Winnipeg JetsWPG 3–4 Final Washington CapitalsWSH

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG 111 3 21
Washington CapitalsWSH 211 4 35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:38 WSH John Carlson (6) Tom Wilson (12) · slap xG 0.08 0–1 ▶
14:21 WSH Jakob Chychrun (9) Sonny Milano (2), Ethen Frank (6) · snap xG 0.03 0–2 ▶
19:38 WPG Gabriel Vilardi (9) Kyle Connor (15) · snap xG 0.43 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
1:24 WPG Gabriel Vilardi (10)PP Josh Morrissey (18), Kyle Connor (16) · tip-in xG 0.28 2–2 ▶
5:22 WSH Alex Ovechkin (11) Matt Roy (4), Anthony Beauvillier (3) · snap xG 0.03 2–3 ▶
3rd Period
5:25 WSH Connor McMichael (3) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.19 2–4 ▶
15:11 WPG Mark Scheifele (12) Kyle Connor (17), Dylan DeMelo (9) · snap xG 0.48 3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 67%Deserve to win33% WSH
WPGWSH
3.52Expected goals2.55
3Goals (no shootout)4
2.68Expected goals, 5 on 52.21
60Shot attempts60
37Unblocked attempts44
21Shots on goal35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
1:46 WPG Deserve to win Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 60–40%
WSH had led since 10:19 of the 1st, by as much as 63%
3rd Period
18:19 WPG Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Comrie, down 4–3
With 1:41 left
18:30 WSH No shift No shift · Milano, 10:13 on the bench
No shift after 4:00 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (8:14) before that

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WSH shoots
Sonny Milano: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:55) Connor McMichael: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:03) Morgan Barron: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:29) Dylan DeMelo: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:54) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:00) Dylan Samberg: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:46) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:30) Cole Perfetti: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:02) John Carlson: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:23) John Carlson: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:37) Tom Wilson: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:19) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:37) Mark Scheifele: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 12:01) Ethen Frank: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:14) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:50) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 14:52) Alex Iafallo: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:03) Mark Scheifele: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:17) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 15:47) Connor McMichael: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:30) Colin Miller: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:09) Colin Miller: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:49) Adam Lowry: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:42) Adam Lowry: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:46) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:25) Justin Sourdif: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:30) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:37) Martin Fehérváry: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:45) Ryan Leonard: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 4:18) Justin Sourdif: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:41) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:56) Ryan Leonard: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:07) Connor McMichael: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:17) Martin Fehérváry: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 6:55) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:57) John Carlson: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:09) Colin Miller: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:17) Ethen Frank: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:08) Matt Roy: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:16) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:48) Aliaksei Protas: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:51) Mark Scheifele: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 12:57) Logan Stanley: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:43) Alex Iafallo: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:04) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:36) Kyle Connor: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:51) Jonathan Toews: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 16:00) Dylan DeMelo: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:09) Morgan Barron: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:03) Dylan DeMelo: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:09) Rasmus Sandin: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:59) Dylan Samberg: snap, 158 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:04) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:54) John Carlson: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:06) Anthony Beauvillier: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:19) Kyle Connor: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:06) Aliaksei Protas: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:22) Josh Morrissey: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:44) Mark Scheifele: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 10:22) Connor McMichael: wrist, 159 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:53) Gustav Nyquist: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 11:42) Elias Salomonsson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:48) Ryan Leonard: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:43) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:25) Josh Morrissey: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 13:40) Connor McMichael: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 13:48) Rasmus Sandin: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 14:05) Gabriel Vilardi: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:01) Kyle Connor: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 15:08) Nino Niederreiter: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 15:51) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:41) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:04) Cole Perfetti: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 19:58) Jonathan Toews: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:59) John Carlson: GOAL, slap, 40 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:38) Jakob Chychrun: GOAL, snap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:21) Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, snap, 5 ft, xG 0.43 (P1 19:38) Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 1:24) Alex Ovechkin: GOAL, snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:22) Connor McMichael: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 5:25) Mark Scheifele: GOAL, snap, 10 ft, xG 0.48 (P3 15:11)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Kyle Connor 033 +1 40.22 0122:45
55 Mark Scheifele 101 +1 81.22 0020:42
13 Gabriel Vilardi 202 +1 50.72 0117:55
91 Cole Perfetti 000 -1 30.21 0116:59
19 Jonathan Toews 000 -1 30.26 0015:30
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 -1 20.11 0114:10
36 Morgan Barron 000 -1 20.10 3113:49
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 000 -1 20.00 3113:11
9 Alex Iafallo 000 -1 20.06 1112:01
62 Nino Niederreiter 000 -1 20.10 0111:37
70 Tanner Pearson 000 -1 00.00 0011:18
17 Adam Lowry 000 -1 40.05 1111:18
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 011 +2 50.15 0126:02
2 Dylan DeMelo 011 +2 40.08 1022:20
54 Dylan Samberg 000 -2 40.02 0220:20
6 Colin Miller 000 -2 50.04 0018:36
8 Logan Stanley 000 -2 30.15 1212:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Eric Comrie 35431 .886 2.55 -1.45

