| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 42 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:14 | Josh Anderson (10)SH Unassisted · snap xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:40 | Brendan Gallagher (4) Phillip Danault (9), Zachary Bolduc (8) · wrist xG 0.12 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:06 | Ethen Frank (9) Matt Roy (13), Rasmus Sandin (12) · deflected xG 0.07 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 18:06 | Ethen Frank (10) Rasmus Sandin (13), Anthony Beauvillier (7) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 4:21 | Connor McMichael (7) Dylan Strome (25), Rasmus Sandin (14) · wrist xG 0.44 | 2–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | Expected goals | 4.24 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.23 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.87 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 76 |
| 35 | Unblocked attempts | 54 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 42 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:50 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Milano, 13:35 on the bench
No shift from 13:11 of the 2nd to 11:26 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (8:12) before that |
| 9:40 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Duhaime, 12:06 on the bench
No shift from 16:16 of the 2nd to 14:23 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (6:44) before that |
| 9:40 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Lapierre, 16:04 on the bench
No shift after 16:16 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (6:27) before that |
| 10:30 | WSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.07–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:30 to 10:30 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 17:56 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 2–1
With 2:04 left; WSH scored at 18:06 of the 3rd (2–2) |
| Overtime | |||
| 1:49 | WSH | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · WSH takes the lead, 60–40%
MTL had led since 1:24 of the 1st, by as much as 74% |
| 4:20 | WSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.39–0.29
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:20 of the 3rd to 4:20 of overtime; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.41 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 |
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 21:15 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 20:34 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 18:23 |
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 2 | 1 | 17:18 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 16:28 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 12:58 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 1 | 12:32 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 4 | 1 | 11:08 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 08:33 |
| 0 | Sammy Blais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 06:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 3 | 28:37 |
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 27:54 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 24:58 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 5 | 22:35 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 09:43 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 07:03 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault | 42 | 3 | 39 | .929 | 4.24 | +1.24 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 9 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 24:45 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 23:26 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.69 | 2 | 1 | 22:32 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 20:20 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 19:31 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 0.65 | 5 | 1 | 18:08 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 14:36 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | 3 | 1 | 13:31 |
| 17 | Brett Leason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 10:09 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 09:21 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 07:34 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 06:27 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.72 | 0 | 3 | 27:46 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 0.35 | 0 | 2 | 24:36 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.03 | 2 | 2 | 23:53 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 18:46 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 16:20 |
| 52 | Dylan McIlrath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 05:58 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 25 | 2 | 23 | .920 | 2.40 | +0.40 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Samuel Montembeault G | +1.24 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.24 | 63:59 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +1.04 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:43 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +0.90 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 16:28 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.74 | +0.55 | +0.11 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:08 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | +0.55 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:32 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:03 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 24:58 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 23:10 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:03 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:34 |
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.41 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:18 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.37 | +0.15 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 21:15 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | — | 22:35 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 27:54 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.37 | -0.37 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 18:23 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:44 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 28:37 |
| 27 Sammy Blais L | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 6:18 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.62 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:58 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Ethen Frank C | +2.42 | +1.50 | +0.42 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:06 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +2.17 | +1.80 | +0.23 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 24:36 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +1.43 | +0.70 | +0.37 | +0.58 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 23:26 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +1.38 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:45 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +1.27 | +0.75 | +0.45 | -0.06 | +0.15 | -0.05 | +0.03 | — | 22:32 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +0.92 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 23:53 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +0.70 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:31 |
| 74 John Carlson D | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.47 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 27:46 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.49 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 16:20 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 13:31 |
| 20 Brett Leason R | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.38 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:09 |
| 52 Dylan McIlrath D | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 5:58 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | +0.40 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.40 | 63:52 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:46 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:20 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:34 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:21 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 6:27 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:36 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.