Washington CapitalsWSH 4–3 Final/OT New Jersey DevilsNJD

Saturday, December 27, 2025

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH	1	1	1	1	4	33
New Jersey DevilsNJD	0	1	2	0	3	38

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
19:59	WSH	Aliaksei Protas (14) Alex Ovechkin (18) · snap xG 0.14	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
4:56	NJD	Jesper Bratt (7)PP Nico Hischier (20), Stefan Noesen (4) · snap xG 0.38	1–1 ▶
17:33	WSH	Anthony Beauvillier (7) Aliaksei Protas (12) · snap xG 0.20	2–1 ▶
3rd Period
7:00	NJD	Jesper Bratt (8) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.01	2–2 ▶
7:32	NJD	Cody Glass (7) Connor Brown (7), Brenden Dillon (8) · snap xG 0.15	2–3 ▶
9:17	WSH	Alex Ovechkin (15) Rasmus Sandin (9), Aliaksei Protas (13) · wrist xG 0.12	3–3 ▶
Overtime
4:06	WSH	Jakob Chychrun (15) Nic Dowd (6), Dylan Strome (21) · bat xG 0.53	4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 79%Deserve to win21% NJD

WSH		NJD
5.14	Expected goals	3.06
4	Goals (no shootout)	3
3.36	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.32
56	Shot attempts	73
46	Unblocked attempts	49
33	Shots on goal	38

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:29	WSH	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · WSH takes the lead, 70–30% NJD had led since 6:30 of the 1st, by as much as 63%
3rd Period
12:40	WSH	Shortened bench	Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat Duhaime and Lapierre: no shift after 2:38 of the 3rd
16:30	WSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.37–0.33 In xG over 10 minutes, 6:30 to 16:30 of the 3rd; goals 1–2
18:50	NJD	No shift	No shift · Glendening, 11:11 on the bench No shift from 8:49 of the 3rd to 2:52 of overtime; 13 shifts (8:03) before that
19:20	NJD	No shift	No shift · Cotter, 10:43 on the bench No shift from 9:17 of the 3rd to 3:31 of overtime; 11 shifts (8:43) before that
19:20	NJD	No shift	No shift · Noesen, 10:43 on the bench No shift after 9:17 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (8:45) before that

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
17	Dylan Strome	0	1	1	+1	5	0.45	0	1	20:49
21	Aliaksei Protas	1	2	3	+3	6	0.56	1	0	19:49
77	Connor McMichael	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	0	0	19:19
26	Nic Dowd	0	1	1	0	2	0.12	1	1	18:00
43	Tom Wilson	0	0	0	-1	3	0.00	2	0	17:41
72	Anthony Beauvillier	1	0	1	+1	4	0.56	1	0	17:14
34	Justin Sourdif	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	0	0	16:56
8	Alex Ovechkin	1	1	2	+2	7	0.65	2	0	15:20
9	Ryan Leonard	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	0	1	15:18
53	Ethen Frank	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	10:19
24	Brandon Duhaime	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	2	0	08:20
22	Hendrix Lapierre	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	06:54
Defense
6	Jakob Chychrun	1	0	1	0	6	0.87	0	2	22:23
3	Matt Roy	0	0	0	-1	4	0.10	2	2	21:51
42	Martin Fehérváry	0	0	0	0	4	0.74	1	1	20:24
74	John Carlson	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	3	20:05
38	Rasmus Sandin	0	1	1	+3	2	0.01	0	4	19:35
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	3	17:51

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Logan Thompson	38	3	35	.921	3.06	+0.06

