Washington CapitalsWSH 5–6 Final/OT Edmonton OilersEDM

Saturday, January 24, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 1220 5 27
Edmonton OilersEDM 1131 6 40

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
19:12 EDM Evan Bouchard (12) Mattias Ekholm (20), Zach Hyman (13) · snap xG 0.03 0–1 ▶
19:34 WSH Aliaksei Protas (18) Rasmus Sandin (15), Tom Wilson (23) · tip-in xG 0.13 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
4:13 EDM Evan Bouchard (13) Leon Draisaitl (43), Connor McDavid (56) · snap xG 0.03 1–2 ▶
6:50 WSH Justin Sourdif (11) Hendrix Lapierre (7), Connor McMichael (22) · wrist xG 0.05 2–2 ▶
14:29 WSH Anthony Beauvillier (10) John Carlson (33), Ethen Frank (10) · snap xG 0.01 3–2 ▶
3rd Period
4:30 EDM Evan Bouchard (14) Connor McDavid (57), Leon Draisaitl (44) · wrist xG 0.12 3–3 ▶
6:40 WSH Dylan Strome (14)PP Jakob Chychrun (19), Tom Wilson (24) · wrist xG 0.03 4–3 ▶
8:24 EDM Connor McDavid (31)PP Evan Bouchard (39), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (29) · wrist xG 0.09 4–4 ▶
15:09 WSH Connor McMichael (8) John Carlson (34), Justin Sourdif (13) · bat xG 0.28 5–4 ▶
19:28 EDM Zach Hyman (20) Connor McDavid (58), Evan Bouchard (40) · tip-in xG 0.32 5–5 ▶
Overtime
0:47 EDM Connor McDavid (32) Evan Bouchard (41), Leon Draisaitl (45) · backhand xG 0.42 5–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 13%Deserve to win87% EDM
WSHEDM
3.42Expected goals6.70
5Goals (no shootout)6
3.16Expected goals, 5 on 52.72
65Shot attempts76
46Unblocked attempts58
27Shots on goal40

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
14:29 EDM Goalie change Goalie change · Jarry in for Ingram
14:29 of the 2nd; Ingram had allowed 3 goals on 12 shots (1.09 xG)
14:50 WSH No shift No shift · Sandin, 22:23 on the bench
No shift after the end of the 1st; 7 shifts (5:08) before that
3rd Period
2:53 WSH Goalie Goalie · Lindgren +2.0 goals saved
2 goals on 4.03 xG, 26 shots on goal
15:20 WSH xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced EDM 1.76–0.41
In xG over 10 minutes, 6:00 to 16:00 of the 3rd; goals 2–1
17:39 EDM Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Jarry, down 5–4
With 2:21 left; EDM scored at 19:28 of the 3rd (5–5)

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots
Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:07) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:35) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:41) Matt Savoie: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.39 (P1 2:40) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:49) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:58) Vasily Podkolzin: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 5:22) Matt Savoie: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:24) Isaac Howard: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 6:52) Vasily Podkolzin: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 12:28) Jack Roslovic: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:52) Hendrix Lapierre: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:33) Evan Bouchard: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:25) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:40) Zach Hyman: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 14:42) Darnell Nurse: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:29) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:38) Evan Bouchard: snap, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:29) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:32) Trent Frederic: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:43) Justin Sourdif: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:54) Connor McMichael: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:56) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:48) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 4:58) Zach Hyman: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:59) Connor McDavid: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 5:09) Zach Hyman: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 5:15) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.33 (P2 5:55) Connor McDavid: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:21) Matt Savoie: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:39) Andrew Mangiapane: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:42) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:12) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:35) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:38) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:00) John Carlson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:21) Connor McDavid: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:37) Ethen Frank: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:11) Aliaksei Protas: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:22) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:29) Aliaksei Protas: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:45) Justin Sourdif: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:46) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:06) Trent Frederic: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 12:11) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:48) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:40) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:20) Anthony Beauvillier: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:41) Zach Hyman: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 17:21) Zach Hyman: snap, 3 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 17:22) Evan Bouchard: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:55) Ethen Frank: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:36) Evan Bouchard: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:23) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:27) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:16) Connor McDavid: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 2:24) Connor McDavid: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:53) Zach Hyman: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:54) Dylan Strome: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:03) Isaac Howard: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:28) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 3:41) Jake Walman: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:53) Jake Walman: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 5:12) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:23) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:32) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 8:12) Dylan Strome: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:45) Darnell Nurse: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:58) Curtis Lazar: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:26) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:31) Justin Sourdif: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:44) Aliaksei Protas: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:50) Dylan Strome: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 10:32) Nic Dowd: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:36) Anthony Beauvillier: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.43 (P3 10:39) Darnell Nurse: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:58) Andrew Mangiapane: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:08) Nic Dowd: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:58) Ryan Leonard: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:14) Tom Wilson: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:54) Connor McMichael: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.35 (P3 15:06) Connor McMichael: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:07) Connor McMichael: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:07) Justin Sourdif: deflected, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:55) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 16:26) Martin Fehérváry: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:00) Connor McDavid: wrap-around, 3 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 17:38) Zach Hyman: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 17:59) Connor McDavid: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 18:26) Connor McDavid: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 18:37) Evan Bouchard: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:19) Trent Frederic: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:36) Connor McDavid: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 0:25) Evan Bouchard: GOAL, snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:12) Aliaksei Protas: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:34) Evan Bouchard: GOAL, snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:13) Justin Sourdif: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:50) Anthony Beauvillier: GOAL, snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:29) Evan Bouchard: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 4:30) Dylan Strome: GOAL, wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:40) Connor McDavid: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 8:24) Connor McMichael: GOAL, bat, 7 ft, xG 0.28 (P3 15:09) Zach Hyman: GOAL, tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.32 (P3 19:28) Connor McDavid: GOAL, backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.42 (OT 0:47)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
43 Tom Wilson 022 0 10.06 0219:29
26 Nic Dowd 000 -2 20.05 0119:02
17 Dylan Strome 101 0 50.38 0018:35
77 Connor McMichael 112 +2 60.75 1017:59
21 Aliaksei Protas 101 -3 100.47 0117:34
8 Alex Ovechkin 000 +1 50.34 3115:29
34 Justin Sourdif 112 +1 60.21 2015:17
9 Ryan Leonard 000 0 40.12 0114:56
72 Anthony Beauvillier 101 0 60.51 1113:46
53 Ethen Frank 011 +1 20.18 0009:56
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 -1 10.01 0007:22
22 Hendrix Lapierre 011 +1 20.10 0006:34
Defense
74 John Carlson 022 -1 30.06 0225:53
6 Jakob Chychrun 011 -2 50.04 0325:34
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 -2 30.02 0223:40
3 Matt Roy 000 0 20.00 1021:27
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 +2 10.00 0214:07
38 Rasmus Sandin 011 +1 10.11 0105:08
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Charlie Lindgren 40634 .850 6.70 +0.70

