| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 31 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:05 | Arseny Gritsyuk (4)PP Luke Hughes (10), Paul Cotter (2) · slap xG 0.10 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 17:46 | Luke Hughes (1) Brenden Dillon (5), Jesper Bratt (12) · snap xG 0.05 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:00 | Connor McMichael (2) Alex Ovechkin (9), Jakob Chychrun (9) · snap xG 0.21 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 8:29 | Alex Ovechkin (5) Connor McMichael (4), Dylan Strome (11) · snap xG 0.18 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Dylan Strome vs Jake Allen | Goal | ||
| Paul Cotter vs Logan Thompson | Saved | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier vs Jake Allen | Saved | ||
| Jesper Bratt vs Logan Thompson | Goal | ||
| Connor McMichael vs Jake Allen | Saved | ||
| Arseny Gritsyuk vs Logan Thompson | Saved | ||
| Alex Ovechkin vs Jake Allen | Missed | ||
| Simon Nemec vs Logan Thompson | Goal | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NJD | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | Expected goals | 3.12 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.58 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.63 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 69 |
| 48 | Unblocked attempts | 46 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 31 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:20 | WSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.56–0.38
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:20 to 10:20 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
| 17:00 | WSH | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Leonard and Lapierre: no shift after 6:57 of the 3rd |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 28 | Timo Meier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 24:22 |
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.43 | 0 | 1 | 24:14 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 23:18 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.75 | 0 | 1 | 22:00 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 18:34 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 16:58 |
| 11 | Stefan Noesen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.44 | 1 | 0 | 14:10 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 13:53 |
| 83 | Juho Lammikko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 12:06 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 08:11 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 | 0.24 | 1 | 2 | 26:04 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.18 | 0 | 4 | 26:02 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 19:57 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 19:20 |
| 44 | Dennis Cholowski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 3 | 14:42 |
| 6 | Colton White | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 13:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | 31 | 2 | 29 | .935 | 3.12 | +1.12 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 22:03 |
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.61 | 3 | 0 | 20:45 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.10 | 3 | 0 | 19:48 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.45 | 0 | 1 | 18:32 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 11 | 0.46 | 4 | 0 | 17:38 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 17:20 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | 1 | 0 | 15:07 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 13:58 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:40 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 10:34 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:29 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 08:04 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0.42 | 1 | 2 | 28:22 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 24:28 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 19:37 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 2 | 3 | 18:39 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 16:13 |
| 47 | Declan Chisholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 15:53 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 31 | 2 | 29 | .935 | 3.30 | +1.30 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Jake Allen G | +1.12 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.12 | 65:00 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +0.76 | +0.55 | +0.49 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:00 |
| 11 Stefan Noesen R | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:10 |
| 44 Dennis Cholowski D | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 14:42 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | +0.37 | +1.45 | +0.16 | -1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 26:04 |
| 45 Colton White D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:29 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:53 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.10 | — | 8:11 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +0.24 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:34 |
| 83 Juho Lammikko C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 12:06 |
| 20 Shane Lachance L | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:25 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:57 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 26:02 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.44 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 24:22 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | -0.17 | +0.55 | +0.11 | -0.85 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 16:58 |
| 37 Nathan Légaré R | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.45 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 8:15 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.83 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 24:14 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.75 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 23:18 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | -0.60 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:20 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +2.75 | +1.45 | +0.29 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:32 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +2.27 | +1.45 | +0.30 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:38 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +1.86 | +0.55 | +0.28 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 28:22 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +1.31 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 24:28 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | +1.30 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.30 | 65:00 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +1.17 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.04 | — | 15:07 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +1.14 | 0.00 | +0.40 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:45 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:03 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +0.63 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.09 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | — | 19:48 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:37 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:39 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:13 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:04 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.18 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 17:20 |
| 47 Declan Chisholm D | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:53 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:29 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.06 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 13:58 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:34 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 12:40 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.