hockeystats.io

Washington CapitalsWSH 3–6 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Thursday, November 13, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 102 3 40
Florida PanthersFLA 123 6 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
8:25 WSH Brandon Duhaime (3) Rasmus Sandin (4) · tip-in xG 0.09 1–0 ▶
8:53 FLA Evan Rodrigues (4) Niko Mikkola (3), Sam Reinhart (2) · snap xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
3:05 FLA Cole Schwindt (2) Gustav Forsling (8), Eetu Luostarinen (6) · deflected xG 0.09 1–2 ▶
14:41 FLA Sam Reinhart (9)PP Carter Verhaeghe (6), Seth Jones (8) · backhand xG 0.47 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
0:52 WSH Justin Sourdif (2) Jakob Chychrun (8), Tom Wilson (8) · tip-in xG 0.10 2–3 ▶
4:54 FLA Sam Reinhart (10) Anton Lundell (8), Eetu Luostarinen (7) · wrist xG 0.17 2–4 ▶
9:47 FLA Seth Jones (1)PP Brad Marchand (8), Anton Lundell (9) · snap xG 0.02 2–5 ▶
12:40 WSH Rasmus Sandin (2) John Carlson (10) · snap xG 0.03 3–5 ▶
18:30 FLA Eetu Luostarinen (3)EN Brad Marchand (9), Anton Lundell (10) · wrist xG 0.50 3–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 33%Deserve to win67% FLA
WSHFLA
2.55Expected goals4.06
3Goals (no shootout)6
2.18Expected goals, 5 on 52.43
84Shot attempts58
62Unblocked attempts44
40Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:53 WSH Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 5–3
With 2:07 left; FLA scored at 18:30 of the 3rd (3–6)

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots
Justin Sourdif: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 0:26) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:31) Sam Bennett: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:46) Jeff Petry: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:03) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 2:05) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:27) Ryan Leonard: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:39) John Carlson: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:38) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:00) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:22) Hendrix Lapierre: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:41) Matt Roy: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:48) Declan Chisholm: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:16) Nic Dowd: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:17) Niko Mikkola: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:51) Mackie Samoskevich: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:19) Anthony Beauvillier: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:40) Brad Marchand: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 10:11) Anton Lundell: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:48) Luke Kunin: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:21) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:46) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:08) Ethen Frank: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:18) Ryan Leonard: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:33) John Carlson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:35) John Carlson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:51) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:03) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:17) Martin Fehérváry: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:00) Martin Fehérváry: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:16) Carter Verhaeghe: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:19) Gustav Forsling: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:21) Anton Lundell: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 0:08) Seth Jones: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 0:30) Aaron Ekblad: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:13) Sam Bennett: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 2:22) Mackie Samoskevich: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:31) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 4:17) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:54) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:11) Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:21) Eetu Luostarinen: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:27) Dylan Strome: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:41) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:48) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:36) Aaron Ekblad: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:09) Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:15) Nic Dowd: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:55) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:07) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:21) Justin Sourdif: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:27) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:40) Seth Jones: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:23) Seth Jones: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:48) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:38) Justin Sourdif: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:33) Declan Chisholm: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:08) John Carlson: wrist, 103 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:26) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:52) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:25) A.J. Greer: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:35) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:57) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:19) John Carlson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:18) John Carlson: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:25) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:16) Justin Sourdif: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:20) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:10) Anthony Beauvillier: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:15) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:40) Martin Fehérváry: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:08) Martin Fehérváry: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:43) Niko Mikkola: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 3:06) Luke Kunin: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:30) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:07) Sam Bennett: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:55) Donovan Sebrango: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:59) Cole Schwindt: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:13) Seth Jones: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:43) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:54) Declan Chisholm: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:53) Sam Reinhart: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:10) Seth Jones: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:46) Connor McMichael: wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:11) Tom Wilson: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:44) Justin Sourdif: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:55) Ryan Leonard: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:25) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 12:32) John Carlson: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:00) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:03) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:42) Tom Wilson: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:59) Sam Bennett: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 16:25) Seth Jones: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:52) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:07) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:12) Ethen Frank: backhand, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:35) Brandon Duhaime: GOAL, tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:25) Evan Rodrigues: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:53) Cole Schwindt: GOAL, deflected, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:05) Sam Reinhart: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.47 (P2 14:41) Justin Sourdif: GOAL, tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:52) Sam Reinhart: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:54) Seth Jones: GOAL, snap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:47) Rasmus Sandin: GOAL, snap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:40) Eetu Luostarinen: GOAL, wrist, 112 ft, xG 0.50 (P3 18:30)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Dylan Strome 000 -2 10.02 0018:35
43 Tom Wilson 011 -1 40.19 0018:05
8 Alex Ovechkin 000 -2 50.36 1017:33
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 -1 50.22 0015:40
21 Aliaksei Protas 000 0 00.00 0015:22
34 Justin Sourdif 101 +1 60.22 5015:20
9 Ryan Leonard 000 -1 90.47 0115:08
77 Connor McMichael 000 -1 20.00 1014:53
24 Brandon Duhaime 101 +1 30.09 0211:47
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 0 20.08 0011:41
26 Nic Dowd 000 +1 30.08 0010:39
53 Ethen Frank 000 +1 30.07 1009:07
Defense
74 John Carlson 011 -2 120.21 0022:55
38 Rasmus Sandin 112 +1 70.22 2121:24
6 Jakob Chychrun 011 -1 90.12 0320:18
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 -1 60.08 3219:58
3 Matt Roy 000 +1 20.03 1219:57
47 Declan Chisholm 000 0 50.09 0214:43
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Logan Thompson 27522 .815 3.56 -1.44

