Saturday, December 13, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
WSH 32%Deserve to win 68% WPG
WSH WPG
1.98 Expected goals 2.97
1 Goals (no shootout) 5
1.23 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.09
49 Shot attempts 64
34 Unblocked attempts 48
25 Shots on goal 35
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
3:39
WSH
Goalie
Goalie · Thompson −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.92 xG, 15 shots on goal
Shot map
WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → WPG shoots
Kyle Connor: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 3:02)
Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:07)
Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:41)
Neal Pionk: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:01)
Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:11)
Alex Ovechkin: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:28)
Vladislav Namestnikov: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:06)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:11)
Dylan Samberg: wrist, 126 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:06)
Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:50)
Alex Ovechkin: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:46)
Jonathan Toews: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:01)
Dylan Samberg: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:10)
Dylan Samberg: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:32)
Adam Lowry: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:36)
Alex Iafallo: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:43)
Nic Dowd: bat, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:13)
Cole Koepke: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:46)
Anthony Beauvillier: deflected, 24 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:40)
John Carlson: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:52)
Hendrix Lapierre: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:39)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:31)
Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:49)
Bogdan Trineyev: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 3:58)
Nic Dowd: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:05)
Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:13)
Josh Morrissey: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:27)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 7:36)
Aliaksei Protas: backhand, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:45)
Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:18)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:53)
Morgan Barron: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:36)
Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:47)
Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 12:51)
Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:34)
Gustav Nyquist: bat, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:35)
Kyle Connor: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:25)
Adam Lowry: slap, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:26)
Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:47)
Luke Schenn: slap, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:56)
Logan Stanley: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:32)
Vladislav Namestnikov: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 2:09)
John Carlson: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:37)
Rasmus Sandin: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:42)
Tom Wilson: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:00)
Nic Dowd: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:44)
Jakob Chychrun: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:06)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:17)
Gabriel Vilardi: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:19)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:05)
Cole Perfetti: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:07)
Kyle Connor: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:39)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:48)
Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:05)
Neal Pionk: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:11)
Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:34)
Jonathan Toews: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:03)
Nino Niederreiter: poke, 4 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:04)
Justin Sourdif: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 10:42)
Vladislav Namestnikov: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:07)
Morgan Barron: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:35)
Neal Pionk: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:17)
Brandon Duhaime: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 12:42)
John Carlson: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:30)
Dylan Samberg: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:05)
Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 14:22)
Tom Wilson: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 15:28)
Dylan Strome: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 16:03)
Jakob Chychrun: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:22)
Tom Wilson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:23)
Nic Dowd: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:57)
Cole Perfetti: backhand, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:08)
Hendrix Lapierre: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:39)
Anthony Beauvillier: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:40)
Martin Fehérváry: wrist, 168 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:28)
Justin Sourdif: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:33)
Logan Stanley: GOAL, bat, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:13)
Morgan Barron: GOAL, backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 18:43)
Alex Iafallo: GOAL, wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:39)
Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:53)
Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 11:55)
Jakob Chychrun: GOAL, slap, 32 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 16:32)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Washington Capitals
Winnipeg Jets
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Washington Capitals
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
6 Jakob Chychrun D
+0.60
+0.75
+0.22
-0.42
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
19:40
87 Bogdan Trineyev R
+0.50
0.00
+0.13
+0.32
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
11:45
22 Brandon Duhaime R
+0.31
0.00
+0.16
+0.18
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
13:12
26 Nic Dowd C
+0.09
0.00
+0.08
+0.18
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
14:36
29 Hendrix Lapierre C
0.00
0.00
+0.07
-0.02
0.00
+0.01
-0.06
—
9:56
24 Connor McMichael C
-0.03
0.00
0.00
-0.27
+0.15
+0.04
+0.05
—
13:54
17 Dylan Strome C
-0.12
0.00
+0.10
-0.40
+0.15
+0.05
-0.02
—
17:55
53 Ethen Frank C
-0.14
0.00
0.00
-0.17
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
16:25
8 Alex Ovechkin L
-0.16
+0.55
+0.06
-0.77
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:19
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D
-0.21
0.00
0.00
-0.33
0.00
0.00
+0.12
—
16:47
74 John Carlson D
-0.28
+0.70
+0.03
-0.73
-0.30
0.00
+0.03
—
19:55
38 Rasmus Sandin D
-0.28
0.00
+0.03
-0.56
+0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
21:09
3 Matt Roy D
-0.42
0.00
0.00
-0.63
+0.15
0.00
+0.06
—
18:14
43 Tom Wilson R
-0.43
0.00
+0.14
-0.78
+0.15
0.00
+0.06
—
18:16
72 Anthony Beauvillier L
-0.47
0.00
+0.14
-0.65
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
17:12
42 Martin Fehérváry D
-0.51
0.00
0.00
-0.56
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:15
21 Aliaksei Protas C
-0.81
0.00
+0.05
-0.80
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
14:50
34 Justin Sourdif R
-1.18
0.00
+0.08
-1.30
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
16:18
48 Logan Thompson G
-2.03
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-2.03
59:53
Winnipeg Jets
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
17 Adam Lowry C
+2.33
+1.40
+0.10
+0.82
0.00
-0.04
+0.05
—
14:16
81 Kyle Connor L
+2.32
+1.40
+0.43
+0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:35
13 Gabriel Vilardi C
+2.18
+1.50
+0.27
+0.47
-0.15
-0.01
+0.10
—
15:29
44 Josh Morrissey D
+2.09
+1.25
+0.04
+0.82
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
17:49
9 Alex Iafallo L
+2.07
+1.30
+0.04
+0.74
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:53
55 Mark Scheifele C
+2.03
+1.10
+0.09
+0.83
0.00
-0.01
+0.02
—
17:17
36 Morgan Barron C
+1.51
+0.75
+0.13
+0.74
-0.15
-0.01
+0.05
—
14:11
64 Logan Stanley D
+1.20
+0.75
+0.09
+0.29
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
16:08
37 Connor Hellebuyck G
+0.98
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.98
60:00
54 Dylan Samberg D
+0.92
0.00
+0.08
+0.83
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
23:00
4 Neal Pionk D
+0.78
0.00
+0.04
+0.64
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
21:28
2 Dylan DeMelo D
+0.60
0.00
+0.01
+0.57
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
20:32
62 Nino Niederreiter R
+0.56
0.00
+0.08
+0.37
+0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
15:45
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C
+0.50
0.00
+0.18
+0.35
0.00
-0.03
0.00
—
14:45
91 Cole Perfetti C
+0.13
0.00
+0.15
-0.02
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
17:22
14 Gustav Nyquist R
+0.12
0.00
+0.09
+0.02
0.00
-0.01
+0.02
—
13:07
19 Jonathan Toews C
-0.04
0.00
+0.09
-0.06
-0.15
+0.03
+0.05
—
11:05
5 Luke Schenn D
-0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.07
-0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
16:47
45 Cole Koepke L
-0.13
0.00
+0.01
-0.14
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:48
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.