Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 3–2 Final Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 021 3 19
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 101 2 26
Playoff odds, % Change
CBJ +8.8
PHI -7.9
NYI -1.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 24, 2026 6:43 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:07 PHI Sean Couturier (8) Luke Glendening (6), Rasmus Ristolainen (8) · wrist xG 0.06 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
0:44 CBJ Mathieu Olivier (15) Zach Werenski (56), Damon Severson (23) · wrist xG 0.09 1–1 ▶
2:28 CBJ Zach Werenski (21) Damon Severson (24), Mason Marchment (19) · wrist xG 0.09 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
4:38 CBJ Mason Marchment (17) Kirill Marchenko (34), Adam Fantilli (32) · snap xG 0.08 3–1 ▶
17:56 PHI Jamie Drysdale (8) Trevor Zegras (34), Christian Dvorak (28) · slap xG 0.06 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 33%Deserve to win67% PHI
CBJPHI
1.66Expected goals2.54
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.49Expected goals, 5 on 51.38
45Shot attempts58
34Unblocked attempts44
19Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
16:51 PHI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 3–1
With 3:09 left; PHI scored at 17:56 of the 3rd (3–2)
18:02 PHI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 3–2
With 1:58 left

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:32) Alex Bump: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:23) Garnet Hathaway: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:54) Erik Gudbranson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:55) Trevor Zegras: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:16) Owen Tippett: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:34) Mason Marchment: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:58) Noah Cates: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:55) Cam York: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:08) Owen Tippett: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:15) Nick Seeler: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:50) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:37) Cam York: snap, 144 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:42) Mason Marchment: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 13:02) Noah Cates: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:23) Noah Cates: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 13:28) Travis Konecny: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:29) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:34) Owen Tippett: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:48) Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:05) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:04) Luke Glendening: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 17:06) Garnet Hathaway: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:44) Zach Werenski: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:25) Ivan Provorov: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:23) Boone Jenner: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:23) Danton Heinen: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 1:46) Zach Werenski: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:49) Trevor Zegras: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:10) Mason Marchment: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 2:16) Dante Fabbro: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:38) Dante Fabbro: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:49) Travis Sanheim: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:13) Owen Tippett: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:59) Mathieu Olivier: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:31) Danton Heinen: wrist, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:50) Damon Severson: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:29) Nick Seeler: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:18) Denver Barkey: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:48) Travis Sanheim: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:01) Mason Marchment: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:40) Zach Werenski: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:58) Noah Cates: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:20) Travis Konecny: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:06) Owen Tippett: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:55) Conor Garland: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:30) Owen Tippett: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:40) Cam York: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:31) Rasmus Ristolainen: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:34) Owen Tippett: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:35) Owen Tippett: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:36) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:14) Garnet Hathaway: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:31) Sean Couturier: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:54) Boone Jenner: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:06) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:48) Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:53) Conor Garland: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:05) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:37) Damon Severson: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:38) Alex Bump: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 8:07) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:05) Kent Johnson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 10:14) Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:41) Christian Dvorak: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 13:57) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:25) Sean Couturier: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:57) Zach Werenski: wrist, 159 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:00) Owen Tippett: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:50) Trevor Zegras: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:33) Owen Tippett: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:51) Denver Barkey: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 19:43) Noah Cates: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:58) Sean Couturier: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:07) Mathieu Olivier: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 0:44) Zach Werenski: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:28) Mason Marchment: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:38) Jamie Drysdale: GOAL, slap, 46 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
3 Charlie Coyle 000 -1 20.12 2018:04
4 Cole Sillinger 000 +1 20.16 2117:13
24 Mathieu Olivier 101 +1 50.23 7116:44
22 Boone Jenner 000 +1 20.06 3016:31
23 Sean Monahan 000 -1 10.00 0015:55
19 Adam Fantilli 011 +1 00.00 3015:16
27 Mason Marchment 112 +1 60.47 3115:03
21 Isac Lundeström 000 -1 00.00 0114:41
86 Kirill Marchenko 011 +1 20.04 1014:38
83 Conor Garland 000 0 30.04 0012:41
58 Danton Heinen 000 0 20.11 1012:18
91 Kent Johnson 000 0 10.14 1011:21
Defense
9 Ivan Provorov 000 +1 40.02 0024:53
8 Zach Werenski 112 +1 70.16 0024:27
78 Damon Severson 022 +1 50.05 0023:18
44 Erik Gudbranson 000 0 10.01 0519:58
15 Dante Fabbro 000 0 20.06 1113:28
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 -1 00.00 1011:31
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 26224 .923 2.54 +0.54

