| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 26 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 30 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:29 | Max Sasson (12) Filip Hronek (35), Zeev Buium (19) · snap xG 0.16 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 1:22 | Nathan MacKinnon (50) Devon Toews (18), Sam Malinski (30) · wrist xG 0.04 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 5:21 | Teddy Blueger (7)SH Liam Ohgren (8) · wrist xG 0.16 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 11:38 | Jake DeBrusk (17)PP Elias Pettersson (32), Marco Rossi (20) · tip-in xG 0.12 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 16:05 | Gabriel Landeskog (12) Brent Burns (20), Valeri Nichushkin (29) · tip-in xG 0.04 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:02 | Teddy Blueger (8) Max Sasson (5), Marcus Pettersson (14) · wrist xG 0.23 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 9:42 | Brock Boeser (19) Tom Willander (15), Marco Rossi (21) · snap xG 0.11 | 5–2 ▶ | |
| 15:21 | Brock Boeser (20) Drew O'Connor (11) · wrist xG 0.04 | 6–2 ▶ | |
| 15:43 | Sam Malinski (6) Devon Toews (19) · wrist xG 0.02 | 6–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:14 | Parker Kelly (19) Jack Drury (17), Josh Manson (25) · wrist xG 0.03 | 6–4 ▶ | |
| 13:21 | Brent Burns (11) Brock Nelson (29), Valeri Nichushkin (30) · snap xG 0.02 | 6–5 ▶ | |
| 13:58 | Sam Malinski (7) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.04 | 6–6 ▶ | |
| 14:21 | Marcus Pettersson (2) Brock Boeser (22), Drew O'Connor (12) · slap xG 0.09 | 7–6 ▶ | |
| 18:31 | Brock Boeser (21)EN Marcus Pettersson (15) · wrist xG 0.51 | 8–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| VAN | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.63 | Expected goals | 3.20 |
| 8 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 2.60 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.55 |
| 50 | Shot attempts | 62 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 46 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 30 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:38 | COL | Goalie | Goalie · Blackwood −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.89 xG, 6 shots on goal |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 15:21 | COL | Goalie change | Goalie change · Wedgewood in for Blackwood
15:21 of the 2nd; Blackwood had allowed 6 goals on 19 shots (2.25 xG) |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:14 | VAN | Goalie | Goalie · Lankinen −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.68 xG, 14 shots on goal |
| 17:45 | COL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Wedgewood, down 7–6
With 2:15 left; VAN scored at 18:31 of the 3rd (8–6) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 40 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 20:04 |
| 73 | Teddy Blueger | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.65 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 0.78 | 0 | 0 | 18:57 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 17:15 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 17:02 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 63 | Max Sasson | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 1 | 15:18 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 13:36 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.20 | 2 | 1 | 12:43 |
| 54 | Aatu Räty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 3 | 2 | 11:52 |
| 21 | Nils Hoglander | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 06:57 |
| 42 | Curtis Douglas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.45 | 3 | 0 | 06:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 28:47 |
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 0.09 | 3 | 3 | 25:07 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.12 | 2 | 1 | 18:57 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.20 | 3 | 2 | 17:31 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 |
| 7 | Pierre-Olivier Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | 30 | 6 | 24 | .800 | 3.20 | -2.80 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | Martin Necas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 25:06 |
| 29 | Nathan MacKinnon | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 11 | 0.64 | 4 | 0 | 24:21 |
| 11 | Brock Nelson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 1 | 1 | 22:29 |
| 91 | Nazem Kadri | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 6 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 | 17:59 |
| 62 | Artturi Lehkonen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 |
| 92 | Gabriel Landeskog | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 15:26 |
| 43 | Valeri Nichushkin | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 |
| 17 | Parker Kelly | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.45 | 2 | 0 | 12:03 |
| 18 | Jack Drury | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 11:31 |
| 79 | Ross Colton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:35 |
| 25 | Logan O'Connor | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:15 |
| 22 | Joel Kiviranta | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 08:11 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 7 | Devon Toews | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 24:54 |
| 70 | Sam Malinski | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 20:52 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 19:13 |
| 84 | Brent Burns | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 19:09 |
| 42 | Josh Manson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 16:55 |
| 3 | Nick Blankenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | 19 | 6 | 13 | .684 | 2.25 | -3.75 |
| Scott Wedgewood | 6 | 1 | 5 | .833 | 0.87 | -0.13 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Brock Boeser R | +3.57 | +2.95 | +0.51 | +0.17 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 18:57 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | +2.86 | +2.00 | +0.06 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 25:07 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +2.46 | +1.25 | +0.13 | +0.84 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 12:43 |
| 53 Teddy Blueger C | +2.16 | +1.50 | +0.42 | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:48 |
| 63 Max Sasson C | +1.68 | +1.45 | +0.20 | -0.16 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:18 |
| 93 Marco Rossi C | +1.43 | +1.10 | +0.03 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:36 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | +1.15 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:57 |
| 42 Curtis Douglas C | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 6:18 |
| 24 Zeev Buium D | +0.57 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:48 |
| 54 Aatu Räty C | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.10 | — | 11:52 |
| 21 Nils Hoglander L | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 6:57 |
| 40 Elias Pettersson C | +0.13 | +0.70 | +0.14 | -0.92 | +0.15 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 20:04 |
| 25 Elias Pettersson D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 17:31 |
| 92 Liam Ohgren L | +0.03 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 17:15 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | +0.02 | +0.75 | +0.16 | -0.78 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:02 |
| 7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:01 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | -0.17 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 28:47 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.25 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:59 |
| 32 Kevin Lankinen G | -2.80 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.80 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Sam Malinski D | +3.87 | +2.05 | +0.06 | +1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:52 |
| 7 Devon Toews D | +3.68 | +1.40 | +0.03 | +2.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 24:54 |
| 11 Brock Nelson C | +1.96 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +1.13 | 0.00 | -0.08 | +0.03 | — | 22:29 |
| 29 Nathan MacKinnon C | +1.77 | +0.75 | +0.42 | +0.53 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.06 | — | 24:21 |
| 13 Valeri Nichushkin R | +1.43 | +1.10 | +0.18 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:01 |
| 88 Martin Necas C | +1.34 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +1.08 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 25:06 |
| 84 Brent Burns D | +1.29 | +1.45 | +0.02 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:09 |
| 92 Gabriel Landeskog L | +1.19 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.58 | -0.30 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 15:26 |
| 17 Parker Kelly C | +0.61 | +0.75 | +0.29 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:03 |
| 91 Nazem Kadri C | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.32 | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 17:59 |
| 62 Artturi Lehkonen L | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:53 |
| 41 Scott Wedgewood G | -0.13 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.13 | 22:24 |
| 18 Jack Drury C | -0.26 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:31 |
| 25 Logan O'Connor R | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:15 |
| 37 Nick Blankenburg D | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:08 |
| 42 Josh Manson D | -0.78 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 16:55 |
| 94 Joel Kiviranta L | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:11 |
| 20 Ross Colton C | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.87 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 9:35 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | -1.49 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:13 |
| 39 Mackenzie Blackwood G | -3.75 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.75 | 35:21 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.