| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 41 |
 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:05 | |
John Leonard (1) Simon Edvinsson (7), Andrew Copp (14) · snap xG 0.44 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:37 | |
James van Riemsdyk (8) Moritz Seider (21), Andrew Copp (15) · snap xG 0.23 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 5:55 | |
Elmer Soderblom (2) Marco Kasper (2), Albert Johansson (4) · backhand xG 0.15 | 3–0 ▶ |
| 10:05 | |
Moritz Seider (5) Unassisted · snap xG 0.23 | 4–0 ▶ |
| 10:36 | |
Aliaksei Protas (12) Tom Wilson (17), Rasmus Sandin (8) · snap xG 0.07 | 4–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:30 | |
Martin Fehérváry (3) Declan Chisholm (3), Dylan Strome (18) · snap xG 0.15 | 4–2 ▶ |
| 17:10 | |
Dylan Larkin (18)EN Simon Edvinsson (8) · snap xG 0.46 | 5–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DET | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.99 | Expected goals | 2.75 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 3.51 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.77 |
| 70 | Shot attempts | 62 |
| 52 | Unblocked attempts | 42 |
| 41 | Shots on goal | 26 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:10 | DET | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.20–0.06
In xG over 10 minutes, 8:40 to 18:40 of the 1st; neither team scored |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:58 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 4–2
With 4:02 left; DET scored at 17:10 of the 3rd (5–2) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 3 | 22:33 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 22:01 |
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.82 | 1 | 0 | 19:48 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 15:23 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 11 | 1.03 | 1 | 0 | 14:21 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.37 | 2 | 0 | 13:38 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 13:26 |
| 43 | John Leonard | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.48 | 0 | 1 | 12:57 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.77 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 12:15 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.24 | 2 | 2 | 10:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 0.32 | 1 | 3 | 23:31 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 22:16 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 22:02 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 4 | 17:56 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 15:04 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 13:31 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 26 | 2 | 24 | .923 | 2.75 | +0.75 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 0.44 | 6 | 0 | 22:58 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 18:26 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.27 | 3 | 0 | 18:06 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 | 17:32 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 16:44 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 16:07 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.23 | 2 | 1 | 12:51 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:00 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 10:18 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 14 | 0.26 | 1 | 3 | 21:31 |
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 21:14 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.16 | 1 | 3 | 19:47 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 3 | 19:37 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 4 | 19:21 |
| 47 | Declan Chisholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 14:37 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 40 | 4 | 36 | .900 | 4.53 | +0.53 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +4.09 | +1.45 | +0.21 | +2.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:31 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +3.68 | +1.40 | +0.02 | +2.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:16 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +3.23 | +1.10 | +0.14 | +2.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:23 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +2.77 | 0.00 | +0.67 | +2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:21 |
| 43 John Leonard L | +2.47 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 12:57 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +2.11 | +0.75 | +0.50 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:24 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | +1.63 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 10:26 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | +1.56 | +0.70 | +0.24 | +0.63 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:38 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.88 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:31 |
| 36 John Gibson G | +0.75 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.75 | 60:00 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +0.73 | +0.75 | +0.54 | -0.52 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 19:48 |
| 29 Nate Danielson C | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.41 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 12:28 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:26 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 17:56 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:15 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:04 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 22:01 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:02 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.13 | — | 22:33 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +1.24 | +0.75 | +0.10 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 19:47 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +0.99 | +0.70 | +0.29 | +0.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 22:58 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 16:44 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | +0.53 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.53 | 58:48 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 12:51 |
| 47 Declan Chisholm D | +0.38 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:37 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +0.35 | +0.75 | +0.13 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 18:26 |
| 74 John Carlson D | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.29 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:14 |
| 63 Ivan Miroshnichenko L | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:50 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | -0.43 | +0.55 | +0.43 | -1.55 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.05 | — | 17:32 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:18 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | +0.15 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 16:07 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:21 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | -0.67 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 19:21 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:00 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | -0.97 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:31 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | -1.09 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -1.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 13:52 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | -1.38 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:06 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | -1.39 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:37 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.