Washington CapitalsWSH 3–4 Final Vancouver CanucksVAN

Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH	2	0	1	3	32
Vancouver CanucksVAN	2	2	0	4	25

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
8:25	WSH	Dylan Strome (12)PP Tom Wilson (21), John Carlson (30) · wrist xG 0.24	1–0 ▶
9:43	WSH	Justin Sourdif (10)PP Dylan Strome (27), Alex Ovechkin (23) · wrist xG 0.35	2–0 ▶
13:32	VAN	Brock Boeser (11) David Kampf (3) · wrist xG 0.17	2–1 ▶
18:22	VAN	Evander Kane (9) Jake DeBrusk (11) · wrist xG 0.03	2–2 ▶
2nd Period
8:58	VAN	Drew O'Connor (12) David Kampf (4), Brock Boeser (13) · snap xG 0.05	2–3 ▶
11:43	VAN	Filip Hronek (4) Jake DeBrusk (12), Tom Willander (11) · tip-in xG 0.13	2–4 ▶
3rd Period
16:37	WSH	Dylan Strome (13) Justin Sourdif (11), John Carlson (31) · wrist xG 0.54	3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 75%Deserve to win25% VAN

WSH		VAN
3.90	Expected goals	2.80
3	Goals (no shootout)	4
1.79	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.52
66	Shot attempts	54
52	Unblocked attempts	39
32	Shots on goal	25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00	WSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.32–0.19 In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 2–0
2nd Period
11:43	WSH	Goalie	Goalie · Thompson −2.4 goals saved 4 goals on 1.59 xG, 18 shots on goal
3rd Period
15:59	WSH	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 4–2 With 4:01 left; WSH scored at 16:37 of the 3rd (3–4)
18:09	WSH	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 4–3 With 1:51 left
19:00	WSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.03–0.01 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:30 to 19:30 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VAN shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
8	Alex Ovechkin	0	1	1	0	8	0.27	0	0	23:13
17	Dylan Strome	2	1	3	+1	5	1.04	0	0	21:17
43	Tom Wilson	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	1	0	20:20
34	Justin Sourdif	1	1	2	-1	7	0.91	1	0	18:02
21	Aliaksei Protas	0	0	0	-2	4	0.19	0	0	17:19
26	Nic Dowd	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	2	14:08
9	Ryan Leonard	0	0	0	0	4	0.34	2	0	12:40
77	Connor McMichael	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	12:03
53	Ethen Frank	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	2	11:28
72	Anthony Beauvillier	0	0	0	-2	5	0.28	1	0	10:49
24	Brandon Duhaime	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	08:36
22	Hendrix Lapierre	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	1	06:43
Defense
74	John Carlson	0	2	2	0	7	0.06	0	0	26:45
6	Jakob Chychrun	0	0	0	0	8	0.24	2	1	25:53
3	Matt Roy	0	0	0	-2	3	0.03	1	2	19:58
38	Rasmus Sandin	0	0	0	-2	6	0.08	1	2	19:51
42	Martin Fehérváry	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	3	2	12:56
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	2	11:02

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Logan Thompson	25	4	21	.840	2.33	-1.67

Vancouver Canucks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
40	Elias Pettersson	0	0	0	+2	3	0.13	0	4	19:20
73	Teddy Blueger	0	0	0	-1	5	0.16	4	0	18:24
74	Jake DeBrusk	0	2	2	+2	2	0.15	3	0	18:20
83	Conor Garland	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	0	0	17:49
6	Brock Boeser	1	1	2	+1	5	0.43	0	1	16:20
64	David Kampf	0	2	2	+1	2	0.05	0	0	15:04
91	Evander Kane	1	0	1	+1	4	0.07	0	1	14:54
92	Liam Ohgren	0	0	0	0	6	0.12	0	0	13:18
18	Drew O'Connor	1	0	1	+2	7	0.50	2	0	12:51
94	Linus Karlsson	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	1	11:49
21	Nils Hoglander	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	2	0	09:56
63	Max Sasson	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	06:56
Defense
26	Marcus Pettersson	0	0	0	+1	4	0.51	2	1	23:54
17	Filip Hronek	1	0	1	0	3	0.15	0	2	23:10
57	Tyler Myers	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	22:21
5	Tom Willander	0	1	1	+3	2	0.09	1	1	17:23
8	Zeev Buium	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	2	14:44
25	Elias Pettersson	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	1	14:32

