| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 31 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:25 | Alex Ovechkin (13) Matt Roy (6) · wrist xG 0.42 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 10:05 | Sonny Milano (4) Declan Chisholm (2), Trevor van Riemsdyk (2) · wrist xG 0.06 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 13:35 | Ryan Leonard (6) Trevor van Riemsdyk (3), Brandon Duhaime (2) · wrist xG 0.33 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 17:07 | Brandon Duhaime (4)SH Aliaksei Protas (10) · backhand xG 0.09 | 4–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:41 | Alex Ovechkin (14)PP Ryan Leonard (10), Jakob Chychrun (14) · slap xG 0.20 | 5–0 ▶ | |
| 19:34 | Dylan Strome (6) Matt Roy (7), Ryan Leonard (11) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 6–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:03 | Ryan Leonard (7) Matt Roy (8), Charlie Lindgren (1) · backhand xG 0.08 | 7–0 ▶ | |
| 12:58 | Pavol Regenda (2)PP Dmitry Orlov (16), Adam Gaudette (3) · tip-in xG 0.17 | 7–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WSH | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.93 | Expected goals | 2.13 |
| 7 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 2.27 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 0.95 |
| 47 | Shot attempts | 57 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 39 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 24 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:07 | SJS | Goalie | Goalie · Askarov −2.6 goals saved
4 goals on 1.40 xG, 12 shots on goal |
| 17:07 | SJS | Goalie change | Goalie change · Nedeljkovic in for Askarov
17:07 of the 1st; Askarov had allowed 4 goals on 12 shots (1.40 xG) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.83 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 16:22 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 16:14 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:06 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | 0 | 2 | 15:39 |
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 14:26 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 7 | 0.70 | 2 | 0 | 13:39 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 12:42 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:43 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 0.12 | 0 | 4 | 21:57 |
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 20:06 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 19:51 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 18:50 |
| 47 | Declan Chisholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 18:01 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 17:38 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | 24 | 1 | 23 | .958 | 2.13 | +1.13 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 19:17 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 19:14 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 18:28 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.23 | 1 | 1 | 17:45 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 17:10 |
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 15:41 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 14:12 |
| 84 | Pavol Regenda | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 12:54 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 10:33 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.07 | 3 | 0 | 07:06 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 21:44 |
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 20:35 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 6 | 1 | 18:42 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 18:40 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 12 | 4 | 8 | .667 | 1.40 | -2.60 |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | 19 | 3 | 16 | .842 | 1.53 | -1.47 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +4.40 | +2.75 | +0.46 | +1.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:39 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +3.79 | +2.10 | +0.08 | +1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 21:57 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +2.76 | +1.50 | +0.54 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:33 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +2.25 | +1.25 | +0.03 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:38 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | +2.15 | +1.30 | +0.11 | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:13 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +1.87 | +0.55 | +0.11 | +1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:06 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +1.69 | +0.75 | +0.06 | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 16:22 |
| 79 Charlie Lindgren G | +1.68 | +0.55 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.13 | 60:00 |
| 47 Declan Chisholm D | +1.25 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 18:01 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +1.15 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:06 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:25 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 15:39 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | +0.75 | +0.75 | +0.05 | +0.11 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 11:13 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.66 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 11:43 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.42 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 12:42 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:50 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.57 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:14 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:51 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.15 | — | 14:26 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 Pavol Regenda L | +0.38 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:54 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +0.35 | +0.55 | +0.15 | -0.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:41 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:10 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:45 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.32 | +0.30 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 19:14 |
| 72 William Eklund L | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:28 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | -0.29 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -1.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:44 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 10:33 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.47 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 19:17 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:02 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.43 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:06 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:40 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.77 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:35 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | -0.82 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.71 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:42 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | -0.86 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:08 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | -1.03 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -1.12 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.04 | — | 15:56 |
| 2 Will Smith C | -1.08 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:24 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | -1.09 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:12 |
| 33 Alex Nedeljkovic G | -1.47 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.47 | 42:40 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -2.60 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.60 | 17:07 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.