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Travis Konecny 000 0 30.07 0019:22
46 Trevor Zegras 011 0 40.08 0019:08
74 Owen Tippett 000 0 110.58 1018:18
22 Christian Dvorak 011 0 10.18 0017:42
39 Matvei Michkov 000 0 10.00 1016:48
14 Sean Couturier 101 +1 40.10 1116:15
27 Noah Cates 000 -1 50.57 1016:10
86 Denver Barkey 000 -2 20.25 1013:26
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 +1 30.17 2212:43
41 Luke Glendening 011 +1 10.14 0012:30
20 Alex Bump 000 -1 30.12 0010:49
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 0 00.00 3009:50
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 40.09 0122:50
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 011 -1 30.05 2122:27
9 Jamie Drysdale 101 -1 30.06 0221:56
8 Cam York 000 -1 30.03 0320:29
24 Nick Seeler 000 +1 50.04 1015:25
47 Noah Juulsen 000 0 20.01 0112:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 19316 .842 1.63 -1.37

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
8 Zach Werenski D +2.17 +1.45 +0.10 +0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 24:27
17 Mason Marchment L +2.08 +1.30 +0.31 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:03
78 Damon Severson D +1.90 +1.25 +0.03 +0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:18
24 Mathieu Olivier R +1.34 +0.75 +0.15 +0.54 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 16:44
19 Adam Fantilli C +0.88 +0.55 0.00 +0.25 +0.15 -0.05 -0.02 — 15:16
4 Cole Sillinger C +0.74 0.00 +0.10 +0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:13
86 Kirill Marchenko R +0.70 +0.70 +0.02 +0.13 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:38
3 Charlie Coyle C +0.54 0.00 +0.08 +0.47 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:04
73 Jet Greaves G +0.54 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.54 60:00
15 Dante Fabbro D +0.44 0.00 +0.04 +0.17 +0.15 0.00 +0.09 — 13:28
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.11 0.00 +0.01 +0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:53
38 Boone Jenner C +0.08 0.00 +0.04 +0.03 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 16:31
44 Erik Gudbranson D +0.04 0.00 +0.01 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 19:58
43 Danton Heinen L -0.03 0.00 +0.07 -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:18
91 Kent Johnson C -0.15 0.00 +0.09 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:21
83 Conor Garland R -0.16 0.00 +0.03 -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:41
21 Isac Lundeström C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 14:41
23 Sean Monahan C -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.47 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 15:55
5 Denton Mateychuk D -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:31

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
41 Luke Glendening C +1.40 +0.70 +0.09 +0.59 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 12:30
14 Sean Couturier C +1.40 +0.75 +0.07 +0.52 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 16:15
19 Garnet Hathaway R +0.79 0.00 +0.11 +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 12:43
24 Nick Seeler D +0.59 0.00 +0.03 +0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:26
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.52 +0.75 +0.04 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 21:56
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.52 +0.70 +0.05 -0.07 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 19:08
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D +0.35 +0.55 +0.03 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 22:27
47 Noah Juulsen D +0.32 0.00 +0.01 +0.17 +0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 12:58
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.24 +0.55 +0.12 -0.46 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 17:52
74 Owen Tippett R +0.22 0.00 +0.38 +0.03 -0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 18:18
27 Noah Cates L +0.05 0.00 +0.37 -0.40 +0.15 -0.04 -0.02 — 16:00
91 Carl Grundstrom R -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:50
52 Denver Barkey C -0.13 0.00 +0.16 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:16
8 Cam York D -0.30 0.00 +0.02 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 20:28
6 Travis Sanheim D -0.40 0.00 +0.06 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:50
20 Alex Bump L -0.45 0.00 +0.08 -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:59
39 Matvei Michkov R -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:38
11 Travis Konecny R -0.68 0.00 +0.05 -0.74 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 19:32
80 Dan Vladar G -1.37 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.37 56:54

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.