor Zegras: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:33)
Owen Tippett: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:51)
Denver Barkey: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 19:43)
Noah Cates: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:58)
Sean Couturier: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:07)
Mathieu Olivier: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 0:44)
Zach Werenski: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:28)
Mason Marchment: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:38)
Jamie Drysdale: GOAL, slap, 46 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:56)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Columbus Blue Jackets
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Jet Greaves
26 2 24
.923
2.54
+0.54
Philadelphia Flyers
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Dan Vladar
19 3 16
.842
1.63
-1.37
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
8 Zach Werenski D
+2.17
+1.45
+0.10
+0.68
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
24:27
17 Mason Marchment L
+2.08
+1.30
+0.31
+0.45
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
15:03
78 Damon Severson D
+1.90
+1.25
+0.03
+0.61
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
23:18
24 Mathieu Olivier R
+1.34
+0.75
+0.15
+0.54
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
16:44
19 Adam Fantilli C
+0.88
+0.55
0.00
+0.25
+0.15
-0.05
-0.02
—
15:16
4 Cole Sillinger C
+0.74
0.00
+0.10
+0.61
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
17:13
86 Kirill Marchenko R
+0.70
+0.70
+0.02
+0.13
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
14:38
3 Charlie Coyle C
+0.54
0.00
+0.08
+0.47
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
18:04
73 Jet Greaves G
+0.54
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.54
60:00
15 Dante Fabbro D
+0.44
0.00
+0.04
+0.17
+0.15
0.00
+0.09
—
13:28
9 Ivan Provorov D
+0.11
0.00
+0.01
+0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
24:53
38 Boone Jenner C
+0.08
0.00
+0.04
+0.03
0.00
-0.01
+0.02
—
16:31
44 Erik Gudbranson D
+0.04
0.00
+0.01
-0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.23
—
19:58
43 Danton Heinen L
-0.03
0.00
+0.07
-0.09
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:18
91 Kent Johnson C
-0.15
0.00
+0.09
-0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:21
83 Conor Garland R
-0.16
0.00
+0.03
-0.17
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:41
21 Isac Lundeström C
-0.22
0.00
0.00
-0.26
0.00
+0.01
+0.03
—
14:41
23 Sean Monahan C
-0.43
0.00
0.00
-0.47
0.00
+0.04
0.00
—
15:55
5 Denton Mateychuk D
-0.53
0.00
0.00
-0.53
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:31
Philadelphia Flyers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
41 Luke Glendening C
+1.40
+0.70
+0.09
+0.59
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
12:30
14 Sean Couturier C
+1.40
+0.75
+0.07
+0.52
0.00
+0.01
+0.05
—
16:15
19 Garnet Hathaway R
+0.79
0.00
+0.11
+0.60
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
12:43
24 Nick Seeler D
+0.59
0.00
+0.03
+0.56
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
15:26
9 Jamie Drysdale D
+0.52
+0.75
+0.04
-0.38
0.00
0.00
+0.12
—
21:56
46 Trevor Zegras C
+0.52
+0.70
+0.05
-0.07
-0.15
-0.01
0.00
—
19:08
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D
+0.35
+0.55
+0.03
-0.22
0.00
0.00
-0.01
—
22:27
47 Noah Juulsen D
+0.32
0.00
+0.01
+0.17
+0.15
0.00
-0.01
—
12:58
22 Christian Dvorak C
+0.24
+0.55
+0.12
-0.46
0.00
+0.04
0.00
—
17:52
74 Owen Tippett R
+0.22
0.00
+0.38
+0.03
-0.15
-0.01
-0.02
—
18:18
27 Noah Cates L
+0.05
0.00
+0.37
-0.40
+0.15
-0.04
-0.02
—
16:00
91 Carl Grundstrom R
-0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.04
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
9:50
52 Denver Barkey C
-0.13
0.00
+0.16
-0.31
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
13:16
8 Cam York D
-0.30
0.00
+0.02
-0.47
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
20:28
6 Travis Sanheim D
-0.40
0.00
+0.06
-0.49
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
22:50
20 Alex Bump L
-0.45
0.00
+0.08
-0.51
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:59
39 Matvei Michkov R
-0.46
0.00
0.00
-0.44
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
16:38
11 Travis Konecny R
-0.68
0.00
+0.05
-0.74
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
19:32
80 Dan Vladar G
-1.37
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.37
56:54
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.