| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 |
 |
0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:38 | |
Mathew Barzal (15) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.22 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:29 | |
Martin Fehérváry (4) Tom Wilson (26), Nic Dowd (12) · snap xG 0.07 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 6:00 | |
Anthony Beauvillier (11) Matt Roy (14), Alex Ovechkin (25) · wrap-around xG 0.04 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:46 | |
Nic Dowd (4) Rasmus Sandin (16), Ethen Frank (12) · snap xG 0.16 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 17:35 | |
John Carlson (10)EN Aliaksei Protas (19) · snap xG 0.38 | 1–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.13 | Expected goals | 3.05 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.01 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.98 |
| 73 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 50 | Unblocked attempts | 35 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 25 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:58 | NYI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NYI takes the lead, 62–38%
WSH had led since 11:08 of the 1st, by as much as 63% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:40 | NYI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.18–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:10 of the 1st to 4:10 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 14:43 | NYI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Rittich, down 3–1
With 5:17 left; WSH scored at 17:35 of the 3rd (1–4) |
| 15:28 | WSH | Goalie | Goalie · Stevenson +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.04 xG, 29 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 21:22 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 20:00 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 18:22 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 17:28 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.22 | 4 | 2 | 16:09 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 15:24 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 14:22 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.59 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 11:34 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | 3 | 0 | 11:02 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 10:50 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.24 | 0 | 2 | 23:23 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 21:14 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 20:52 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 20:09 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 14:33 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rittich | 24 | 3 | 21 | .875 | 2.68 | -0.32 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.27 | 2 | 2 | 18:28 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 18:06 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.72 | 4 | 0 | 17:23 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 17:15 |
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.39 | 4 | 3 | 16:50 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 15:22 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.18 | 2 | 1 | 14:24 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 13:50 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 13:46 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 08:42 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 07:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 1 | 3 | 23:19 |
| 74 | John Carlson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | 21:36 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 19:23 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 2 | 19:00 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 16:25 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 4 | 15:21 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Stevenson | 30 | 1 | 29 | .967 | 3.13 | +2.13 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.38 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.01 | — | 13:56 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:50 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.63 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:22 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:22 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 16:09 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:02 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:28 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:56 |
| 4 Carson Soucy D | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.27 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:33 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 14:22 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.05 | — | 15:24 |
| 33 David Rittich G | -0.17 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | -0.32 | 57:08 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.31 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 23:23 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:35 |
| 81 Ondrej Palat L | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.64 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:28 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:05 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.32 | -0.64 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 20:00 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.54 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:34 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 21:14 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Clay Stevenson G | +2.13 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.13 | 60:00 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | +1.66 | +1.30 | +0.12 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 14:24 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +1.64 | +0.70 | +0.26 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 16:50 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +1.61 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 16:25 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +1.04 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:06 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +1.03 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:28 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | +1.00 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 13:46 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 15:21 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.47 | +0.31 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 17:23 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +0.90 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:15 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +0.71 | +0.70 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:23 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +0.44 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 19:00 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 23:19 |
| 74 John Carlson D | +0.32 | +0.75 | +0.24 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 21:36 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 7:21 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 8:42 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | — | 19:29 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.56 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:50 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:22 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.