Washington CapitalsWSH 2–3 Final/OT Detroit Red WingsDET

Sunday, December 21, 2025

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH	1	0	1	0	2	33
Detroit Red WingsDET	0	2	0	1	3	27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:17	WSH	Ethen Frank (5) Dylan Strome (19) · backhand xG 0.13	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
8:37	DET	Lucas Raymond (11)PP Axel Sandin-Pellikka (10), Emmitt Finnie (9) · snap xG 0.07	1–1 ▶
13:44	DET	John Leonard (2) Alex DeBrincat (20), Andrew Copp (16) · deflected xG 0.08	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
10:22	WSH	Ethen Frank (6) John Carlson (21), Dylan Strome (20) · wrist xG 0.14	2–2 ▶
Overtime
4:36	DET	Moritz Seider (6) Andrew Copp (17), Emmitt Finnie (10) · slap xG 0.18	2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 78%Deserve to win22% DET

WSH		DET
4.44	Expected goals	2.52
2	Goals (no shootout)	3
3.83	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.58
75	Shot attempts	55
56	Unblocked attempts	41
33	Shots on goal	27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
12:20	WSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.20–0.13 In xG over 10 minutes, 2:40 to 12:40 of the 1st; neither team scored
2nd Period
5:50	DET	No shift	No shift · Soderblom, 14:41 on the bench No shift from 15:45 of the 1st to 11:41 of the 2nd; 5 shifts (2:42) before that
3rd Period
0:33	DET	Goalie	Goalie · Talbot +2.1 goals saved 1 goal on 3.08 xG, 24 shots on goal
2:20	WSH	No shift	No shift · Lapierre, 10:14 on the bench No shift from 12:16 of the 2nd to 2:30 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (6:20) before that
2:30	WSH	No shift	No shift · Miroshnichenko, 10:13 on the bench No shift from 12:28 of the 2nd to 2:41 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (7:33) before that
13:40	WSH	Shortened bench	Shortened bench · 3 forwards sat Lapierre, Miroshnichenko and Duhaime: no shift after 3:47 of the 3rd

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DET shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Aliaksei Protas	0	0	0	-1	7	0.22	1	1	21:14
43	Tom Wilson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	0	21:00
17	Dylan Strome	0	2	2	+1	4	0.16	0	0	20:36
34	Justin Sourdif	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	19:45
8	Alex Ovechkin	0	0	0	-1	6	0.29	1	0	17:28
77	Connor McMichael	0	0	0	0	3	0.47	1	0	17:19
26	Nic Dowd	0	0	0	0	4	0.34	1	1	16:53
53	Ethen Frank	2	0	2	+2	9	0.41	0	0	15:44
72	Anthony Beauvillier	0	0	0	+1	8	0.50	1	0	15:41
22	Hendrix Lapierre	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	07:23
24	Brandon Duhaime	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	0	06:36
Defense
74	John Carlson	0	1	1	+2	5	0.25	0	1	24:40
6	Jakob Chychrun	0	0	0	0	8	0.82	0	1	24:08
3	Matt Roy	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	2	3	21:10
42	Martin Fehérváry	0	0	0	+2	4	0.15	0	3	19:07
38	Rasmus Sandin	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	1	18:52
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	0	0	16:52

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Charlie Lindgren	27	3	24	.889	2.52	-0.48

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
71	Dylan Larkin	0	0	0	0	6	0.38	3	0	22:51
23	Lucas Raymond	1	0	1	0	6	0.43	0	2	21:13
93	Alex DeBrincat	0	1	1	-1	8	0.40	0	0	20:39
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	2	2	+1	1	0.05	1	0	19:14
18	Andrew Copp	0	2	2	0	3	0.27	1	0	15:19
21	James van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	1	14:55
37	J.T. Compher	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	14:26
43	John Leonard	1	0	1	-1	5	0.16	1	1	14:00
22	Mason Appleton	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	13:08
27	Michael Rasmussen	0	0	0	0	4	0.06	1	2	12:23
25	Elmer Soderblom	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	08:34
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	1	0	1	+1	4	0.29	0	4	26:44
77	Simon Edvinsson	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	1	1	25:54
8	Ben Chiarot	0	0	0	-1	3	0.01	3	1	23:23
52	Travis Hamonic	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	16:13
20	Albert Johansson	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	2	16:02
44	Axel Sandin-Pellikka	0	1	1	-2	1	0.00	0	1	15:50

