Vancouver CanucksVAN 4–3 Final Washington CapitalsWSH

Sunday, October 19, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Vancouver CanucksVAN	3	1	0	4	24
Washington CapitalsWSH	0	1	2	3	31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:59	VAN	Elias Pettersson (1) Conor Garland (4) · wrist xG 0.12	1–0 ▶
17:11	VAN	Tyler Myers (1) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.47	2–0 ▶
17:52	VAN	Kiefer Sherwood (4)PP Conor Garland (5), Quinn Hughes (4) · snap xG 0.05	3–0 ▶
2nd Period
4:54	VAN	Teddy Blueger (1) Evander Kane (3), Tyler Myers (2) · snap xG 0.20	4–0 ▶
13:42	WSH	Ryan Leonard (2)PP Tom Wilson (5), Dylan Strome (5) · snap xG 0.25	4–1 ▶
3rd Period
9:01	WSH	Jakob Chychrun (2) Hendrix Lapierre (1), Rasmus Sandin (2) · snap xG 0.17	4–2 ▶
17:46	WSH	John Carlson (1) Dylan Strome (6), Tom Wilson (6) · snap xG 0.05	4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VAN 32%Deserve to win68% WSH

VAN		WSH
3.07	Expected goals	4.27
4	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.20	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.49
37	Shot attempts	84
35	Unblocked attempts	60
24	Shots on goal	31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
17:20	VAN	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.35–0.26 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:00 to 18:00 of the 1st; goals 2–0
2nd Period
7:10	VAN	No shift	No shift · Lekkerimäki, 30:08 on the bench No shift after 14:22 of the 1st; 6 shifts (4:07) before that
13:40	VAN	Goalie	Goalie · Demko +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.01 xG, 15 shots on goal
15:00	WSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.37–0.30 In xG over 10 minutes, 5:00 to 15:00 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
15:10	VAN	No shift	No shift · Chytil, 25:47 on the bench No shift after 19:24 of the 1st; 9 shifts (5:02) before that
3rd Period
9:01	WSH	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · WSH takes the lead, 61–39% VAN had led since 17:08 of the 1st, by as much as 76%
17:20	WSH	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Lindgren, down 4–2 With 2:40 left; WSH scored at 17:46 of the 3rd (4–3)

Shot map

VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WSH shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vancouver Canucks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
44	Kiefer Sherwood	1	0	1	0	3	0.11	4	1	23:15
83	Conor Garland	0	2	2	+1	4	0.32	1	1	22:20
73	Teddy Blueger	1	0	1	+1	2	0.22	0	1	18:42
40	Elias Pettersson	1	0	1	0	3	0.36	0	3	18:37
74	Jake DeBrusk	0	0	0	+1	3	0.25	1	0	16:40
91	Evander Kane	0	1	1	+2	3	0.04	2	1	16:33
18	Drew O'Connor	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	1	1	15:14
94	Linus Karlsson	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	3	1	13:41
63	Max Sasson	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	2	1	13:15
13	Arshdeep Bains	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	1	0	10:11
77	Filip Chytil	0	0	0	+1	3	0.32	0	2	05:02
Defense
57	Tyler Myers	1	1	2	+1	4	0.54	2	2	26:12
43	Quinn Hughes	0	1	1	+1	3	0.10	0	0	25:00
17	Filip Hronek	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	21:55
26	Marcus Pettersson	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	5	19:26
25	Elias Pettersson	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	15:25

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Thatcher Demko	31	3	28	.903	4.27	+1.27

Washington Capitals

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Aliaksei Protas	0	0	0	-2	5	0.12	1	0	21:36
8	Alex Ovechkin	0	0	0	0	10	0.50	2	0	21:24
43	Tom Wilson	0	2	2	-2	4	0.21	7	0	20:57
17	Dylan Strome	0	2	2	+1	4	0.23	2	1	19:42
77	Connor McMichael	0	0	0	-3	9	0.80	1	0	15:53
9	Ryan Leonard	1	0	1	+1	8	0.73	4	0	14:04
72	Anthony Beauvillier	0	0	0	+1	6	0.35	2	0	13:02
22	Hendrix Lapierre	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	1	0	11:33
34	Justin Sourdif	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	0	11:07
26	Nic Dowd	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	1	0	11:01
24	Brandon Duhaime	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	0	10:32
15	Sonny Milano	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	08:38
Defense
74	John Carlson	1	0	1	-2	3	0.06	0	0	23:39
6	Jakob Chychrun	1	0	1	+1	13	0.66	2	0	23:19
38	Rasmus Sandin	0	1	1	+1	5	0.13	1	0	22:02
42	Martin Fehérváry	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	0	17:41
3	Matt Roy	0	0	0	0	7	0.21	0	0	15:20
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	14:09