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 235 +5 121.71 0128:43
29 Leon Draisaitl 033 +2 60.44 0226:16
18 Zach Hyman 112 +3 91.39 0124:06
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 011 +1 50.69 0022:43
22 Matt Savoie 000 -2 30.54 0012:39
96 Jack Roslovic 000 -1 20.10 0011:58
13 Mattias Janmark 000 -1 00.00 0011:25
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 -2 30.51 3111:19
26 Andrew Mangiapane 000 -1 30.09 0109:39
53 Isaac Howard 000 -1 20.24 0009:12
10 Trent Frederic 000 0 40.25 2007:48
20 Curtis Lazar 000 0 20.01 4007:02
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 336 +5 110.43 1229:25
14 Mattias Ekholm 011 +3 10.00 1219:59
96 Jake Walman 000 -4 40.18 0218:04
25 Darnell Nurse 000 -2 70.12 0317:26
49 Ty Emberson 000 -1 10.00 0215:07
24 Spencer Stastney 000 -1 10.00 0112:37
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Ingram 1239 .750 1.09 -1.91
Tristan Jarry 15213 .867 2.33 +0.33

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
34 Justin Sourdif R +3.02 +1.30 +0.14 +1.31 +0.30 -0.02 0.00 — 15:17
24 Connor McMichael C +2.29 +1.30 +0.49 +0.57 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 17:59
74 John Carlson D +1.89 +1.40 +0.04 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 25:53
8 Alex Ovechkin L +1.79 0.00 +0.22 +1.39 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:29
6 Jakob Chychrun D +1.50 +0.70 +0.02 +0.86 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 25:34
53 Ethen Frank C +1.44 +0.55 +0.12 +0.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:56
72 Anthony Beauvillier L +1.29 +0.75 +0.33 +0.17 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 13:46
43 Tom Wilson R +1.18 +1.10 +0.04 +0.09 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 19:31
17 Dylan Strome C +1.01 +0.75 +0.25 +0.08 0.00 -0.03 -0.04 — 18:35
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D +0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.90 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 14:07
21 Aliaksei Protas C +0.77 +0.75 +0.31 -0.30 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 17:34
29 Hendrix Lapierre C +0.76 +0.70 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 6:34
38 Rasmus Sandin D +0.69 +0.70 +0.07 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 5:08
79 Charlie Lindgren G +0.55 0.00 — — -0.15 — — +0.70 60:47
9 Ryan Leonard R +0.23 0.00 +0.08 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 14:56
22 Brandon Duhaime R -0.30 0.00 +0.01 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:22
3 Matt Roy D -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.21 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 21:27
26 Nic Dowd C -0.44 0.00 +0.03 -0.60 0.00 +0.08 +0.05 — 19:02
42 Martin Fehérváry D -0.65 0.00 +0.01 -0.93 +0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 23:38

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
2 Evan Bouchard D +5.52 +4.20 +0.28 +0.96 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 29:25
97 Connor McDavid C +5.41 +3.45 +1.11 +0.68 +0.15 +0.02 -0.01 — 28:43
18 Zach Hyman L +2.93 +1.30 +0.91 +0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 24:06
29 Leon Draisaitl C +1.53 +1.80 +0.28 -0.44 -0.15 -0.02 +0.06 — 26:16
14 Mattias Ekholm D +1.46 +0.70 0.00 +0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 19:59
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +1.42 +0.55 +0.45 +0.44 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 22:43
35 Tristan Jarry G +0.33 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.33 24:29
28 Jack Roslovic C +0.23 0.00 +0.07 +0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:58
53 Isaac Howard L +0.14 0.00 +0.16 -0.14 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 9:12
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.07 0.00 +0.33 -0.30 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 11:19
10 Trent Frederic C -0.06 0.00 +0.16 -0.21 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 7:48
20 Curtis Lazar C -0.19 0.00 +0.01 +0.06 -0.30 +0.04 0.00 — 7:02
88 Andrew Mangiapane L -0.31 0.00 +0.06 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:39
22 Matt Savoie C -0.43 0.00 +0.35 -0.90 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:39
25 Darnell Nurse D -0.48 0.00 +0.08 -0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:26
49 Ty Emberson D -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.51 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 15:07
24 Spencer Stastney D -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 12:37
13 Mattias Janmark C -0.93 0.00 0.00 -1.08 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:25
39 Connor Ingram G -1.91 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.91 34:29
96 Jake Walman D -2.07 0.00 +0.12 -2.27 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:04

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.