| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 31 |
 |
0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:23 | |
A.J. Greer (10) Sam Bennett (20), Aaron Ekblad (16) · snap xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:04 | |
Jakob Chychrun (16) Aliaksei Protas (16), John Carlson (28) · snap xG 0.09 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 10:04 | |
Jakob Chychrun (17) John Carlson (29), Nic Dowd (10) · snap xG 0.02 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 11:40 | |
Sam Bennett (17) Carter Verhaeghe (22), Niko Mikkola (7) · snap xG 0.34 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 15:16 | |
Uvis Balinskis (3)PP Anton Lundell (20), Sam Reinhart (22) · slap xG 0.06 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:40 | |
Anton Lundell (15)EN Sam Reinhart (23) · snap xG 0.65 | 4–2 ▶ |
| 19:26 | |
Carter Verhaeghe (14)EN Sam Bennett (21), A.J. Greer (9) · snap xG 0.86 | 5–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| FLA | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.10 | Expected goals | 2.62 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.79 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.08 |
| 69 | Shot attempts | 55 |
| 50 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 24 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:40 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Leason, 18:30 on the bench
No shift from 13:32 of the 2nd to 17:26 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (4:57) before that |
| 18:28 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 3–2
With 1:32 left; FLA scored at 18:40 of the 3rd (4–2) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0.72 | 0 | 0 | 22:05 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.87 | 2 | 0 | 21:19 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 | 0.75 | 2 | 0 | 20:22 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 1.22 | 0 | 0 | 19:41 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.29 | 2 | 0 | 15:40 |
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 12:07 |
| 95 | Sandis Vilmanis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 10:49 |
| 79 | Cole Schwindt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 07:51 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 07:50 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 07:27 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 26:59 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 26:08 |
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 19:21 |
| 26 | Uvis Balinskis | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 3 | 19:01 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 13:55 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov | 24 | 2 | 22 | .917 | 2.62 | +0.62 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.48 | 2 | 1 | 22:47 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 20:28 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 19:36 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.37 | 0 | 2 | 19:05 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.49 | 2 | 1 | 18:03 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.10 | 3 | 0 | 16:08 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 15:14 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 2 | 0 | 14:49 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 07:21 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 06:36 |
| 17 | Brett Leason | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 05:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 8 | 0.27 | 2 | 2 | 25:02 |
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 21:56 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 20:22 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4 | 18:46 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 17:52 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 29 | 3 | 26 | .897 | 3.59 | +0.59 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sam Bennett C | +3.95 | +2.15 | +0.49 | +1.39 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 20:22 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +3.72 | +1.45 | +0.79 | +1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:41 |
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +1.97 | +1.45 | +0.57 | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.02 | — | 21:19 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | +1.94 | +1.30 | +0.19 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:40 |
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +1.57 | +1.25 | +0.47 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 22:05 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | +1.20 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:21 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | +1.01 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 26:08 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.69 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:07 |
| 26 Uvis Balinskis D | +0.75 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 19:01 |
| 22 Tobias Bjornfot D | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:00 |
| 40 Daniil Tarasov G | +0.62 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.62 | 60:00 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 26:59 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 14:44 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 18:41 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:55 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 7:50 |
| 95 Sandis Vilmanis L | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 10:49 |
| 79 Cole Schwindt R | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 7:51 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 7:27 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 John Carlson D | +2.23 | +1.25 | +0.05 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:56 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +1.90 | +1.50 | +0.18 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 25:02 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +1.20 | +0.70 | +0.32 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:47 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | +0.59 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.59 | 59:37 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | +0.57 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.08 | — | 15:14 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:21 |
| 63 Ivan Miroshnichenko L | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:49 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 6:36 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:36 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 20:28 |
| 20 Brett Leason R | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 5:47 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.45 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 18:46 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.38 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:49 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.10 | — | 19:05 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.32 | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:03 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:22 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:52 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.60 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:08 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | -1.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:57 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.