hockeystats.io

Washington CapitalsWSH 0–5 Final Minnesota WildMIN

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 000 0 25
Minnesota WildMIN 113 5 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:09 MIN Vladimir Tarasenko (4) Danila Yurov (6), Brock Faber (12) · wrist xG 0.04 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
12:51 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (21)PP Joel Eriksson Ek (17), Quinn Hughes (22) · backhand xG 0.31 0–2 ▶
3rd Period
4:23 MIN Vladimir Tarasenko (5) Danila Yurov (7) · wrist xG 0.04 0–3 ▶
8:53 MIN Danila Yurov (4) Vladimir Tarasenko (11) · wrist xG 0.22 0–4 ▶
14:12 MIN Matt Boldy (19)SH Matt Kiersted (1) · wrist xG 0.17 0–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 41%Deserve to win59% MIN
WSHMIN
2.59Expected goals3.15
0Goals (no shootout)5
2.12Expected goals, 5 on 51.93
66Shot attempts58
43Unblocked attempts47
25Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
5:50 MIN No shift No shift · Hunt, 36:36 on the bench
No shift after 11:25 of the 1st; 5 shifts (3:44) before that
11:12 MIN Goalie Goalie · Gustavsson +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 19 shots on goal
3rd Period
0:20 MIN xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.27–0.14
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:40 of the 2nd to 0:40 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
14:12 MIN Deserve to win Deserve to win · MIN takes the lead, 61–39%
WSH had led since 11:46 of the 1st, by as much as 74%

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Tom Wilson: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:22) Matt Roy: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:26) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:57) Connor McMichael: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:09) Brock Faber: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:52) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:59) Rasmus Sandin: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:28) Dylan Strome: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:09) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:13) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:27) Matt Kiersted: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:56) Ethen Frank: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:40) Hendrix Lapierre: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:42) Ethen Frank: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.39 (P1 11:46) Anthony Beauvillier: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:30) Justin Sourdif: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:59) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:10) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 15:33) Connor McMichael: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:10) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:18) Brock Faber: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:44) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:00) Kirill Kaprizov: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:26) Matt Boldy: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:59) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:09) Brock Faber: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:15) Joel Eriksson Ek: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 0:16) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 1:21) John Carlson: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:28) Alex Ovechkin: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 1:30) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:49) Tyler Pitlick: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 3:19) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:35) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:39) Matt Roy: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:55) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:10) Dylan Strome: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:17) Brock Faber: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:51) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:45) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:31) Matt Kiersted: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:41) Nicolas Aube-Kubel: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:44) Matt Kiersted: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:52) Nic Dowd: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:25) John Carlson: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:51) Martin Fehérváry: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:53) Tom Wilson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:36) Dylan Strome: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 10:16) Trevor van Riemsdyk: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:25) Danila Yurov: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 10:42) Matt Roy: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:09) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:12) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:09) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:31) Matt Boldy: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:44) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:13) Nicolas Aube-Kubel: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:50) Jared Spurgeon: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:13) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:54) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:01) Kirill Kaprizov: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 17:22) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 18:01) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 148 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:50) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:31) Matt Boldy: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 0:34) Tyler Pitlick: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:18) Nico Sturm: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:30) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:00) Matt Roy: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:30) Tom Wilson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 7:43) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:04) Tom Wilson: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:44) Hendrix Lapierre: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:14) Tyler Pitlick: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:57) Tom Wilson: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:19) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:28) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:49) Nico Sturm: wrist, 123 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:45) Hendrix Lapierre: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:46) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:20) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:21) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:43) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:00) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:14) Ethen Frank: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:36) Vladimir Tarasenko: GOAL, wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:09) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 12:51) Vladimir Tarasenko: GOAL, wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:23) Danila Yurov: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 8:53) Matt Boldy: GOAL, wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 14:12)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
77 Connor McMichael 000 -2 20.05 0017:40
21 Aliaksei Protas 000 -1 10.00 0017:22
34 Justin Sourdif 000 0 20.01 0117:17
43 Tom Wilson 000 -1 60.36 2016:25
17 Dylan Strome 000 -1 40.25 0215:17
8 Alex Ovechkin 000 -2 30.31 3015:12
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 -1 10.06 5014:31
26 Nic Dowd 000 -1 10.13 1114:10
53 Ethen Frank 000 0 50.51 0013:14
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 -3 40.15 1012:35
15 Sonny Milano 000 -1 00.00 0011:56
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 0 40.23 0010:33
Defense
74 John Carlson 000 -2 70.10 0022:10
6 Jakob Chychrun 000 0 110.18 2121:18
3 Matt Roy 000 -1 50.10 2121:07
38 Rasmus Sandin 000 -3 60.09 2117:57
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 0 30.03 0117:29
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 -1 10.02 0016:49
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Charlie Lindgren 32527 .844 3.15 -1.85

