hockeystats.io

Seattle KrakenSEA 1–3 Final Nashville PredatorsNSH

Thursday, March 19, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA 100 1 26
Nashville PredatorsNSH 111 3 28
Playoff odds, % Change
SEA -8.9
NSH +6.8
LAK +0.7
SJS +0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 19, 2026 7:12 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:14 NSH Ryan Ufko (2) Brady Skjei (19), Filip Forsberg (27) · slap xG 0.04 0–1 ▶
18:40 SEA Frederick Gaudreau (5) Chandler Stephenson (27), Kaapo Kakko (18) · tip-in xG 0.09 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
7:11 NSH Ryan O'Reilly (23)PP Filip Forsberg (28), Steven Stamkos (21) · snap xG 0.26 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
18:10 NSH Filip Forsberg (30)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.49 1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 39%Deserve to win61% NSH
SEANSH
2.71Expected goals4.91
1Goals (no shootout)3
2.42Expected goals, 5 on 52.47
56Shot attempts68
47Unblocked attempts51
26Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:35 NSH Deserve to win Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 64–36%
SEA had led since 3:06 of the 1st, by as much as 67%
3rd Period
17:42 SEA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 2–1
With 2:18 left; NSH scored at 18:10 of the 3rd (1–3)

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NSH shoots
Zachary L'Heureux: deflected, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:45) Berkly Catton: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 3:05) Shane Wright: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:06) Brandon Montour: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:10) Brandon Montour: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:17) Bobby McMann: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:21) Matty Beniers: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:00) Erik Haula: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:18) Roman Josi: wrist, 156 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:18) Brady Skjei: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:07) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:38) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:21) Jonathan Marchessault: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:35) Berkly Catton: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:25) Fedor Svechkov: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:58) Reid Schaefer: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:18) Brady Skjei: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:22) Matty Beniers: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:57) Jared McCann: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:02) Shane Wright: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:05) Tyson Jost: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:22) Tyson Jost: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:33) Berkly Catton: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:50) Matthew Wood: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:09) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:28) Reid Schaefer: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:04) Fedor Svechkov: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:05) Nicolas Hague: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:10) Nicolas Hague: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:11) Brady Skjei: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:16) Bobby McMann: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:49) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:57) Shane Wright: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:16) Filip Forsberg: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:30) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:35) Adam Larsson: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:21) Erik Haula: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:49) Jared McCann: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:02) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:41) Matty Beniers: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:22) Berkly Catton: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 19:12) Zachary L'Heureux: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:27) Bobby McMann: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:35) Zachary L'Heureux: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:50) Bobby McMann: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:20) Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 1:01) Brandon Montour: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:12) Frederick Gaudreau: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:13) Shane Wright: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:31) Matthew Wood: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:38) Erik Haula: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:04) Justin Barron: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:06) Justin Barron: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:08) Jonathan Marchessault: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 2:29) Brady Skjei: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 4:05) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:20) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 7:35) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:47) Justin Barron: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:14) Bobby McMann: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:35) Tyson Jost: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:27) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 12:35) Reid Schaefer: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:53) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:10) Luke Evangelista: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:39) Shane Wright: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:01) Jared McCann: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:13) Brandon Montour: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:24) Matty Beniers: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:28) Vince Dunn: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:59) Vince Dunn: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:28) Jared McCann: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.28 (P3 1:30) Vince Dunn: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:38) Steven Stamkos: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:56) Zachary L'Heureux: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:21) Roman Josi: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:35) Roman Josi: poke, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:45) Erik Haula: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 7:51) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:46) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:21) Jacob Melanson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:50) Ryker Evans: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:03) Tyson Jost: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 10:15) Steven Stamkos: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 10:54) Erik Haula: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 13:18) Frederick Gaudreau: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:32) Ryker Evans: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:05) Jordan Eberle: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:18) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:39) Matty Beniers: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:21) Ryan O'Reilly: backhand, 45 ft, xG 0.42 (P3 18:47) Chandler Stephenson: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:37) Erik Haula: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.65 (P3 19:51) Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:58) Ryan Ufko: GOAL, slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:14) Frederick Gaudreau: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:40) Ryan O'Reilly: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 7:11) Filip Forsberg: GOAL, wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.49 (P3 18:10)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Matty Beniers 000 0 50.23 0021:13
9 Chandler Stephenson 011 0 30.20 1220:38
7 Jordan Eberle 000 -1 40.26 0120:02
74 Bobby McMann 000 -1 50.18 1118:17
89 Frederick Gaudreau 101 0 40.16 3117:16
19 Jared McCann 000 0 50.36 1017:00
84 Kaapo Kakko 011 +1 20.07 0015:19
51 Shane Wright 000 0 60.36 0015:15
27 Berkly Catton 000 -1 50.50 0014:14
59 Ben Meyers 000 -1 00.00 0009:18
38 Jani Nyman 000 -1 00.00 0106:00
63 Jacob Melanson 000 0 10.02 0004:14
Defense
29 Vince Dunn 000 -2 40.11 1323:25
62 Brandon Montour 000 -1 70.17 0022:58
6 Adam Larsson 000 -1 10.01 1120:39
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 0 20.02 0118:57
41 Ryker Evans 000 +1 20.07 3117:36
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 +1 00.00 3113:11
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joey Daccord 27225 .926 3.35 +1.35

