| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:27 | Anthony Beauvillier (8) Ryan Leonard (14), Matt Roy (10) · snap xG 0.17 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 19:20 | Vincent Trocheck (9) Artemi Panarin (26), Adam Fox (24) · snap xG 0.21 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:33 | Tom Wilson (20) Connor McMichael (15), Rasmus Sandin (10) · snap xG 0.21 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 11:12 | Justin Sourdif (4)PP Alex Ovechkin (19) · backhand xG 0.36 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 15:17 | Adam Fox (4)PP Mika Zibanejad (18), Artemi Panarin (27) · slap xG 0.05 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:34 | Aliaksei Protas (15) Rasmus Sandin (11), Nic Dowd (7) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 16:37 | Tom Wilson (21) Connor McMichael (16) · snap xG 0.16 | 2–5 ▶ | |
| 18:16 | Braden Schneider (2) Gabe Perreault (4) · snap xG 0.07 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 19:11 | Justin Sourdif (5)EN Tom Wilson (19), Aliaksei Protas (15) · snap xG 0.92 | 3–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.62 | Expected goals | 4.27 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 2.21 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.33 |
| 64 | Shot attempts | 69 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 42 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:50 | NYR | No shift | No shift · Laba, 26:29 on the bench
No shift after 7:33 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (5:45) before that |
| 7:20 | NYR | No shift | No shift · Sheary, 22:01 on the bench
No shift after 14:00 of the 2nd; 11 shifts (6:39) before that |
| 7:20 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Lapierre, 19:20 on the bench
No shift from 14:00 of the 2nd to 16:37 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (6:06) before that |
| 13:10 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Duhaime, 11:53 on the bench
No shift from 3:05 to 14:58 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (7:09) before that |
| 14:20 | NYR | No shift | No shift · Rempe, 13:39 on the bench
No shift from 4:20 to 17:59 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (8:10) before that |
| 15:20 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Leonard, 11:18 on the bench
No shift from 5:19 to 16:37 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (13:23) before that |
| 15:50 | WSH | No shift | No shift · McIlrath, 10:51 on the bench
No shift from 5:46 to 16:37 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (9:45) before that |
| 18:21 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Quick, down 5–3
With 1:39 left; WSH scored at 19:11 of the 3rd (3–6) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.48 | 2 | 0 | 21:51 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 0.21 | 1 | 3 | 21:01 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 12 | 0.50 | 2 | 1 | 20:14 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 19:41 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.12 | 3 | 6 | 18:08 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 | 15:16 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 11:47 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 11:18 |
| 73 | Matt Rempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:16 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 06:39 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 05:45 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.16 | 0 | 3 | 24:07 |
| 23 | Adam Fox | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 21:13 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 3 | 20:57 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 4 | 20:33 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 16:29 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | 26 | 5 | 21 | .808 | 3.35 | -1.65 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 20:06 |
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | 0.57 | 4 | 0 | 19:26 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 1.44 | 3 | 1 | 18:46 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.31 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:54 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 15:07 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 15:05 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 2 | 2 | 13:36 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 09:55 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 07:42 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 3 | 22:55 |
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 8 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 21:49 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 4 | 19:53 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 19:38 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 18:32 |
| 52 | Dylan McIlrath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 3 | 2 | 11:18 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 2.62 | -0.38 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | +1.42 | +0.70 | +0.21 | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.03 | — | 15:16 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +1.30 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +0.42 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 21:51 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +1.23 | +1.25 | +0.06 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:41 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:14 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | +0.98 | +1.30 | +0.03 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 21:13 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:29 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +0.74 | +0.70 | +0.14 | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.11 | — | 21:01 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.30 | — | 18:08 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:29 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.24 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 20:57 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.25 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 6:39 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 24:07 |
| 73 Matt Rempe C | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:16 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.27 | -0.15 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 11:18 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.37 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 5:45 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 20:33 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.72 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 16:07 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | -0.87 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.85 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 11:47 |
| 32 Jonathan Quick G | -1.65 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.65 | 59:10 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +3.72 | +2.20 | +0.37 | +1.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:26 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +3.52 | +1.50 | +0.94 | +1.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:46 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +1.93 | +1.25 | +0.01 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:32 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +1.89 | +1.40 | +0.23 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:06 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +1.45 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:38 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +1.30 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:10 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +1.29 | +0.70 | +0.23 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:06 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +1.11 | +1.30 | +0.06 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:07 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 21:49 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +0.81 | +0.70 | +0.20 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:10 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:42 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | +0.32 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:05 |
| 52 Dylan McIlrath D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:18 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:36 |
| 74 John Carlson D | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.56 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 22:55 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.24 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:55 |
| 79 Charlie Lindgren G | -0.38 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.38 | 59:35 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 17:54 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | -0.72 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 | — | 19:53 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.