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
12 Matt Boldy 101 +1 40.48 1219:49
97 Kirill Kaprizov 101 0 70.69 0118:15
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 011 0 30.17 0017:29
38 Ryan Hartman 000 0 70.12 0116:37
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 213 +3 80.37 0016:01
17 Marcus Foligno 000 +1 40.16 1015:18
22 Danila Yurov 123 +3 30.37 0115:02
13 Yakov Trenin 000 +3 10.01 6114:15
78 Nico Sturm 000 0 20.01 2112:47
19 Tyler Pitlick 000 0 30.27 3109:36
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 011 +2 30.15 1329:33
7 Brock Faber 011 +3 40.10 2328:10
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 +2 40.07 1023:22
26 Matt Kiersted 011 0 30.03 0016:16
5 David Jiricek 000 +1 00.00 0314:11
48 Daemon Hunt 000 0 00.00 1103:44
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 25025 1.000 2.59 +2.59

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
74 John Carlson D +0.69 0.00 +0.06 +0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:10
42 Martin Fehérváry D +0.68 0.00 +0.02 +0.76 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 17:29
17 Dylan Strome C +0.42 0.00 +0.17 +0.08 0.00 +0.06 +0.12 — 15:17
53 Ethen Frank C +0.40 0.00 +0.33 +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:14
34 Justin Sourdif R +0.27 0.00 +0.01 -0.07 +0.30 0.00 +0.03 — 17:17
15 Sonny Milano L +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:56
29 Hendrix Lapierre C +0.23 0.00 +0.15 +0.15 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 — 10:33
43 Tom Wilson R +0.17 0.00 +0.24 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:25
22 Brandon Duhaime R -0.03 0.00 +0.04 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:31
8 Alex Ovechkin L -0.12 0.00 +0.20 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:12
21 Aliaksei Protas C -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.01 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 17:22
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D -0.14 0.00 +0.01 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:49
24 Connor McMichael C -0.14 0.00 +0.03 -0.19 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 17:40
72 Anthony Beauvillier L -0.20 0.00 +0.10 -0.27 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:35
26 Nic Dowd C -0.20 0.00 +0.09 -0.31 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 14:10
3 Matt Roy D -0.42 0.00 +0.07 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:07
6 Jakob Chychrun D -0.57 0.00 +0.12 -0.59 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 21:18
38 Rasmus Sandin D -0.71 0.00 +0.06 -0.67 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 17:57
79 Charlie Lindgren G -1.85 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.85 60:00

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R +2.72 +2.20 +0.24 +0.15 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 16:01
22 Danila Yurov R +2.63 +2.15 +0.24 +0.12 0.00 +0.09 +0.03 — 15:02
32 Filip Gustavsson G +2.59 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.59 60:00
43 Quinn Hughes D +1.55 +0.55 +0.10 +0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 29:33
7 Brock Faber D +1.44 +0.55 +0.06 +0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 28:10
12 Matt Boldy L +1.19 +0.75 +0.31 -0.12 +0.15 -0.02 +0.12 — 19:49
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +1.14 +0.75 +0.45 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:15
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.86 +0.70 +0.11 +0.04 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 17:29
17 Marcus Foligno L +0.68 0.00 +0.11 +0.43 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:18
16 Nicolas Aube-Kubel R +0.43 0.00 +0.09 +0.22 0.00 -0.03 +0.15 — 14:17
38 Ryan Hartman R +0.37 0.00 +0.08 +0.26 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 16:37
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.27 0.00 +0.01 +0.25 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 14:15
19 Tyler Pitlick C +0.14 0.00 +0.17 -0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:36
46 Jared Spurgeon D +0.03 0.00 +0.05 +0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 23:22
48 Daemon Hunt D 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 3:44
78 Nico Sturm C -0.09 0.00 +0.01 -0.13 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:47
26 Matt Kiersted D -0.12 +0.70 +0.02 -0.82 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:16
39 Ben Jones C -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 11:18
55 David Jiricek D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.22 -0.15 0.00 +0.11 — 14:11

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.