| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 10:58 | Dylan Strome (11)PP Alex Ovechkin (21), Jakob Chychrun (18) · backhand xG 0.07 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 13:27 | Zack Ostapchuk (3) Dmitry Orlov (22), William Eklund (19) · snap xG 0.21 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 14:53 | Collin Graf (13) Pavol Regenda (1) · tip-in xG 0.14 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 16:13 | Pavol Regenda (7) Macklin Celebrini (47), Collin Graf (13) · snap xG 0.19 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:11 | Ryan Leonard (10) John Carlson (27), Martin Fehérváry (14) · snap xG 0.11 | 3–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | Expected goals | 2.14 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.46 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.48 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 50 |
| 38 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:11 | SJS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 62–38%
WSH had led since 0:24 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:20 | WSH | No shift | No shift · McIlrath, 17:47 on the bench
No shift after 14:59 of the 2nd; 9 shifts (6:05) before that |
| 17:00 | WSH | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Leason and Milano: no shift after 4:58 of the 3rd |
| 17:01 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 3–2
With 2:59 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 | 0.51 | 0 | 1 | 25:07 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 20:06 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 20:06 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 17:38 |
| 92 | Igor Chernyshov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 3 | 0 | 15:39 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 2 | 2 | 15:28 |
| 84 | Pavol Regenda | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 11:33 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | 4 | 0 | 10:54 |
| 77 | Michael Misa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 09:58 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | 0.14 | 0 | 2 | 20:46 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 20:25 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.14 | 1 | 2 | 19:32 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 19:04 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | 23 | 2 | 21 | .913 | 2.14 | +0.14 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 21:34 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 21:21 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.20 | 2 | 1 | 18:35 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 15:38 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.66 | 1 | 1 | 15:24 |
| 17 | Brett Leason | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 09:40 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:25 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 07:28 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 06:30 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 2 | 28:19 |
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 25:45 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.08 | 2 | 5 | 20:51 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 17:29 |
| 52 | Dylan McIlrath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 06:05 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 26 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 2.85 | -0.15 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 Pavol Regenda L | +2.00 | +1.45 | +0.12 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +1.88 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:25 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +1.85 | +1.30 | +0.15 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:06 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +1.71 | +0.70 | +0.33 | +0.30 | +0.30 | +0.07 | +0.01 | — | 25:07 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | +1.33 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:46 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +1.29 | +0.55 | +0.16 | +0.45 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:38 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | +1.11 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 10:54 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:32 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:04 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 15:28 |
| 92 Igor Chernyshov L | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:39 |
| 77 Michael Misa C | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.50 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 9:58 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 20:06 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:21 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.39 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 33 Alex Nedeljkovic G | +0.14 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.14 | 60:00 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:33 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:43 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.55 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 17:56 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.43 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:24 |
| 74 John Carlson D | +0.67 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.14 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 25:45 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +0.30 | +0.70 | +0.21 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:21 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:49 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.05 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:34 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 6:30 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | -0.03 | +0.75 | +0.13 | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:35 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:26 |
| 52 Dylan McIlrath D | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:05 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | -0.14 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:29 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:28 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | -0.15 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | 57:01 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | -0.21 | +0.75 | +0.19 | -1.05 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.04 | — | 22:19 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | -0.22 | +0.55 | +0.06 | -0.76 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 28:19 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:35 |
| 20 Brett Leason R | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:40 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 20:51 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 16:12 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -1.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:37 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.