| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | |
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 39 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:32 | Adam Henrique (3) Jack Roslovic (13), Darnell Nurse (15) · backhand xG 0.07 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 12:13 | Matt Savoie (15)PP Connor McDavid (83), Evan Bouchard (67) · snap xG 0.24 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:06 | Nick Lardis (9) Connor Bedard (39), Teuvo Teravainen (20) · snap xG 0.32 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 18:59 | Vasily Podkolzin (17)EN Jason Dickinson (9), Connor Murphy (11) · snap xG 0.79 | 1–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CHI | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.16 | Expected goals | 4.84 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.49 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.83 |
| 58 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 54 |
| 18 | Shots on goal | 39 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | CHI | Goalie change | Goalie change · Knight in for Soderblom
The start of the 2nd; Soderblom had allowed 1 goal on 5 shots (0.34 xG) |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:18 | CHI | Goalie change | Goalie change · Soderblom in for Knight
3:18 of the 2nd; Knight had allowed 0 goals on 13 shots (1.81 xG) |
| 19:01 | EDM | Goalie | Goalie · Jarry +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 12 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:58 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Knight +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.05 xG, 24 shots on goal |
| 17:17 | CHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Knight, down 2–1
With 2:43 left; EDM scored at 18:59 of the 3rd (1–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 20:14 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 19:45 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 19:43 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 19:17 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 17:41 |
| 16 | Anton Frondell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 17:21 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 15:49 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 14:16 |
| 76 | Nick Lardis | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.53 | 2 | 0 | 13:35 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 2 | 0 | 09:35 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 08:49 |
| 90 | Sacha Boisvert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 07:10 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 22:01 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 3 | 21:03 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 21:01 |
| 6 | Sam Rinzel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 1 | 2 | 17:44 |
| 38 | Ethan Del Mastro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 16:37 |
| 14 | Kevin Korchinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 14:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 33 | 1 | 32 | .970 | 3.72 | +2.72 |
| Arvid Soderblom | 5 | 1 | 4 | .800 | 0.34 | -0.66 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.67 | 1 | 0 | 22:24 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 20:29 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.62 | 0 | 0 | 19:07 |
| 18 | Zach Hyman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 16:40 |
| 42 | Kasperi Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 15:43 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 | 15:11 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.95 | 2 | 3 | 14:53 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.29 | 4 | 1 | 14:38 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | 3 | 1 | 13:36 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.28 | 0 | 2 | 12:28 |
| 46 | Max Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 10:13 |
| 81 | Josh Samanski | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 10:09 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 23:11 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 21:01 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 20:14 |
| 96 | Jake Walman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.11 | 1 | 3 | 18:13 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 16:26 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 13:47 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | 18 | 1 | 17 | .944 | 3.16 | +2.16 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Spencer Knight G | +2.72 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.72 | 53:21 |
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +1.36 | +0.70 | +0.27 | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | — | 20:14 |
| 76 Nick Lardis L | +1.11 | +0.75 | +0.34 | +0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:35 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +1.05 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:17 |
| 14 Kevin Korchinski D | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:48 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:43 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:35 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:49 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.20 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 21:03 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:01 |
| 12 Sacha Boisvert C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:10 |
| 16 Anton Frondell C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.16 | 0.00 | -0.08 | +0.01 | — | 17:21 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.57 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 17:41 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 22:01 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:45 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.39 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:44 |
| 38 Ethan Del Mastro D | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:37 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:49 |
| 40 Arvid Soderblom G | -0.66 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.66 | 4:57 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:16 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Tristan Jarry G | +2.16 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.16 | 59:37 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | +1.92 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.91 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 12:23 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +1.47 | +0.75 | +0.62 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.17 | — | 14:53 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | +1.35 | +0.70 | +0.21 | +0.45 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.05 | — | 15:11 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +1.12 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:14 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +1.11 | +0.70 | +0.19 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 14:38 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +0.80 | +0.75 | +0.40 | -0.34 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 19:07 |
| 46 Max Jones L | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.49 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:02 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.16 | +0.30 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 13:36 |
| 81 Josh Samanski C | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 10:13 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +0.61 | +0.55 | +0.03 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:23 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 16:27 |
| 42 Kasperi Kapanen R | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:43 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +0.54 | +0.70 | +0.43 | -0.51 | -0.15 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 21:45 |
| 96 Jake Walman D | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:22 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +0.18 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 23:10 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:26 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 20:10 |
| 18 Zach Hyman L | -0.64 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:40 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.