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Charlie Lindgren	24	4	20	.833	3.07	-0.93

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vancouver Canucks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
57 Tyler Myers D	+2.48	+1.30	+0.35	+0.75	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	26:12
91 Evander Kane L	+1.74	+0.70	+0.02	+1.13	-0.15	+0.01	+0.03	—	16:33
72 Filip Chytil C	+1.34	0.00	+0.21	+1.20	-0.15	-0.02	+0.10	—	5:02
35 Thatcher Demko G	+1.27	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.27	60:00
8 Conor Garland R	+1.20	+1.40	+0.21	-0.45	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	22:20
53 Teddy Blueger C	+1.01	+0.75	+0.14	+0.12	0.00	-0.03	+0.03	—	18:42
43 Quinn Hughes D	+1.00	+0.55	+0.06	+0.44	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	25:00
94 Linus Karlsson C	+0.89	0.00	+0.18	+0.53	+0.15	-0.02	+0.05	—	13:41
44 Kiefer Sherwood L	+0.88	+0.75	+0.07	-0.09	+0.15	-0.01	+0.01	—	23:15
40 Elias Pettersson C	+0.47	+0.75	+0.23	-0.61	0.00	+0.01	+0.09	—	18:37
29 Marcus Pettersson D	+0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.25	—	19:26
18 Drew O'Connor L	+0.04	0.00	+0.18	-0.19	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	15:14
23 Jonathan Lekkerimäki R	+0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	4:07
74 Jake DeBrusk L	-0.10	0.00	+0.16	-0.27	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	16:40
25 Elias Pettersson D	-0.27	0.00	0.00	-0.49	+0.15	0.00	+0.07	—	15:25
90 Victor Mancini D	-0.36	0.00	0.00	-0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	6:56
17 Filip Hronek D	-0.46	0.00	0.00	-0.37	-0.15	0.00	+0.06	—	21:55
63 Max Sasson C	-0.64	0.00	+0.02	-0.74	0.00	+0.01	+0.07	—	13:15
13 Arshdeep Bains L	-0.72	0.00	+0.16	-0.72	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	10:11

Washington Capitals

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
6 Jakob Chychrun D	+1.91	+0.75	+0.43	+0.78	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	23:19
9 Ryan Leonard R	+1.70	+0.75	+0.47	+0.32	+0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	14:04
29 Hendrix Lapierre C	+1.69	+0.70	+0.06	+0.91	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	11:33
38 Rasmus Sandin D	+1.47	+0.55	+0.09	+0.85	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	22:02
17 Dylan Strome C	+1.42	+1.25	+0.15	+0.09	-0.15	+0.03	+0.05	—	19:42
72 Anthony Beauvillier L	+1.03	0.00	+0.23	+0.81	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	13:02
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D	+0.78	0.00	0.00	+0.80	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:09
34 Justin Sourdif R	+0.68	0.00	0.00	+0.68	0.00	+0.02	-0.02	—	11:07
3 Matt Roy D	+0.56	0.00	+0.13	+0.44	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:20
22 Brandon Duhaime R	+0.55	0.00	+0.10	+0.29	+0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	10:32
8 Alex Ovechkin L	+0.41	0.00	+0.32	+0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:24
15 Sonny Milano L	+0.28	0.00	+0.01	+0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:38
43 Tom Wilson R	+0.23	+1.25	+0.13	-1.15	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	20:57
26 Nic Dowd C	+0.10	0.00	+0.02	+0.30	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	—	11:01
24 Connor McMichael C	-0.53	0.00	+0.52	-1.07	0.00	+0.04	-0.02	—	15:53
79 Charlie Lindgren G	-0.78	0.00	—	—	+0.15	—	—	-0.93	57:40
74 John Carlson D	-0.86	+0.75	+0.04	-1.63	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	23:39
42 Martin Fehérváry D	-1.20	0.00	0.00	-1.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:41
21 Aliaksei Protas C	-1.52	0.00	+0.08	-1.50	0.00	-0.01	-0.08	—	21:36

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.