| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 31 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:22 | Pavel Zacha (21)PP David Pastrnak (56), Charlie McAvoy (42) · backhand xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 10:31 | Nick Suzuki (24) Juraj Slafkovský (32), Cole Caufield (28) · backhand xG 0.18 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:41 | Pavel Zacha (22) Viktor Arvidsson (21), Casey Mittelstadt (21) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 13:15 | Josh Anderson (13) Lane Hutson (57), Brendan Gallagher (15) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Overtime | |||
| 4:38 | Cole Caufield (40) Nick Suzuki (56), Lane Hutson (58) · tip-in xG 0.33 | 2–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.49 | Expected goals | 4.75 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.20 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.38 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 76 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 59 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 31 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:07 | MTL | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 60–40%
BOS had led since 2:22 of the 1st, by as much as 77% |
| 1:50 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.09–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:10 of the 2nd to 2:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:46 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Swayman +2.1 goals saved
2 goals on 4.11 xG, 28 shots on goal |
| 4:00 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.08–0.04
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:00 of the 3rd to 4:00 of overtime; neither team scored |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 24:35 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 5 | 0 | 19:42 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 19:14 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 17:09 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 16:36 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 16:32 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0.78 | 4 | 0 | 16:22 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.53 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:14 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 12:13 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 12:00 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 5 | 0 | 11:37 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 2 | 26:44 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 21:03 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 19:48 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 17:07 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.05 | 3 | 3 | 16:44 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.32 | 1 | 2 | 16:21 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 31 | 3 | 28 | .903 | 4.75 | +1.75 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 9 | 0.56 | 1 | 0 | 24:18 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 1.10 | 0 | 1 | 19:58 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.39 | 1 | 1 | 19:33 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.65 | 1 | 0 | 17:29 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 14:00 |
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 13:37 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.32 | 4 | 0 | 13:21 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.21 | 1 | 3 | 13:20 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.08 | 6 | 1 | 10:39 |
| 15 | Alex Newhook | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 09:14 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.30 | 2 | 3 | 24:02 |
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 23:16 |
| 21 | Kaiden Guhle | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 22:22 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 21:41 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 18:19 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 13:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | 28 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 3.49 | +1.49 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +1.75 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.75 | 64:38 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +1.39 | +1.50 | +0.51 | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 16:22 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +1.29 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:21 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.60 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:53 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:13 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 19:14 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +0.76 | +0.55 | +0.29 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 26:44 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +0.34 | +0.70 | +0.16 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:09 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:00 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +0.10 | +0.55 | +0.12 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:36 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | -0.09 | +0.70 | +0.13 | -1.05 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.01 | — | 24:35 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 11:37 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 16:44 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:14 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.89 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:07 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.87 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 19:42 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | -1.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:32 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | -1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:03 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | -1.50 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 19:48 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +3.76 | +1.30 | +0.71 | +1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:58 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +3.50 | +1.45 | +0.36 | +1.67 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 24:18 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +2.73 | +0.70 | +0.25 | +1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:33 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +2.03 | +1.25 | +0.11 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:41 |
| 21 Kaiden Guhle D | +1.53 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:22 |
| 75 Jakub Dobes G | +1.49 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.49 | 64:22 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.43 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:29 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 24:02 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.71 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:19 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.31 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 14:00 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | +0.42 | +0.75 | +0.20 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:21 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:40 |
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:37 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +0.19 | +0.55 | +0.05 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:39 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:39 |
| 15 Alex Newhook C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:14 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.59 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.15 | — | 13:20 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.51 | -0.15 | +0.06 | +0.05 | — | 14:45 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.70 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 23:16 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.