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Kevin Lankinen	32	3	29	.906	3.90	+0.90

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
17 Dylan Strome C	+3.31	+2.20	+0.67	+0.37	0.00	+0.08	-0.02	—	21:17
34 Justin Sourdif R	+1.87	+1.45	+0.59	-0.22	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	—	18:02
74 John Carlson D	+1.18	+1.10	+0.04	+0.21	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	26:45
43 Tom Wilson R	+1.01	+0.70	+0.11	+0.06	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	20:20
8 Alex Ovechkin L	+0.85	+0.55	+0.18	+0.17	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	23:13
9 Ryan Leonard R	+0.68	0.00	+0.22	+0.48	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:40
29 Hendrix Lapierre C	+0.48	0.00	+0.07	+0.23	+0.15	-0.03	+0.05	—	6:43
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D	+0.44	0.00	+0.03	+0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	11:02
22 Brandon Duhaime R	+0.11	0.00	+0.04	+0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:36
42 Martin Fehérváry D	+0.11	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	12:56
6 Jakob Chychrun D	+0.07	0.00	+0.15	-0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	25:53
72 Anthony Beauvillier L	0.00	0.00	+0.18	-0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:49
38 Rasmus Sandin D	-0.07	0.00	+0.05	-0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	19:51
24 Connor McMichael C	-0.18	0.00	+0.04	-0.10	-0.15	+0.03	0.00	—	12:03
21 Aliaksei Protas C	-0.31	0.00	+0.12	-0.40	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	17:19
53 Ethen Frank C	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	11:28
3 Matt Roy D	-0.38	0.00	+0.02	-0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	19:58
26 Nic Dowd C	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.54	0.00	+0.03	+0.08	—	14:08
48 Logan Thompson G	-1.67	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.67	56:57

Vancouver Canucks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
6 Brock Boeser R	+2.35	+1.30	+0.28	+0.57	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	16:20
64 David Kampf C	+2.03	+1.40	+0.04	+0.46	+0.15	-0.04	+0.02	—	15:04
5 Tom Willander D	+1.33	+0.55	+0.06	+0.71	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	17:23
18 Drew O'Connor L	+1.32	+0.75	+0.33	+0.28	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	12:51
17 Filip Hronek D	+1.00	+0.75	+0.10	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	23:10
74 Jake DeBrusk L	+0.98	+1.40	+0.10	-0.67	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	18:20
32 Kevin Lankinen G	+0.90	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.90	60:00
8 Conor Garland R	+0.44	0.00	+0.09	+0.32	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	17:49
53 Teddy Blueger C	+0.32	0.00	+0.11	+0.27	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	—	18:24
29 Marcus Pettersson D	+0.30	0.00	+0.33	+0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	23:54
92 Liam Ohgren L	+0.26	0.00	+0.08	+0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:18
21 Nils Hoglander L	+0.26	0.00	+0.11	+0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:56
63 Max Sasson C	+0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.31	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	6:56
94 Linus Karlsson C	+0.11	0.00	+0.06	+0.17	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	11:49
25 Elias Pettersson D	+0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	14:32
91 Evander Kane L	-0.07	+0.75	+0.05	-0.87	0.00	-0.01	+0.01	—	14:54
24 Zeev Buium D	-0.25	0.00	+0.01	-0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	14:44
57 Tyler Myers D	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	22:21
40 Elias Pettersson C	-0.50	0.00	+0.08	-0.73	0.00	-0.08	+0.22	—	19:20

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.