| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:50 | Tom Wilson (16)PP Ryan Leonard (9), Alex Ovechkin (14) · wrist xG 0.58 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:28 | Adrian Kempe (9) Anze Kopitar (9), Trevor Moore (7) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:18 | Anthony Beauvillier (6) Connor McMichael (11), Alex Ovechkin (15) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 18:18 | Aliaksei Protas (8)EN Martin Fehérváry (7), John Carlson (17) · wrist xG 0.92 | 3–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WSH | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.79 | Expected goals | 2.71 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.41 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.79 |
| 44 | Shot attempts | 68 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 46 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 25 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:40 | WSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.18–0.16
In xG over 10 minutes, 6:50 to 16:50 of the 1st; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:40 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Milano, 12:58 on the bench
No shift after 5:40 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (5:53) before that |
| 17:31 | LAK | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Kuemper, down 2–1
With 2:29 left |
| 18:35 | LAK | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Kuemper, down 3–1
With 1:25 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.86 | 1 | 1 | 21:14 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1.08 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.64 | 0 | 3 | 18:44 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 3 | 0 | 17:04 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 4 | 0 | 16:24 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 14:33 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 12:57 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 08:28 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 08:22 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 05:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 3 | 22:42 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 22:08 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 4 | 18:49 |
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 18:27 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.14 | 3 | 3 | 18:02 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 25 | 1 | 24 | .960 | 2.71 | +1.71 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 | 20:42 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 20:35 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 9 | 0.18 | 3 | 0 | 19:50 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 11 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 19:34 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.05 | 2 | 1 | 18:37 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 18:17 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 14:41 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 | 13:18 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 06:29 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 4 | 0 | 05:42 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 23:50 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 19:06 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 18:57 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 18:07 |
| 43 | Jacob Moverare | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 24 | 2 | 22 | .917 | 2.51 | +0.51 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +2.06 | +0.75 | +0.70 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:51 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +1.78 | +0.75 | +0.56 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:14 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | +1.71 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.71 | 60:00 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +1.49 | +1.10 | +0.09 | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:46 |
| 74 John Carlson D | +0.90 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:27 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +0.84 | +0.70 | +0.09 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 18:02 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +0.64 | +0.70 | +0.42 | -0.74 | +0.15 | -0.04 | +0.15 | — | 18:44 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 18:49 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.07 | — | 14:33 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:40 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +0.34 | +0.75 | +0.07 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:24 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 18:56 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:28 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:53 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 8:22 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | -0.35 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -1.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:04 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 22:42 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:57 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:08 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Joel Armia R | +1.01 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 18:17 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:34 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:59 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.38 | +0.53 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:42 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +0.71 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:50 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | +0.65 | +0.55 | +0.06 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:11 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | +0.55 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -0.24 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:35 |
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | +0.51 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.51 | 57:57 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.38 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:18 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:06 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:07 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.06 | +0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 12:58 |
| 43 Jacob Moverare D | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:01 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 6:29 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:42 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:50 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.23 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 18:37 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:57 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:41 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.