| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:51 | Ryan Leonard (13)PP Alex Ovechkin (27), Pierre-Luc Dubois (3) · snap xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:23 | Travis Konecny (24) Travis Sanheim (21), Alex Bump (1) · snap xG 0.12 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 12:13 | Trevor Zegras (22) Owen Tippett (18), Carl Grundstrom (3) · wrist xG 0.18 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:17 | Jamie Drysdale (7) Noah Cates (21), Cam York (20) · wrist xG 0.08 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 18:57 | Owen Tippett (21)EN Christian Dvorak (25), Noah Cates (22) · wrist xG 0.62 | 1–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WSH | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.97 | Expected goals | 3.63 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.05 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.01 |
| 70 | Shot attempts | 41 |
| 52 | Unblocked attempts | 30 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 22 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:06 | PHI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · PHI takes the lead, 61–39%
WSH had led since 3:44 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:28 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 3–1
With 2:32 left |
| 18:01 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 3–1
With 1:59 left; PHI scored at 18:57 of the 3rd (1–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.46 | 6 | 1 | 21:39 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 |
| 80 | Pierre-Luc Dubois | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 17:32 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 0.46 | 2 | 0 | 15:45 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 0.43 | 4 | 0 | 14:35 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 14:27 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 08:46 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 08:10 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 06:55 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 24:44 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 19:54 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 19:19 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 19:09 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.03 | 0 | 4 | 14:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 21 | 3 | 18 | .857 | 2.53 | -0.47 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 1 | 19:44 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 19:01 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 9 | 1.18 | 2 | 0 | 16:40 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 16:22 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 15:24 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 14:44 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 20 | Alex Bump | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 12:14 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 |
| 91 | Carl Grundstrom | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.15 | 4 | 0 | 12:00 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:36 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 11:28 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 24:01 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 23:10 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 21:59 |
| 55 | Rasmus Ristolainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 5 | 21:51 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 2 | 11:15 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson | 23 | 1 | 22 | .957 | 2.97 | +1.97 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +1.45 | +0.70 | +0.30 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:45 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif C | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.63 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 17:32 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:39 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +0.47 | +0.75 | +0.28 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:35 |
| 80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C | +0.44 | +0.55 | +0.10 | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 18:10 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.27 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:19 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier R | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 14:27 |
| 27 Timothy Liljegren D | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.15 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 14:48 |
| 53 Ethen Frank R | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:46 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:54 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.21 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:38 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:55 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:09 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime L | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.24 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:10 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas L | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:03 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:25 |
| 24 Connor McMichael L | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:31 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | -0.47 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.47 | 58:30 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | -0.86 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.76 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 24:44 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +2.82 | +1.45 | +0.77 | +0.49 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:40 |
| 33 Samuel Ersson G | +1.97 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.97 | 60:00 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +1.54 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.65 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 16:22 |
| 91 Carl Grundstrom R | +1.36 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:00 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +1.35 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 11:28 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +1.19 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:01 |
| 20 Alex Bump L | +1.06 | +0.55 | +0.36 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:14 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +1.02 | +0.70 | +0.27 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.01 | — | 19:44 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +0.95 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:01 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.83 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 21:59 |
| 8 Cam York D | +0.59 | +0.55 | +0.13 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 23:10 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:15 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:47 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:46 |
| 55 Rasmus Ristolainen D | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.25 | — | 21:51 |
| 52 Denver Barkey C | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:36 |
| 41 Luke Glendening C | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 12:10 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.45 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:44 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.46 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:24 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.