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Tampa Bay LightningTBL @ 8:00 PM EST Minnesota WildMIN

Saturday, November 7, 2026

Win probability, % Win In reg OT/SO Exp pts
TBL 48.0 36.3 11.8 1.09
MIN 52.0 39.2 12.7 1.16

From the ratings the simulation plays every game with: this and last season's results, with home ice. 24% of games go past regulation.

Playoff odds, % Now Day Final Cup
TBL 87.3 +0.1 16.6 9.1
MIN 88.7 +2.5 12.9 6.6

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

The teams

TBL MIN
6–2–0 Record 6–2–1
12 (.750) Points 13 (.722)
2nd in the Atlantic Place 1st in the Central
6–2–0 Last 10 6–2–1
5–0–0 At home 4–0–0
1–2–0 On the road 2–2–1
W2 Streak W2
3.12 GF per game 3.11
2.62 GA per game 2.33
60.3 (3rd) Strength 57.9 (5th)
58.1 (3rd) xG share, 5v5 54.1 (9th)
59.1 (3rd) xG share, all 57.4 (5th)
+0.5 Saved above expected +3.1
1 day Rest Back-to-back

This regular season. Strength and xG share with the league rank in parentheses.

Leading scorers

SkaterGPGAP
Tampa Bay Lightning
Brandon Hagel86511
Nikita Kucherov83710
Jake Guentzel8459
Brayden Point8156
Pontus Holmberg8235
Minnesota Wild
Kirill Kaprizov910515
Quinn Hughes921012
Matt Boldy9527
Maxim Shabanov9246
Joel Eriksson Ek9156

Season series

TBL leads the season series 1–0.

Oct 8MIN 2, TBL 3
Nov 7TBL @ MIN · this game