| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 35 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:38 | John Carlson (6) Tom Wilson (12) · slap xG 0.08 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 14:21 | Jakob Chychrun (9) Sonny Milano (2), Ethen Frank (6) · snap xG 0.03 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 19:38 | Gabriel Vilardi (9) Kyle Connor (15) · snap xG 0.43 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:24 | Gabriel Vilardi (10)PP Josh Morrissey (18), Kyle Connor (16) · tip-in xG 0.28 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 5:22 | Alex Ovechkin (11) Matt Roy (4), Anthony Beauvillier (3) · snap xG 0.03 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:25 | Connor McMichael (3) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.19 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 15:11 | Mark Scheifele (12) Kyle Connor (17), Dylan DeMelo (9) · snap xG 0.48 | 3–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WPG | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.52 | Expected goals | 2.55 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.68 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.21 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 44 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 35 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:46 | WPG | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 60–40%
WSH had led since 10:19 of the 1st, by as much as 63% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:19 | WPG | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Comrie, down 4–3
With 1:41 left |
| 18:30 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Milano, 10:13 on the bench
No shift after 4:00 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (8:14) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 81 | Kyle Connor | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 22:45 |
| 55 | Mark Scheifele | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 1.22 | 0 | 0 | 20:42 |
| 13 | Gabriel Vilardi | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.72 | 0 | 1 | 17:55 |
| 91 | Cole Perfetti | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 |
| 19 | Jonathan Toews | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 |
| 14 | Gustav Nyquist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 |
| 36 | Morgan Barron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 13:49 |
| 7 | Vladislav Namestnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 13:11 |
| 9 | Alex Iafallo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 12:01 |
| 62 | Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 |
| 70 | Tanner Pearson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 |
| 17 | Adam Lowry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 11:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Josh Morrissey | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 26:02 |
| 2 | Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 22:20 |
| 54 | Dylan Samberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 20:20 |
| 6 | Colin Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 18:36 |
| 8 | Logan Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 2 | 12:50 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Comrie | 35 | 4 | 31 | .886 | 2.55 | -1.45 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.51 | 0 | 1 | 21:04 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | 1 | 2 | 19:54 |
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 3 | 18:40 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 17:19 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 17:19 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.35 | 1 | 1 | 15:26 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 14:37 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 3 | 0 | 11:13 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 10:33 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:56 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 08:14 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 74 | John Carlson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 24:44 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.20 | 2 | 3 | 22:48 |
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 11 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 21:47 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 7 | 19:58 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.11 | 2 | 2 | 18:00 |
| 52 | Dylan McIlrath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 09:10 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | 21 | 3 | 18 | .857 | 3.52 | +0.52 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Gabriel Vilardi C | +3.36 | +1.50 | +0.47 | +1.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:55 |
| 81 Kyle Connor L | +3.35 | +1.95 | +0.14 | +1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:45 |
| 55 Mark Scheifele C | +2.78 | +0.75 | +0.79 | +1.29 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 20:42 |
| 44 Josh Morrissey D | +1.95 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 26:02 |
| 2 Dylan DeMelo D | +1.87 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:20 |
| 64 Logan Stanley D | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 12:50 |
| 14 Gustav Nyquist R | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:10 |
| 36 Morgan Barron C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:49 |
| 9 Alex Iafallo L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:01 |
| 19 Jonathan Toews C | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.24 | -0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:30 |
| 62 Nino Niederreiter R | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 11:37 |
| 17 Adam Lowry C | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 11:18 |
| 7 Vladislav Namestnikov C | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.68 | +0.30 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 13:11 |
| 91 Cole Perfetti C | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:59 |
| 6 Colin Miller D | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:36 |
| 54 Dylan Samberg D | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:20 |
| 70 Tanner Pearson L | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.64 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:18 |
| 57 Elias Salomonsson D | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:18 |
| 1 Eric Comrie G | -1.45 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.45 | 58:19 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +1.83 | +0.75 | +0.12 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:47 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +1.22 | +0.75 | +0.08 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:19 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | +1.00 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:14 |
| 74 John Carlson D | +0.93 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:44 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +0.90 | +0.75 | +0.33 | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 21:04 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +0.76 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.35 | — | 19:58 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.43 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:00 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +0.63 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:40 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.35 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:26 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +0.55 | +0.55 | +0.17 | -0.44 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 19:54 |
| 79 Charlie Lindgren G | +0.52 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.52 | 60:00 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 17:19 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | +0.13 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:13 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.32 | -0.15 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 16:44 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:56 |
| 52 Dylan McIlrath D | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 9:10 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:33 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 14:37 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | -1.11 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 22:48 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.