Washington CapitalsWSH 1–5 Final Winnipeg JetsWPG

Saturday, December 13, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 001 1 25
Winnipeg JetsWPG 221 5 35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:13 WPG Logan Stanley (5) Josh Morrissey (22), Mark Scheifele (23) · bat xG 0.10 0–1 ▶
18:43 WPG Morgan Barron (5) Adam Lowry (3), Alex Iafallo (6) · backhand xG 0.14 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
3:39 WPG Alex Iafallo (6) Adam Lowry (4) · wrist xG 0.01 0–3 ▶
19:53 WPG Gabriel Vilardi (15)PP Kyle Connor (24), Josh Morrissey (23) · tip-in xG 0.12 0–4 ▶
3rd Period
11:55 WPG Gabriel Vilardi (16) Kyle Connor (25), Mark Scheifele (24) · wrist xG 0.18 0–5 ▶
16:32 WSH Jakob Chychrun (12)PP John Carlson (18), Alex Ovechkin (17) · slap xG 0.17 1–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 32%Deserve to win68% WPG
WSHWPG
1.98Expected goals2.97
1Goals (no shootout)5
1.23Expected goals, 5 on 52.09
49Shot attempts64
34Unblocked attempts48
25Shots on goal35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
3:39 WSH Goalie Goalie · Thompson −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.92 xG, 15 shots on goal

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots
Kyle Connor: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 3:02) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:07) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:41) Neal Pionk: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:01) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:11) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:28) Vladislav Namestnikov: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:06) Josh Morrissey: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:11) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 126 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:06) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:50) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:46) Jonathan Toews: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:01) Dylan Samberg: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:10) Dylan Samberg: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:32) Adam Lowry: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:36) Alex Iafallo: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:43) Nic Dowd: bat, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:13) Cole Koepke: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:46) Anthony Beauvillier: deflected, 24 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:40) John Carlson: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:52) Hendrix Lapierre: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:39) Josh Morrissey: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:31) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:49) Bogdan Trineyev: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 3:58) Nic Dowd: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:05) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:13) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:27) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 7:36) Aliaksei Protas: backhand, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:45) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:18) Neal Pionk: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:53) Morgan Barron: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:36) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:47) Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 12:51) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:34) Gustav Nyquist: bat, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:35) Kyle Connor: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:25) Adam Lowry: slap, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:26) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:47) Luke Schenn: slap, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:56) Logan Stanley: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:32) Vladislav Namestnikov: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 2:09) John Carlson: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:37) Rasmus Sandin: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:42) Tom Wilson: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:00) Nic Dowd: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:44) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:06) Kyle Connor: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:17) Gabriel Vilardi: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:19) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:05) Cole Perfetti: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:07) Kyle Connor: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:39) Kyle Connor: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:48) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:05) Neal Pionk: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:11) Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:34) Jonathan Toews: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:03) Nino Niederreiter: poke, 4 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:04) Justin Sourdif: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 10:42) Vladislav Namestnikov: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:07) Morgan Barron: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:35) Neal Pionk: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:17) Brandon Duhaime: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 12:42) John Carlson: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:30) Dylan Samberg: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:05) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 14:22) Tom Wilson: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 15:28) Dylan Strome: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 16:03) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:22) Tom Wilson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:23) Nic Dowd: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:57) Cole Perfetti: backhand, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:08) Hendrix Lapierre: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:39) Anthony Beauvillier: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:40) Martin Fehérváry: wrist, 168 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:28) Justin Sourdif: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:33) Logan Stanley: GOAL, bat, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:13) Morgan Barron: GOAL, backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 18:43) Alex Iafallo: GOAL, wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:39) Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:53) Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 11:55) Jakob Chychrun: GOAL, slap, 32 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 16:32)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
8 Alex Ovechkin 011 -1 30.10 1018:19
43 Tom Wilson 000 -2 40.21 1218:16
17 Dylan Strome 000 0 10.15 1017:55
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 -1 40.22 0117:12
53 Ethen Frank 000 -1 10.00 0116:25
34 Justin Sourdif 000 -3 20.13 1116:18
21 Aliaksei Protas 000 -2 30.08 1014:50
26 Nic Dowd 000 0 40.13 0014:36
77 Connor McMichael 000 -1 10.00 0113:54
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 0 40.25 5013:12
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 -1 20.11 0009:56
Defense
38 Rasmus Sandin 000 -1 40.04 4221:09
74 John Carlson 011 -2 40.04 2119:55
6 Jakob Chychrun 101 -1 80.34 2119:40
3 Matt Roy 000 -1 00.00 2218:14
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 -2 30.00 0117:15
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 -1 00.00 0216:47
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Logan Thompson 35530 .857 2.97 -2.03

