| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 38 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:29 | Tom Wilson (17) Justin Sourdif (4), Trevor van Riemsdyk (4) · snap xG 0.15 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 18:16 | Cutter Gauthier (16) Beckett Sennecke (14), Jackson LaCombe (12) · wrist xG 0.15 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:06 | Ethen Frank (4) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.20 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 6:19 | Ross Johnston (2) Radko Gudas (4), Olen Zellweger (6) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 7:38 | Aliaksei Protas (9) Matt Roy (9), Dylan Strome (17) · wrist xG 0.17 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 17:59 | Beckett Sennecke (8) Ross Johnston (5) · wrist xG 0.15 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Leo Carlsson vs Logan Thompson | Saved | ||
| Dylan Strome vs Ville Husso | Saved | ||
| Troy Terry vs Logan Thompson | Goal | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier vs Ville Husso | Goal | ||
| Mason McTavish vs Logan Thompson | Goal | ||
| Ethen Frank vs Ville Husso | Saved | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WSH | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.91 | Expected goals | 4.07 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.16 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.16 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 54 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 38 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Leonard, 29:22 on the bench
No shift after 16:04 of the 1st; 6 shifts (4:38) before that |
| Overtime | |||
| 0:48 | ANA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · ANA takes the lead, 61–39%
WSH had led since 3:26 of the 1st, by as much as 71% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.23 | 0 | 3 | 22:46 |
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.25 | 7 | 1 | 22:45 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 21:46 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 20:23 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 13 | 0.72 | 2 | 0 | 20:19 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 2 | 2 | 17:06 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 15:47 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 15:31 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 06:22 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 05:23 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 04:38 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 9 | 0.09 | 0 | 4 | 26:57 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 24:03 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 21:26 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 18:06 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 17:23 |
| 47 | Declan Chisholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 38 | 3 | 35 | .921 | 4.07 | +1.07 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Troy Terry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 24:03 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 23:35 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.38 | 2 | 1 | 22:05 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 19:44 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 17:53 |
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 17:53 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.51 | 2 | 0 | 17:15 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.39 | 2 | 1 | 13:23 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 12:09 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 09:33 |
| 22 | Ryan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 08:00 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 07:42 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.70 | 1 | 3 | 27:11 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.13 | 4 | 3 | 21:57 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 17:56 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 16:57 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 16:15 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 15:50 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso | 21 | 3 | 18 | .857 | 2.91 | -0.09 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +1.52 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 17:06 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +1.48 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.60 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 22:46 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +1.17 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 17:23 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +1.11 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:45 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | +1.07 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.07 | 65:00 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | +1.05 | +0.75 | +0.25 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:06 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.87 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 26:57 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.47 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:19 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +0.72 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 24:03 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.28 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 5:23 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 4:38 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.31 | -0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:46 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +0.20 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.27 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.06 | — | 20:23 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 6:22 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 21:26 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.38 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | 15:47 |
| 47 Declan Chisholm D | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 13:13 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:06 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.98 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:31 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +2.65 | +1.45 | +0.33 | +1.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:15 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +1.67 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:57 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | +1.53 | +1.45 | +0.06 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:42 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +1.49 | +0.55 | +0.45 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 27:11 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | +1.21 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.28 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.01 | — | 19:44 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | +1.17 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.21 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:50 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 23:35 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:05 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.12 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 21:57 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:03 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 13:23 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 17:53 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 12:09 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:33 |
| 33 Ville Husso G | -0.09 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.09 | 64:39 |
| 16 Ryan Strome C | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 8:00 |
| 14 Drew Helleson D | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:15 |
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | -0.87 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -1.11 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 17:53 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | -1.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:56 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.