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Cam Talbot	33	2	31	.939	4.44	+2.44

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
53 Ethen Frank C	+3.12	+1.50	+0.27	+1.33	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	15:44
74 John Carlson D	+2.08	+0.70	+0.16	+1.24	0.00	0.00	-0.03	—	24:40
17 Dylan Strome C	+1.89	+1.25	+0.10	+0.64	-0.15	+0.04	0.00	—	20:36
42 Martin Fehérváry D	+1.72	0.00	+0.10	+1.45	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	19:07
6 Jakob Chychrun D	+1.70	0.00	+0.54	+1.11	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	24:08
72 Anthony Beauvillier L	+1.56	0.00	+0.33	+1.22	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	15:41
26 Nic Dowd C	+1.36	0.00	+0.22	+1.15	0.00	-0.06	+0.05	—	16:53
3 Matt Roy D	+1.32	0.00	+0.01	+1.01	+0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	21:10
63 Ivan Miroshnichenko L	+1.15	0.00	+0.32	+0.77	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	8:27
29 Hendrix Lapierre C	+0.78	0.00	+0.02	+0.76	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:23
22 Brandon Duhaime R	+0.73	0.00	+0.12	+0.74	-0.15	+0.02	0.00	—	6:36
24 Connor McMichael C	+0.67	0.00	+0.31	+0.39	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	17:19
8 Alex Ovechkin L	+0.53	0.00	+0.19	+0.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:28
21 Aliaksei Protas C	+0.45	0.00	+0.14	+0.27	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	21:14
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D	+0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.37	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:52
43 Tom Wilson R	+0.29	0.00	+0.05	+0.26	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:00
38 Rasmus Sandin D	+0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	18:52
34 Justin Sourdif R	+0.01	0.00	+0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:45
79 Charlie Lindgren G	-0.48	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.48	64:21

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
39 Cam Talbot G	+2.44	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.44	64:36
18 Andrew Copp C	+1.21	+1.25	+0.17	-0.22	0.00	-0.01	+0.02	—	15:19
43 John Leonard L	+0.71	+0.75	+0.10	-0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:00
58 Emmitt Finnie C	+0.48	+1.10	+0.03	-0.63	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:14
53 Moritz Seider D	+0.37	+0.75	+0.19	-0.77	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	26:44
23 Lucas Raymond L	+0.35	+0.75	+0.28	-0.76	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	21:13
93 Alex DeBrincat R	+0.25	+0.70	+0.26	-0.78	+0.15	0.00	-0.08	—	20:39
71 Dylan Larkin C	-0.07	0.00	+0.25	-0.46	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	22:51
52 Travis Hamonic D	-0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.27	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	16:13
27 Michael Rasmussen C	-0.33	0.00	+0.04	-0.47	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	12:23
20 Albert Johansson D	-0.41	0.00	+0.05	-0.56	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	16:02
21 James van Riemsdyk L	-0.50	0.00	+0.07	-0.62	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:55
77 Simon Edvinsson D	-0.61	0.00	+0.01	-0.61	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	25:54
37 J.T. Compher L	-0.77	0.00	+0.02	-0.93	0.00	+0.06	+0.08	—	14:26
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D	-0.85	+0.70	0.00	-1.60	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:50
85 Elmer Soderblom L	-0.86	0.00	+0.04	-0.74	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	8:34
29 Nate Danielson C	-0.98	0.00	+0.09	-1.07	0.00	-0.03	+0.02	—	13:07
22 Mason Appleton C	-1.04	0.00	+0.02	-1.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:08
8 Ben Chiarot D	-1.33	0.00	+0.01	-1.39	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	23:23

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.