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Utah MammothUTA 0–5 Final Minnesota WildMIN

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Utah MammothUTA 000 0 25
Minnesota WildMIN 113 5 30
Playoff odds, % Change
UTA -1.4
MIN +0.0
SEA +0.5
LAK +0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 10, 2026 7:12 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:10 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (37) Vladimir Tarasenko (18) · wrist xG 0.29 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
8:43 MIN Matt Boldy (36) Marcus Johansson (27), Joel Eriksson Ek (27) · snap xG 0.14 0–2 ▶
3rd Period
2:09 MIN Bobby Brink (14) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.11 0–3 ▶
6:09 MIN Danila Yurov (9) Vladimir Tarasenko (19), Quinn Hughes (58) · wrist xG 0.11 0–4 ▶
18:39 MIN Ryan Hartman (15) Nick Foligno (9), Kirill Kaprizov (41) · backhand xG 0.35 0–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 23%Deserve to win77% MIN
UTAMIN
2.36Expected goals4.12
0Goals (no shootout)5
1.57Expected goals, 5 on 52.86
57Shot attempts67
42Unblocked attempts51
25Shots on goal30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:10 MIN xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.29–0.04
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:20 to 15:20 of the 1st; goals 1–0
3rd Period
14:52 MIN Goalie Goalie · Gustavsson +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.00 xG, 22 shots on goal

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
JJ Peterka: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:31) Bobby Brink: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:42) Jake Middleton: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:47) Brock Faber: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:50) Logan Cooley: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:17) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:59) Barrett Hayton: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:23) Michael Carcone: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:20) Marcus Johansson: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:05) Clayton Keller: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:52) Sean Durzi: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:59) Joel Eriksson Ek: backhand, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:53) Matt Boldy: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:28) Matt Boldy: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:37) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:17) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:02) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 11:09) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:16) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:21) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:30) Michael McCarron: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:20) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:07) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:25) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:03) Clayton Keller: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:44) Michael Carcone: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:53) Kevin Stenlund: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:58) Kevin Stenlund: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:00) Brock Faber: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:25) Logan Cooley: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 2:26) Michael Carcone: wrist, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:20) Quinn Hughes: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:47) Kailer Yamamoto: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:03) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:28) Jonas Brodin: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:49) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:13) Clayton Keller: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:34) Dylan Guenther: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:04) Clayton Keller: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:17) Logan Cooley: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 10:56) Brock Faber: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 11:05) Brock Faber: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:15) Brock Faber: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:22) Bobby Brink: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:56) JJ Peterka: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:02) Kailer Yamamoto: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:03) Kailer Yamamoto: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:04) Jonas Brodin: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:54) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:08) Clayton Keller: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:20) Michael McCarron: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:53) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 17:32) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:38) Brock Faber: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:13) Jonas Brodin: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:17) Jonas Brodin: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:39) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:54) Kailer Yamamoto: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:52) JJ Peterka: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:58) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:13) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 0:16) Ryan Hartman: cradle, 6 ft, xG 0.51 (P3 0:18) Clayton Keller: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:54) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:12) Nick DeSimone: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:16) Matt Boldy: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:00) Zach Bogosian: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:14) Jack McBain: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:28) Ian Cole: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:24) Jack McBain: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 8:37) Ian Cole: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:52) Nick Foligno: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:57) Danila Yurov: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:17) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:22) Jonas Brodin: backhand, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:45) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 14:09) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 14:17) Bobby Brink: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:23) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:52) Mats Zuccarello: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 15:29) Matt Boldy: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 15:44) Logan Cooley: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:54) Jack McBain: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:01) Clayton Keller: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:33) Barrett Hayton: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 17:22) Dylan Guenther: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:06) Nick Foligno: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:37) Ryan Hartman: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:38) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.29 (P1 14:10) Matt Boldy: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:43) Bobby Brink: GOAL, wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 2:09) Danila Yurov: GOAL, wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:09) Ryan Hartman: GOAL, backhand, 3 ft, xG 0.35 (P3 18:39)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Clayton Keller 000 -1 80.29 0019:49
8 Nick Schmaltz 000 0 20.04 0119:03
11 Dylan Guenther 000 -2 90.25 0117:33
92 Logan Cooley 000 -3 60.38 0015:49
67 Lawson Crouse 000 0 40.12 1115:21
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 0 20.12 0015:00
27 Barrett Hayton 000 -2 30.24 0014:57
14 Alexander Kerfoot 000 0 10.00 2013:16
10 JJ Peterka 000 -3 40.20 0012:33
22 Jack McBain 000 -1 40.34 4112:03
53 Michael Carcone 000 -1 40.10 1011:44
56 Kailer Yamamoto 000 -2 40.18 0110:47
Defense
88 Nate Schmidt 000 0 10.00 1420:25
5 Sean Durzi 000 -4 20.00 1020:13
28 Ian Cole 000 -2 20.10 1319:51
6 John Marino 000 0 00.00 0219:01
57 Nick DeSimone 000 -2 10.01 0017:58
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 -2 00.00 3216:43
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 30525 .833 4.12 -0.88