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
77 Connor McMichael 101 0 60.51 0121:04
72 Anthony Beauvillier 011 0 40.26 1219:54
43 Tom Wilson 011 0 10.07 2318:40
8 Alex Ovechkin 101 +1 60.13 1017:19
21 Aliaksei Protas 000 +1 50.25 0117:19
17 Dylan Strome 000 +1 10.00 0016:44
9 Ryan Leonard 000 +1 40.35 1115:26
34 Justin Sourdif 000 0 30.09 1014:37
53 Ethen Frank 011 0 20.13 3011:13
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 0 10.00 2010:33
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 +1 00.00 1008:56
15 Sonny Milano 011 +1 20.08 0008:14
Defense
74 John Carlson 101 0 50.17 1024:44
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 -2 40.20 2322:48
6 Jakob Chychrun 101 +3 110.18 1021:47
3 Matt Roy 011 +1 10.01 0719:58
38 Rasmus Sandin 000 +2 30.11 2218:00
52 Dylan McIlrath 000 0 10.00 2109:10
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Charlie Lindgren 21318 .857 3.52 +0.52

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +3.36 +1.50 +0.47 +1.34 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 17:55
81 Kyle Connor L +3.35 +1.95 +0.14 +1.21 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:45
55 Mark Scheifele C +2.78 +0.75 +0.79 +1.29 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 20:42
44 Josh Morrissey D +1.95 +0.70 +0.10 +1.14 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 26:02
2 Dylan DeMelo D +1.87 +0.55 +0.05 +1.29 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:20
64 Logan Stanley D +0.12 0.00 +0.10 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 12:50
14 Gustav Nyquist R -0.09 0.00 +0.07 -0.22 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 14:10
36 Morgan Barron C -0.15 0.00 +0.07 -0.10 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 13:49
9 Alex Iafallo L -0.18 0.00 +0.04 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:01
19 Jonathan Toews C -0.20 0.00 +0.17 -0.24 -0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 15:30
62 Nino Niederreiter R -0.20 0.00 +0.07 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 11:37
17 Adam Lowry C -0.20 0.00 +0.03 -0.25 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 11:18
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.68 +0.30 +0.03 +0.05 — 13:11
91 Cole Perfetti C -0.34 0.00 +0.14 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:59
6 Colin Miller D -0.37 0.00 +0.02 -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:36
54 Dylan Samberg D -0.63 0.00 +0.02 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:20
70 Tanner Pearson L -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.64 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:18
57 Elias Salomonsson D -0.73 0.00 +0.02 -0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:18
1 Eric Comrie G -1.45 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.45 58:19

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Jakob Chychrun D +1.83 +0.75 +0.12 +0.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:47
8 Alex Ovechkin L +1.22 +0.75 +0.08 +0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:19
15 Sonny Milano L +1.00 +0.70 +0.06 +0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:14
74 John Carlson D +0.93 +0.75 +0.11 +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:44
24 Connor McMichael C +0.90 +0.75 +0.33 -0.25 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 21:04
3 Matt Roy D +0.76 +0.70 +0.01 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.35 — 19:58
38 Rasmus Sandin D +0.73 0.00 +0.07 +0.43 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 18:00
43 Tom Wilson R +0.63 +0.70 +0.05 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 18:40
9 Ryan Leonard R +0.60 0.00 +0.23 +0.35 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 15:26
72 Anthony Beauvillier L +0.55 +0.55 +0.17 -0.44 +0.15 +0.01 +0.10 — 19:54
79 Charlie Lindgren G +0.52 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.52 60:00
21 Aliaksei Protas C +0.22 0.00 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 17:19
53 Ethen Frank C +0.13 +0.55 +0.08 -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:13
17 Dylan Strome C +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.32 -0.15 -0.04 0.00 — 16:44
29 Hendrix Lapierre C +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.10 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 8:56
52 Dylan McIlrath D -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 9:10
22 Brandon Duhaime R -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 10:33
34 Justin Sourdif R -0.51 0.00 +0.06 -0.58 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 14:37
42 Martin Fehérváry D -1.11 0.00 +0.13 -1.38 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 22:48

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.