| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:41 | Matt Roy (1) Aliaksei Protas (6), Tom Wilson (9) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:51 | Alex Ovechkin (6) Connor McMichael (5), Jakob Chychrun (10) · snap xG 0.24 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 13:27 | Anze Kopitar (3)PP Corey Perry (5), Kevin Fiala (6) · tip-in xG 0.15 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| LAK | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.17 | Expected goals | 2.94 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.32 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.44 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 44 | Unblocked attempts | 37 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 25 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:40 | WSH | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Frank and Lapierre: no shift after 3:29 of the 3rd |
| 17:52 | WSH | Goalie | Goalie · Lindgren +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 30 shots on goal |
| 19:38 | LAK | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Kuemper, down 2–1
With 0:22 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.39 | 4 | 1 | 21:44 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.27 | 1 | 1 | 20:48 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 19:43 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 10 | 0.63 | 0 | 1 | 19:38 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 16:53 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 16:32 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.42 | 0 | 1 | 16:18 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.52 | 3 | 1 | 13:52 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 13:18 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 09:28 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 09:12 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 22:53 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 18:06 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 17:57 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 17:35 |
| 43 | Jacob Moverare | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 10:19 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 25 | 2 | 23 | .920 | 2.76 | +0.76 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.29 | 1 | 2 | 20:07 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 2 | 1 | 19:21 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:36 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 18:12 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 17:05 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 0 | 15:17 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.50 | 2 | 1 | 15:00 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 12:40 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 3 | 1 | 09:55 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 08:51 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 06:44 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 23:06 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 22:46 |
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 21:30 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 20:28 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 16:21 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | 31 | 1 | 30 | .968 | 3.17 | +2.17 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +1.16 | +0.55 | +0.17 | +0.28 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:48 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:18 |
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | +0.76 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.76 | 58:07 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | +0.75 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.05 | — | 19:43 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.41 | +0.12 | +0.15 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 19:38 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | +0.66 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 15:46 |
| 43 Jacob Moverare D | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 10:19 |
| 37 Warren Foegele L | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 16:32 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 16:53 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:06 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.34 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:52 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.13 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:44 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:53 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:12 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 9:28 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:18 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 17:57 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:16 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:35 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Matt Roy D | +2.20 | +0.75 | +0.05 | +1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:46 |
| 79 Charlie Lindgren G | +2.17 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.17 | 60:00 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +1.85 | +0.55 | +0.19 | +0.87 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 20:07 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +1.77 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +0.85 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:05 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +1.62 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:30 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:40 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.29 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 9:55 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:40 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:17 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 16:21 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.22 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 19:21 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:51 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.24 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:44 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +0.23 | +0.70 | +0.14 | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:12 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +0.01 | +0.75 | +0.33 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 15:00 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:10 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.70 | -0.15 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 18:36 |
| 74 John Carlson D | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:06 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.86 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 20:28 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.