Washington CapitalsWSH 5–1 Final Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

Friday, October 24, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH	0	1	4	5	30
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ	0	0	1	1	35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
18:19	WSH	John Carlson (2) Connor McMichael (2), Hendrix Lapierre (2) · slap xG 0.04	1–0 ▶
3rd Period
1:36	WSH	Alex Ovechkin (2) Dylan Strome (8) · wrist xG 0.06	2–0 ▶
2:40	WSH	Justin Sourdif (1) Ryan Leonard (1), Logan Thompson (1) · snap xG 0.22	3–0 ▶
10:20	CBJ	Denton Mateychuk (2) Sean Monahan (2), Dmitri Voronkov (4) · wrist xG 0.16	3–1 ▶
15:39	WSH	Tom Wilson (5)PP Ethen Frank (1), John Carlson (5) · backhand xG 0.40	4–1 ▶
16:37	WSH	Connor McMichael (1)PP Alex Ovechkin (5), Aliaksei Protas (5) · bat xG 0.62	5–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 57%Deserve to win43% CBJ

WSH		CBJ
4.84	Expected goals	4.35
5	Goals (no shootout)	1
1.93	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.31
53	Shot attempts	66
44	Unblocked attempts	54
30	Shots on goal	35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
18:00	WSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.33–0.08 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:10 to 18:10 of the 1st; neither team scored
2nd Period
8:00	CBJ	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.41–0.03 In xG over 10 minutes, 18:10 of the 1st to 8:10 of the 2nd; neither team scored
11:51	CBJ	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 62–38% WSH had led since 16:42 of the 1st, by as much as 79%
11:51	WSH	Goalie	Goalie · Thompson +2.2 goals saved 0 goals on 2.16 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
17:40	WSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 2.15–0.42 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:50 to 18:50 of the 3rd; goals 2–1

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CBJ shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
43	Tom Wilson	1	0	1	+1	3	0.49	1	0	20:29
8	Alex Ovechkin	1	1	2	+1	5	0.34	2	0	18:15
21	Aliaksei Protas	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	0	2	17:51
17	Dylan Strome	0	1	1	+1	6	0.38	0	0	17:33
77	Connor McMichael	1	1	2	0	3	0.72	0	0	14:45
26	Nic Dowd	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	14:28
24	Brandon Duhaime	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	1	13:41
72	Anthony Beauvillier	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	13:05
9	Ryan Leonard	0	1	1	0	5	0.08	0	0	12:31
53	Ethen Frank	0	1	1	0	1	0.36	1	1	12:18
22	Hendrix Lapierre	0	1	1	0	7	0.63	1	0	11:37
34	Justin Sourdif	1	0	1	+1	1	0.22	5	0	09:52
Defense
74	John Carlson	1	1	2	+1	5	0.26	0	1	25:43
6	Jakob Chychrun	0	0	0	+1	8	0.96	2	0	25:19
42	Martin Fehérváry	0	0	0	+1	3	0.03	2	2	21:54
3	Matt Roy	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	1	3	18:33
47	Declan Chisholm	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	15:16
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	10:50

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Logan Thompson	35	1	34	.971	4.35	+3.35

Columbus Blue Jackets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
86	Kirill Marchenko	0	0	0	+1	8	0.61	1	0	19:06
23	Sean Monahan	0	1	1	+1	4	0.53	0	0	18:09
10	Dmitri Voronkov	0	1	1	+1	3	0.26	3	0	16:45
19	Adam Fantilli	0	0	0	-1	7	0.37	0	0	15:29
3	Charlie Coyle	0	0	0	-1	4	0.14	2	0	15:09
22	Boone Jenner	0	0	0	-1	4	0.28	4	3	14:50
91	Kent Johnson	0	0	0	-1	6	0.30	0	0	14:40
24	Mathieu Olivier	0	0	0	-1	4	0.32	3	0	14:11
4	Cole Sillinger	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	0	13:47
21	Isac Lundeström	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	1	13:28
21	Zachary Aston-Reese	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	0	11:47
59	Egor Chinakhov	0	0	0	-1	4	0.50	0	0	09:03
Defense
8	Zach Werenski	0	0	0	0	10	0.32	1	1	24:33
9	Ivan Provorov	0	0	0	-1	4	0.26	1	1	24:16
5	Denton Mateychuk	1	0	1	0	1	0.16	2	0	18:25
78	Damon Severson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	4	1	17:35
44	Erik Gudbranson	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	0	17:24
15	Dante Fabbro	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	12:46