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
15 Anton Lundell 033 0 30.23 2121:21
27 Eetu Luostarinen 123 +1 50.71 3119:23
63 Brad Marchand 022 -1 40.23 0019:04
13 Sam Reinhart 213 +2 40.70 0018:15
23 Carter Verhaeghe 011 +1 50.16 1116:27
17 Evan Rodrigues 101 +2 20.12 0016:01
9 Sam Bennett 000 0 60.51 0115:25
11 Mackie Samoskevich 000 0 40.29 1014:21
70 Jesper Boqvist 000 0 00.00 1012:36
71 Luke Kunin 000 -1 20.18 1110:21
79 Cole Schwindt 101 0 20.10 2210:13
18 A.J. Greer 000 -1 10.05 1010:09
Defense
3 Seth Jones 112 +1 70.41 4223:29
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 -1 50.16 0121:14
77 Niko Mikkola 011 +2 30.18 1118:58
42 Gustav Forsling 011 +1 20.01 2118:41
73 Donovan Sebrango 000 -1 10.01 3615:44
2 Jeff Petry 000 0 20.01 0114:18
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Daniil Tarasov 40337 .925 2.55 -0.45

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
38 Rasmus Sandin D +2.47 +1.45 +0.14 +0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:24
34 Justin Sourdif R +1.48 +0.75 +0.14 +0.58 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:20
43 Tom Wilson R +0.89 +0.55 +0.12 +0.19 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 18:05
22 Brandon Duhaime R +0.79 +0.75 +0.06 -0.10 0.00 -0.02 +0.10 — 11:47
47 Declan Chisholm D +0.58 0.00 +0.06 +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:43
74 John Carlson D +0.45 +0.70 +0.14 -0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:55
6 Jakob Chychrun D +0.43 +0.70 +0.08 -0.35 -0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 20:18
9 Ryan Leonard R +0.36 0.00 +0.31 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:08
8 Alex Ovechkin L +0.08 0.00 +0.24 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:33
53 Ethen Frank C +0.05 0.00 +0.04 -0.14 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:07
29 Hendrix Lapierre C +0.03 0.00 +0.05 +0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 11:41
21 Aliaksei Protas C 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.03 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 15:22
3 Matt Roy D -0.06 0.00 +0.02 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:57
17 Dylan Strome C -0.14 0.00 +0.01 -0.21 0.00 +0.04 +0.02 — 18:35
72 Anthony Beauvillier L -0.20 0.00 +0.14 -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:40
26 Nic Dowd C -0.34 0.00 +0.05 -0.12 -0.30 +0.05 -0.02 — 10:39
24 Connor McMichael C -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 14:53
42 Martin Fehérváry D -0.76 0.00 +0.05 -0.93 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 19:58
48 Logan Thompson G -1.44 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.44 59:23

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +2.85 +1.85 +0.46 +0.39 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 19:23
13 Sam Reinhart C +2.80 +2.05 +0.45 +0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:15
15 Anton Lundell C +2.04 +1.80 +0.15 +0.08 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 21:21
3 Seth Jones D +1.95 +1.30 +0.26 +0.44 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 23:29
77 Niko Mikkola D +1.79 +0.70 +0.12 +0.94 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:58
63 Brad Marchand L +1.46 +1.40 +0.15 -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:04
17 Evan Rodrigues C +1.13 +0.75 +0.08 +0.21 +0.15 -0.03 -0.02 — 16:01
79 Cole Schwindt R +1.05 +0.75 +0.07 +0.17 0.00 -0.04 +0.10 — 10:13
23 Carter Verhaeghe C +0.97 +0.70 +0.11 +0.08 0.00 +0.01 +0.07 — 16:27
42 Gustav Forsling D +0.62 +0.70 +0.01 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:41
9 Sam Bennett C +0.51 0.00 +0.33 +0.07 0.00 +0.06 +0.05 — 15:25
11 Mackie Samoskevich R +0.25 0.00 +0.19 +0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:21
6 Donovan Sebrango D +0.25 0.00 +0.01 -0.15 +0.15 0.00 +0.24 — 15:44
2 Jeff Petry D +0.18 0.00 +0.01 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:18
70 Jesper Boqvist C +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:36
71 Luke Kunin C -0.11 0.00 +0.12 -0.27 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 10:21
10 A.J. Greer L -0.28 0.00 +0.03 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 10:09
40 Daniil Tarasov G -0.45 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.45 60:00
5 Aaron Ekblad D -0.48 0.00 +0.10 -0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 21:14

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.