Washington CapitalsWSH 3–1 Final Calgary FlamesCGY

Friday, January 23, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH	0	1	2	3	38
Calgary FlamesCGY	1	0	0	1	26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:09	CGY	Morgan Frost (10)PP Connor Zary (12) · wrist xG 0.14	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:33	WSH	Hendrix Lapierre (1) John Carlson (32), Martin Fehérváry (15) · wrist xG 0.08	1–1 ▶
3rd Period
7:35	WSH	Aliaksei Protas (17) Tom Wilson (22), Justin Sourdif (12) · wrist xG 0.11	2–1 ▶
19:07	WSH	Alex Ovechkin (21)EN Dylan Strome (28), Martin Fehérváry (16) · wrist xG 0.51	3–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 92%Deserve to win8% CGY

WSH		CGY
5.68	Expected goals	1.82
3	Goals (no shootout)	1
2.76	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.40
78	Shot attempts	67
59	Unblocked attempts	42
38	Shots on goal	26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:16	WSH	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · WSH takes the lead, 60–40% CGY had led since 6:53 of the 1st, by as much as 66%
11:20	WSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CGY 1.15–0.06 In xG over 10 minutes, 1:20 to 11:20 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
13:07	CGY	Goalie	Goalie · Cooley +2.2 goals saved 1 goal on 3.22 xG, 21 shots on goal
3rd Period
0:40	CGY	No shift	No shift · Gridin, 11:02 on the bench No shift from 6:33 of the 2nd to 1:40 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (7:36) before that
8:20	WSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CGY 1.63–0.18 In xG over 10 minutes, 0:40 to 10:40 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
18:14	CGY	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Cooley, down 2–1 With 1:46 left; WSH scored at 19:07 of the 3rd (3–1)

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CGY shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Aliaksei Protas	1	0	1	+1	5	0.34	1	2	19:12
9	Ryan Leonard	0	0	0	0	9	0.37	2	0	18:12
17	Dylan Strome	0	1	1	+1	5	0.47	0	1	18:07
8	Alex Ovechkin	1	0	1	+1	10	1.34	1	0	17:49
34	Justin Sourdif	0	1	1	+1	3	0.23	0	2	16:55
26	Nic Dowd	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	16:31
43	Tom Wilson	0	1	1	+1	7	0.96	5	0	16:30
53	Ethen Frank	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	13:50
72	Anthony Beauvillier	0	0	0	+1	5	0.28	1	0	13:48
77	Connor McMichael	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	12:30
22	Hendrix Lapierre	1	0	1	+1	3	0.24	0	0	09:32
24	Brandon Duhaime	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	2	09:14
Defense
74	John Carlson	0	1	1	+1	5	0.20	0	1	20:28
3	Matt Roy	0	0	0	+1	5	0.18	3	1	19:42
38	Rasmus Sandin	0	0	0	+1	4	0.02	0	4	19:38
6	Jakob Chychrun	0	0	0	+1	8	0.82	1	2	19:09
42	Martin Fehérváry	0	2	2	+2	5	0.03	1	1	18:59
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	4	16:24

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Logan Thompson	26	1	25	.962	1.82	+0.82

Calgary Flames

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
11	Mikael Backlund	0	0	0	0	5	0.04	0	0	20:14
17	Yegor Sharangovich	0	0	0	0	9	0.17	0	3	20:13
86	Joel Farabee	0	0	0	0	5	0.08	0	0	18:59
91	Nazem Kadri	0	0	0	-2	3	0.12	1	0	18:26
10	Jonathan Huberdeau	0	0	0	-2	4	0.15	0	0	16:41
27	Matt Coronato	0	0	0	-2	6	0.19	1	1	15:05
47	Connor Zary	0	1	1	-1	2	0.02	1	1	14:24
76	Martin Pospisil	0	0	0	0	6	0.24	3	0	13:07
16	Morgan Frost	1	0	1	-2	2	0.14	2	0	10:13
43	Adam Klapka	0	0	0	0	6	0.35	3	1	09:26
92	Matvei Gridin	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	09:09
94	Ryan Lomberg	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	1	0	08:59
Defense
7	Kevin Bahl	0	0	0	0	4	0.11	1	0	25:46
28	Zach Whitecloud	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	3	25:16
52	MacKenzie Weegar	0	0	0	-2	6	0.12	0	5	22:46
37	Yan Kuznetsov	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	3	20:06
44	Joel Hanley	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	13:08
94	Brayden Pachal	0	0	0	-1	4	0.00	3	0	11:42