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jet Greaves	30	5	25	.833	4.84	-0.16

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
48 Logan Thompson G	+3.90	+0.55	—	—	0.00	—	—	+3.35	60:00
8 Alex Ovechkin L	+1.59	+1.45	+0.22	-0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	18:15
74 John Carlson D	+1.56	+1.30	+0.17	+0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	25:43
34 Justin Sourdif R	+1.27	+0.75	+0.14	+0.37	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	9:52
6 Jakob Chychrun D	+1.05	0.00	+0.62	+0.13	+0.30	0.00	0.00	—	25:19
17 Dylan Strome C	+1.05	+0.70	+0.25	+0.08	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	17:33
43 Tom Wilson R	+0.92	+0.75	+0.32	-0.13	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:29
29 Hendrix Lapierre C	+0.69	+0.55	+0.41	-0.10	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	11:37
53 Ethen Frank C	+0.54	+0.70	+0.23	-0.29	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	12:18
24 Connor McMichael C	+0.25	+1.45	+0.47	-1.68	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	14:45
72 Anthony Beauvillier L	+0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:05
3 Matt Roy D	+0.10	0.00	+0.05	-0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	18:33
42 Martin Fehérváry D	+0.05	0.00	+0.02	-0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	21:54
22 Brandon Duhaime R	-0.09	0.00	+0.01	-0.15	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	13:41
21 Aliaksei Protas C	-0.09	+0.55	+0.10	-0.83	0.00	-0.01	+0.10	—	17:51
9 Ryan Leonard R	-0.18	+0.70	+0.05	-0.89	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	12:31
26 Nic Dowd C	-0.33	0.00	+0.03	-0.18	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	14:28
47 Declan Chisholm D	-0.80	0.00	+0.06	-1.23	+0.38	0.00	0.00	—	15:16
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D	-1.27	0.00	0.00	-1.30	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	10:50

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
23 Sean Monahan C	+2.25	+0.70	+0.35	+1.19	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	18:09
5 Denton Mateychuk D	+2.14	+0.75	+0.10	+1.29	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:25
8 Zach Werenski D	+1.55	0.00	+0.21	+1.16	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	24:33
86 Kirill Marchenko R	+1.33	0.00	+0.40	+1.10	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	19:06
10 Dmitri Voronkov L	+0.91	+0.55	+0.17	+0.34	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	16:45
59 Egor Chinakhov R	+0.76	0.00	+0.32	+0.44	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:03
4 Cole Sillinger C	+0.75	0.00	+0.06	+0.67	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	13:47
9 Ivan Provorov D	+0.70	0.00	+0.17	+0.35	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	24:16
78 Damon Severson D	+0.66	0.00	0.00	+0.46	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	17:35
38 Boone Jenner C	+0.50	0.00	+0.19	+0.21	0.00	-0.02	+0.13	—	14:50
19 Adam Fantilli C	+0.27	0.00	+0.24	+0.04	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	15:29
3 Charlie Coyle C	+0.24	0.00	+0.09	+0.13	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	15:09
21 Isac Lundeström C	+0.17	0.00	+0.03	+0.14	0.00	-0.05	+0.05	—	13:28
27 Zachary Aston-Reese C	+0.15	0.00	+0.09	+0.07	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	11:47
91 Kent Johnson C	-0.04	0.00	+0.20	-0.18	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	14:40
73 Jet Greaves G	-0.16	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.16	59:37
15 Dante Fabbro D	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.43	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:46
24 Mathieu Olivier R	-0.53	0.00	+0.21	-0.36	-0.38	0.00	0.00	—	14:11
44 Erik Gudbranson D	-0.53	0.00	+0.01	-0.52	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:24

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.