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Kyle Connor 022 +1 70.66 0018:35
91 Cole Perfetti 000 0 40.23 1017:22
55 Mark Scheifele 022 +2 30.14 0017:17
62 Nino Niederreiter 000 +1 20.12 2015:45
13 Gabriel Vilardi 202 +1 50.42 0215:29
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 000 +1 40.27 1014:45
17 Adam Lowry 022 +2 30.15 2114:16
36 Morgan Barron 101 +2 40.21 2114:11
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 0 40.14 0013:07
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 10.01 5011:48
19 Jonathan Toews 000 0 30.14 0111:05
9 Alex Iafallo 112 +2 20.05 1010:53
Defense
54 Dylan Samberg 000 +1 60.13 0123:00
4 Neal Pionk 000 +1 60.07 1221:28
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 +1 10.02 1020:32
44 Josh Morrissey 022 +2 30.06 0017:49
2 Luke Schenn 000 +1 10.00 6216:47
8 Logan Stanley 101 +2 50.14 1216:08
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 25124 .960 1.98 +0.98

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Jakob Chychrun D +0.60 +0.75 +0.22 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:40
87 Bogdan Trineyev R +0.50 0.00 +0.13 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:45
22 Brandon Duhaime R +0.31 0.00 +0.16 +0.18 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:12
26 Nic Dowd C +0.09 0.00 +0.08 +0.18 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:36
29 Hendrix Lapierre C 0.00 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.06 — 9:56
24 Connor McMichael C -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.27 +0.15 +0.04 +0.05 — 13:54
17 Dylan Strome C -0.12 0.00 +0.10 -0.40 +0.15 +0.05 -0.02 — 17:55
53 Ethen Frank C -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:25
8 Alex Ovechkin L -0.16 +0.55 +0.06 -0.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:19
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 16:47
74 John Carlson D -0.28 +0.70 +0.03 -0.73 -0.30 0.00 +0.03 — 19:55
38 Rasmus Sandin D -0.28 0.00 +0.03 -0.56 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 21:09
3 Matt Roy D -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.63 +0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 18:14
43 Tom Wilson R -0.43 0.00 +0.14 -0.78 +0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 18:16
72 Anthony Beauvillier L -0.47 0.00 +0.14 -0.65 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 17:12
42 Martin Fehérváry D -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:15
21 Aliaksei Protas C -0.81 0.00 +0.05 -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 14:50
34 Justin Sourdif R -1.18 0.00 +0.08 -1.30 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:18
48 Logan Thompson G -2.03 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.03 59:53

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
17 Adam Lowry C +2.33 +1.40 +0.10 +0.82 0.00 -0.04 +0.05 — 14:16
81 Kyle Connor L +2.32 +1.40 +0.43 +0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:35
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +2.18 +1.50 +0.27 +0.47 -0.15 -0.01 +0.10 — 15:29
44 Josh Morrissey D +2.09 +1.25 +0.04 +0.82 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:49
9 Alex Iafallo L +2.07 +1.30 +0.04 +0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:53
55 Mark Scheifele C +2.03 +1.10 +0.09 +0.83 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 17:17
36 Morgan Barron C +1.51 +0.75 +0.13 +0.74 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 14:11
64 Logan Stanley D +1.20 +0.75 +0.09 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 16:08
37 Connor Hellebuyck G +0.98 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.98 60:00
54 Dylan Samberg D +0.92 0.00 +0.08 +0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 23:00
4 Neal Pionk D +0.78 0.00 +0.04 +0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:28
2 Dylan DeMelo D +0.60 0.00 +0.01 +0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 20:32
62 Nino Niederreiter R +0.56 0.00 +0.08 +0.37 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 15:45
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C +0.50 0.00 +0.18 +0.35 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 14:45
91 Cole Perfetti C +0.13 0.00 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 17:22
14 Gustav Nyquist R +0.12 0.00 +0.09 +0.02 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 13:07
19 Jonathan Toews C -0.04 0.00 +0.09 -0.06 -0.15 +0.03 +0.05 — 11:05
5 Luke Schenn D -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 16:47
45 Cole Koepke L -0.13 0.00 +0.01 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:48

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.