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
90 Ryan O'Reilly 101 0 30.74 0021:42
91 Steven Stamkos 011 0 40.47 0119:38
9 Filip Forsberg 123 +1 30.54 0018:28
56 Erik Haula 000 +1 70.98 1017:28
77 Luke Evangelista 000 0 60.29 1016:51
17 Tyson Jost 000 +1 40.27 1016:08
81 Jonathan Marchessault 000 0 50.30 2014:04
71 Matthew Wood 000 0 30.16 0013:09
68 Zachary L'Heureux 000 0 40.28 4012:34
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt 000 0 00.00 1209:25
49 Reid Schaefer 000 0 40.14 2108:35
9 Fedor Svechkov 000 0 30.12 0008:19
Defense
76 Brady Skjei 011 +1 50.26 1026:32
59 Roman Josi 000 0 40.04 1225:50
48 Nick Perbix 000 0 00.00 0020:05
41 Nicolas Hague 000 0 50.08 2018:21
12 Ryan Ufko 101 +1 30.04 1113:58
72 Justin Barron 000 0 50.20 1112:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Justus Annunen 26125 .962 2.71 +1.71

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
35 Joey Daccord G +1.35 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.35 58:14
9 Chandler Stephenson C +1.29 +0.70 +0.13 +0.36 0.00 +0.02 +0.08 — 20:38
7 Jordan Eberle R +1.00 0.00 +0.17 +0.63 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:02
19 Jared McCann L +0.96 0.00 +0.23 +0.74 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:00
10 Matty Beniers C +0.65 0.00 +0.15 +0.49 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 21:13
27 Berkly Catton C +0.57 0.00 +0.32 +0.27 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:14
51 Shane Wright C +0.50 0.00 +0.23 +0.09 +0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 15:15
84 Kaapo Kakko R +0.45 +0.55 +0.04 -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:19
62 Brandon Montour D +0.33 0.00 +0.11 +0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.12 — 22:58
41 Ryker Evans D +0.31 0.00 +0.05 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:36
89 Frederick Gaudreau C +0.16 +0.75 +0.11 -0.74 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 17:16
74 Bobby McMann C +0.14 0.00 +0.12 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:17
24 Jamie Oleksiak D +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.34 -0.30 0.00 +0.05 — 13:11
55 Ryan Lindgren D +0.06 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:57
63 Jacob Melanson R -0.18 0.00 +0.02 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 4:14
29 Vince Dunn D -0.32 0.00 +0.07 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 23:25
38 Jani Nyman R -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 6:00
59 Ben Meyers C -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.68 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 9:18
6 Adam Larsson D -0.92 0.00 +0.01 -0.97 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:39

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Filip Forsberg L +2.29 +2.00 +0.35 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 18:28
29 Justus Annunen G +1.71 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.71 59:58
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +1.53 +0.75 +0.48 +0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:42
20 Justin Barron D +1.34 0.00 +0.13 +1.18 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:55
91 Steven Stamkos C +1.20 +0.55 +0.30 +0.14 +0.15 +0.03 +0.03 — 19:38
85 Ryan Ufko D +0.91 +0.75 +0.02 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:58
68 Zachary L'Heureux L +0.72 0.00 +0.18 +0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:34
76 Brady Skjei D +0.56 +0.70 +0.17 -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 26:32
56 Erik Haula L +0.54 0.00 +0.64 +0.08 -0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:28
77 Luke Evangelista R +0.52 0.00 +0.19 +0.17 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:51
17 Tyson Jost C +0.44 0.00 +0.18 +0.25 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 16:08
41 Nicolas Hague D +0.33 0.00 +0.05 +0.43 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:21
81 Jonathan Marchessault R -0.01 0.00 +0.20 -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:04
49 Reid Schaefer L -0.02 0.00 +0.09 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 8:35
71 Matthew Wood R -0.11 0.00 +0.11 -0.15 0.00 -0.03 -0.04 — 13:09
40 Fedor Svechkov C -0.14 0.00 +0.08 -0.17 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 8:19
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C -0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 9:25
48 Nick Perbix D -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:05
59 Roman Josi D -0.63 0.00 +0.03 -0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 25:50

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.