New Jersey Devils

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Nico Hischier	0	1	1	0	10	0.52	0	1	24:10
28	Timo Meier	0	0	0	0	6	0.10	1	1	22:57
86	Jack Hughes	0	0	0	-2	10	0.15	0	0	20:57
91	Dawson Mercer	0	0	0	0	6	0.52	0	0	19:07
63	Jesper Bratt	2	0	2	0	7	0.69	0	0	17:39
16	Connor Brown	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	1	1	17:14
81	Arseny Gritsyuk	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	1	0	14:35
12	Cody Glass	1	0	1	0	4	0.39	2	0	14:10
81	Ondrej Palat	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	09:19
47	Paul Cotter	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	4	0	09:18
11	Stefan Noesen	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	0	08:45
41	Luke Glendening	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	08:06
Defense
43	Luke Hughes	0	0	0	-2	5	0.13	0	1	27:28
7	Dougie Hamilton	0	0	0	-1	6	0.23	0	2	24:39
22	Brett Pesce	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	3	23:09
71	Jonas Siegenthaler	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	0	20:26
5	Brenden Dillon	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	2	0	14:45
6	Colton White	0	0	0	+1	5	0.09	1	0	11:52

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Allen	33	4	29	.879	5.14	+1.14

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
21 Aliaksei Protas C	+4.16	+2.00	+0.37	+1.79	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:49
38 Rasmus Sandin D	+2.95	+0.70	+0.01	+2.04	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	19:35
8 Alex Ovechkin L	+2.70	+1.45	+0.42	+0.83	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:20
17 Dylan Strome C	+2.43	+0.55	+0.29	+1.41	0.00	+0.15	+0.03	—	20:49
72 Anthony Beauvillier L	+2.19	+0.75	+0.36	+0.93	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	17:14
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D	+1.54	0.00	0.00	+1.37	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	17:51
6 Jakob Chychrun D	+1.42	+0.75	+0.57	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	22:23
26 Nic Dowd C	+0.58	+0.70	+0.08	-0.26	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	18:00
29 Hendrix Lapierre C	+0.45	0.00	0.00	+0.38	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	6:54
9 Ryan Leonard R	+0.44	0.00	+0.16	+0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:18
74 John Carlson D	+0.18	0.00	+0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	20:05
48 Logan Thompson G	+0.06	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.06	64:06
42 Martin Fehérváry D	+0.04	0.00	+0.48	-0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	20:24
34 Justin Sourdif R	-0.04	0.00	+0.20	-0.24	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	16:56
43 Tom Wilson R	-0.12	0.00	0.00	-0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:41
3 Matt Roy D	-0.17	0.00	+0.07	-0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	21:51
53 Ethen Frank C	-0.25	0.00	0.00	-0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	10:19
22 Brandon Duhaime R	-0.36	0.00	+0.12	-0.18	-0.30	0.00	0.00	—	8:20
24 Connor McMichael C	-0.44	0.00	+0.14	-0.55	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	19:19

New Jersey Devils

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
63 Jesper Bratt L	+1.72	+1.50	+0.45	-0.23	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:39
34 Jake Allen G	+1.14	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.14	63:48
13 Nico Hischier C	+0.92	+0.70	+0.34	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	+0.01	—	24:10
12 Cody Glass C	+0.75	+0.75	+0.25	-0.06	-0.15	-0.05	0.00	—	14:10
5 Brenden Dillon D	+0.63	+0.55	0.00	+0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	14:45
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R	+0.44	0.00	+0.09	+0.35	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:35
91 Dawson Mercer C	+0.25	0.00	+0.34	-0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	19:07
16 Connor Brown R	+0.22	+0.70	0.00	-0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:14
7 Dougie Hamilton D	+0.16	0.00	+0.15	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	24:39
11 Stefan Noesen R	+0.11	+0.55	+0.01	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:45
45 Colton White D	+0.10	0.00	+0.06	+0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	11:52
28 Timo Meier R	-0.02	0.00	+0.07	-0.13	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:57
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D	-0.25	0.00	+0.01	-0.20	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	20:26
14 Luke Glendening C	-0.30	0.00	0.00	-0.24	0.00	-0.08	+0.02	—	8:06
47 Paul Cotter L	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.41	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:18
18 Ondrej Palat L	-0.50	0.00	+0.04	-0.70	+0.15	-0.02	+0.03	—	9:19
43 Luke Hughes D	-0.98	0.00	+0.08	-1.09	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	27:28
22 Brett Pesce D	-1.04	0.00	0.00	-1.36	+0.15	0.00	+0.17	—	23:09
86 Jack Hughes C	-1.22	0.00	+0.09	-1.31	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:57

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.