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Devin Cooley	37	2	35	.946	5.17	+3.17

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
43 Tom Wilson R	+2.44	+0.70	+0.62	+0.97	+0.15	+0.02	-0.02	—	16:30
29 Hendrix Lapierre C	+1.87	+0.75	+0.16	+1.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	—	9:32
21 Aliaksei Protas C	+1.77	+0.75	+0.22	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:12
8 Alex Ovechkin L	+1.73	+0.75	+0.87	+0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	17:49
6 Jakob Chychrun D	+1.65	0.00	+0.53	+0.85	+0.15	0.00	+0.12	—	19:09
17 Dylan Strome C	+1.59	+0.70	+0.31	+0.41	0.00	+0.12	+0.05	—	18:07
42 Martin Fehérváry D	+1.50	+1.10	+0.02	+0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	18:59
3 Matt Roy D	+1.48	0.00	+0.12	+1.36	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:42
72 Anthony Beauvillier L	+1.29	0.00	+0.18	+1.10	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	13:48
74 John Carlson D	+1.01	+0.70	+0.13	+0.30	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	20:28
34 Justin Sourdif R	+0.90	+0.55	+0.15	+0.20	0.00	-0.10	+0.10	—	16:55
48 Logan Thompson G	+0.82	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.82	59:52
22 Brandon Duhaime R	+0.81	0.00	0.00	+0.72	0.00	-0.01	+0.10	—	9:14
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D	+0.80	0.00	+0.04	+0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.18	—	16:24
38 Rasmus Sandin D	+0.43	0.00	+0.02	+0.10	+0.15	0.00	+0.16	—	19:38
9 Ryan Leonard R	+0.27	0.00	+0.24	+0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:12
24 Connor McMichael C	+0.23	0.00	+0.08	+0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	12:30
26 Nic Dowd C	+0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.03	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	16:31
53 Ethen Frank C	-0.25	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	-0.01	+0.08	—	13:50

Calgary Flames

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
1 Devin Cooley G	+3.17	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+3.17	58:20
47 Connor Zary C	+0.82	+0.70	+0.01	+0.09	0.00	-0.03	+0.05	—	14:24
76 Martin Pospisil C	+0.43	0.00	+0.15	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	13:07
43 Adam Klapka R	+0.29	0.00	+0.22	+0.16	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	9:26
16 Morgan Frost C	+0.11	+0.75	+0.09	-0.74	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:13
91 Nazem Kadri C	-0.09	0.00	+0.08	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	-0.04	—	18:26
52 MacKenzie Weegar D	-0.14	0.00	+0.08	-0.45	0.00	0.00	+0.23	—	22:46
7 Kevin Bahl D	-0.26	0.00	+0.07	-0.33	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	25:46
92 Matvei Gridin R	-0.26	0.00	0.00	-0.39	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	9:09
17 Yegor Sharangovich C	-0.27	0.00	+0.11	-0.50	0.00	-0.02	+0.13	—	20:13
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L	-0.33	0.00	+0.10	-0.43	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:41
94 Brayden Pachal D	-0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	11:42
86 Joel Farabee L	-0.53	0.00	+0.05	-0.43	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	18:59
37 Yan Kuznetsov D	-0.60	0.00	0.00	-0.58	-0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	20:06
28 Zach Whitecloud D	-0.76	0.00	0.00	-0.91	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	25:16
70 Ryan Lomberg L	-0.86	0.00	+0.06	-0.92	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:59
44 Joel Hanley D	-0.94	0.00	0.00	-0.88	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	13:08
27 Matt Coronato R	-0.96	0.00	+0.13	-1.12	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	15:05
11 Mikael Backlund C	-1.14	0.00	+0.03	-1.13	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	20:14

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.