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 112 +2 50.78 3020:45
36 Mats Zuccarello 000 0 40.42 0019:22
12 Matt Boldy 101 +1 70.49 0118:36
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 +1 40.17 3118:18
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 022 +3 30.17 0014:02
38 Ryan Hartman 101 +1 71.00 0013:27
47 Michael McCarron 000 0 30.05 1113:27
90 Marcus Johansson 011 +1 20.17 0013:21
10 Bobby Brink 101 +2 50.27 0112:37
13 Yakov Trenin 000 0 00.00 9012:17
22 Danila Yurov 101 +3 30.14 0012:05
71 Nick Foligno 011 +1 20.06 3011:41
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 011 +3 50.15 0023:43
7 Brock Faber 000 +2 60.18 1221:47
25 Jonas Brodin 000 +1 60.03 0318:45
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 0 10.00 1117:34
55 Jake Middleton 000 +2 20.01 2016:53
24 Zach Bogosian 000 +2 20.02 0215:28
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 25025 1.000 2.36 +2.36

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
8 Nick Schmaltz C +0.33 0.00 +0.03 +0.14 +0.15 -0.04 +0.05 — 19:03
9 Clayton Keller R +0.27 0.00 +0.19 -0.05 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:49
28 Ian Cole D +0.21 0.00 +0.06 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 19:51
82 Kevin Stenlund C +0.18 0.00 +0.08 +0.12 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 15:00
22 Jack McBain C +0.16 0.00 +0.22 -0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:03
67 Lawson Crouse L -0.12 0.00 +0.08 -0.08 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:21
15 Alexander Kerfoot C -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.15 +0.03 -0.04 — 13:16
11 Dylan Guenther R -0.23 0.00 +0.16 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:33
52 MacKenzie Weegar D -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.28 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 16:43
6 John Marino D -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:01
57 Nick DeSimone D -0.73 0.00 0.00 -0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:58
56 Kailer Yamamoto R -0.81 0.00 +0.12 -0.96 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 10:47
53 Michael Carcone L -0.84 0.00 +0.06 -0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:44
88 Nate Schmidt D -0.85 0.00 0.00 -1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 20:25
70 Karel Vejmelka G -0.88 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.88 59:54
92 Logan Cooley C -0.92 0.00 +0.25 -1.10 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 — 15:49
27 Barrett Hayton C -1.20 0.00 +0.16 -1.33 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:57
50 Sean Durzi D -1.39 0.00 0.00 -1.41 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 20:13
77 JJ Peterka R -1.87 0.00 +0.13 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:33

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +3.51 +1.30 +0.51 +1.87 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 20:45
38 Ryan Hartman R +2.91 +0.75 +0.65 +1.54 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:27
43 Quinn Hughes D +2.57 +0.55 +0.10 +1.93 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:43
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R +2.37 +1.40 +0.11 +0.60 +0.30 0.00 -0.04 — 14:02
32 Filip Gustavsson G +2.36 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.36 59:52
7 Brock Faber D +1.78 0.00 +0.12 +1.73 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 21:47
12 Matt Boldy L +1.69 +0.75 +0.32 +0.39 +0.15 +0.03 +0.05 — 18:36
22 Danila Yurov R +1.63 +0.75 +0.09 +0.96 -0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 12:05
10 Bobby Brink R +1.19 +0.75 +0.18 +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 12:37
36 Mats Zuccarello R +1.06 0.00 +0.28 +0.80 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 19:22
90 Marcus Johansson L +1.02 +0.70 +0.11 +0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:21
71 Nick Foligno L +1.00 +0.70 +0.04 +0.27 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:41
24 Zach Bogosian D +0.99 0.00 +0.01 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:28
5 Jake Middleton D +0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:53
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.73 +0.55 +0.11 +0.06 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 18:18
25 Jonas Brodin D +0.22 0.00 +0.02 -0.08 +0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 18:45
13 Yakov Trenin C -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:17
47 Michael McCarron C -0.30 0.00 +0.03 -0.46 0.00 +0.07 +0.05 — 13:27
46 Jared Spurgeon D -0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:34

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.