| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 |
 |
2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 29 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:53 | |
Tom Wilson (18) Martin Fehérváry (9), Dylan Strome (22) · snap xG 0.22 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 4:35 | |
Anton Lundell (13) Jeff Petry (8) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 12:45 | |
Sam Reinhart (20)PP Seth Jones (16), Brad Marchand (22) · wrist xG 0.05 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 19:17 | |
Tom Wilson (19)PP Dylan Strome (23), Jakob Chychrun (15) · snap xG 0.19 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:11 | |
Dylan Strome (8) Tom Wilson (18), Aliaksei Protas (14) · wrist xG 0.05 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 6:16 | |
Brad Marchand (22) Sam Bennett (15), Seth Jones (17) · bat xG 0.07 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 13:12 | |
Aaron Ekblad (2) Sam Reinhart (21), Anton Lundell (17) · slap xG 0.14 | 3–4 ▶ |
| 19:25 | |
Sam Reinhart (21)EN Eetu Luostarinen (13), Aaron Ekblad (13) · backhand xG 0.41 | 3–5 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WSH | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | Expected goals | 3.97 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.35 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.95 |
| 49 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 29 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:40 | WSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced FLA 1.29–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:10 of the 1st to 6:10 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:39 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 4–3
With 1:21 left; FLA scored at 19:25 of the 3rd (3–5) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 20:56 |
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 8 | 1.04 | 2 | 0 | 20:48 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.17 | 5 | 0 | 20:24 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 17:19 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 16:28 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 14:39 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 14:38 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 14:17 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.31 | 1 | 1 | 14:13 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:53 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 06:34 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 06:09 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 | 0.45 | 0 | 2 | 26:59 |
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 22:43 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 17:38 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 6 | 17:05 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 15:56 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 14:35 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 28 | 4 | 24 | .857 | 3.57 | -0.43 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 0.88 | 0 | 0 | 23:25 |
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.26 | 2 | 0 | 21:28 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.44 | 2 | 0 | 20:51 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.45 | 2 | 0 | 20:14 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 16:21 |
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.71 | 1 | 0 | 15:50 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 07:39 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 05:58 |
| 23 | Jack Studnicka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 04:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Seth Jones | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0.09 | 0 | 2 | 22:19 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.19 | 1 | 2 | 22:01 |
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:15 |
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 19:03 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 |
| 26 | Uvis Balinskis | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 4 | 2 | 13:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 27 | 3 | 24 | .889 | 3.70 | +0.70 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +3.53 | +2.20 | +0.68 | +0.53 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:48 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +2.86 | +2.00 | +0.32 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.02 | — | 20:56 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +0.77 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.30 | — | 17:05 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +0.70 | +0.55 | +0.29 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 26:59 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 6:09 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +0.07 | +0.55 | +0.30 | -0.76 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 17:19 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:34 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.10 | -0.15 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 14:38 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:35 |
| 74 John Carlson D | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:43 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:56 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.11 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:13 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:53 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.35 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:17 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.76 | +0.30 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 14:39 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | -0.43 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.43 | 58:45 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:24 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.91 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:38 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.92 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:28 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +3.65 | +2.20 | +0.57 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:25 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | +2.08 | +1.30 | +0.12 | +0.43 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:01 |
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +2.05 | +1.30 | +0.29 | +0.57 | 0.00 | -0.07 | -0.04 | — | 20:14 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | +1.67 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:16 |
| 63 Brad Marchand L | +1.48 | +1.30 | +0.17 | -0.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:28 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | +1.20 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.66 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:21 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | +1.02 | +1.25 | +0.06 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:19 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.61 | +0.30 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 15:50 |
| 9 Sam Bennett C | +0.94 | +0.70 | +0.29 | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.02 | — | 20:51 |
| 26 Uvis Balinskis D | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:54 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.46 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:50 |
| 72 Sergei Bobrovsky G | +0.70 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.70 | 59:57 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:39 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.34 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:38 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.47 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:03 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:58 |
| 53 Jack Studnicka C | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 4:53 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.68 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:55 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.92 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:15 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.