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Utah MammothUTA 4–0 Final Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Thursday, March 19, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Utah MammothUTA 301 4 18
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 000 0 28
Playoff odds, % Change
VGK -5.3
UTA +2.9
SJS +0.6
EDM +0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 19, 2026 9:17 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:52 UTA Clayton Keller (21) John Marino (27), Nate Schmidt (15) · wrist xG 0.13 1–0 ▶
6:05 UTA Clayton Keller (22) Lawson Crouse (17), Nick Schmaltz (37) · snap xG 0.24 2–0 ▶
8:12 UTA Jack McBain (8) Barrett Hayton (15), Mikhail Sergachev (35) · wrist xG 0.18 3–0 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
19:12 UTA Barrett Hayton (10)EN Kevin Stenlund (12) · wrist xG 0.42 4–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 21%Deserve to win79% VGK
UTAVGK
2.81Expected goals3.73
4Goals (no shootout)0
1.88Expected goals, 5 on 52.73
42Shot attempts66
29Unblocked attempts56
18Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
8:12 VGK Goalie Goalie · Hill −2.4 goals saved
3 goals on 0.64 xG, 3 shots on goal
8:12 VGK Goalie change Goalie change · Schmid in for Hill
8:12 of the 1st; Hill had allowed 3 goals on 3 shots (0.64 xG)
2nd Period
18:40 UTA Goalie Goalie · Vejmelka +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.08 xG, 17 shots on goal
3rd Period
17:00 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.13–0.10
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:00 to 17:00 of the 3rd; neither team scored
17:37 VGK Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Schmid, down 3–0
With 2:23 left; UTA scored at 19:12 of the 3rd (4–0)

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots
Jack Eichel: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:56) Ivan Barbashev: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:02) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:07) Jack Eichel: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 1:09) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:45) Noah Hanifin: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:08) Mark Stone: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 4:10) Mitch Marner: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:42) Lawson Crouse: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:02) Logan Cooley: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:05) Jack McBain: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 11:04) MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:19) Ivan Barbashev: backhand, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:40) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:46) Ian Cole: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:41) Jeremy Lauzon: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:24) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 15:28) Logan Cooley: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:44) Brett Howden: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 17:24) Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:34) Sean Durzi: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:04) Jack McBain: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:50) Barrett Hayton: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 0:21) Michael Carcone: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 0:31) Nic Dowd: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:40) Clayton Keller: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:04) Noah Hanifin: slap, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:19) Mitch Marner: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:10) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:24) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:03) Clayton Keller: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:45) Clayton Keller: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:09) Mitch Marner: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:53) Brayden McNabb: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:52) Brayden McNabb: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:36) Dylan Guenther: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 7:47) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:20) Colton Sissons: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:43) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:58) Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:33) Ivan Barbashev: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:40) Mark Stone: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:46) Shea Theodore: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:57) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:03) Ian Cole: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:06) JJ Peterka: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:25) Michael Carcone: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:10) Shea Theodore: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:06) Shea Theodore: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:15) Jack Eichel: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:23) Shea Theodore: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:27) Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:49) Ivan Barbashev: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:31) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:07) Shea Theodore: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:18) Braeden Bowman: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 18:40) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:41) Clayton Keller: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:50) Mitch Marner: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:41) Jack Eichel: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 1:49) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:49) Mitch Marner: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:12) Shea Theodore: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 7:35) Mark Stone: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 8:24) Mitch Marner: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:31) Tomas Hertl: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:47) Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 9:09) Sean Durzi: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:31) Sean Durzi: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:47) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 11:39) Keegan Kolesar: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 12:19) Mitch Marner: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:31) Mark Stone: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 15:57) Mark Stone: slap, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 16:54) Nick Schmaltz: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:02) Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 178 ft, xG 0.35 (P3 17:47) Braeden Bowman: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:13) Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 164 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 18:26) Shea Theodore: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:38) Jack Eichel: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:00) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:01) Clayton Keller: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 2:52) Clayton Keller: GOAL, snap, 7 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 6:05) Jack McBain: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 8:12) Barrett Hayton: GOAL, wrist, 149 ft, xG 0.42 (P3 19:12)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
92 Logan Cooley 000 0 30.15 0017:20
8 Nick Schmaltz 011 +3 30.03 1017:12
11 Dylan Guenther 000 0 30.16 1016:53
82 Kevin Stenlund 011 +1 40.57 0116:12
67 Lawson Crouse 011 +2 10.08 1015:04
10 JJ Peterka 000 0 10.06 1014:42
14 Alexander Kerfoot 000 0 00.00 0014:32
9 Clayton Keller 202 +2 80.53 0014:26
27 Barrett Hayton 112 +2 30.51 0114:01
53 Michael Carcone 000 +1 20.10 2013:34
22 Jack McBain 101 +1 40.41 7013:23
56 Kailer Yamamoto 000 0 00.00 0012:23
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 011 +1 10.00 1122:44
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 +2 30.01 4122:27
88 Nate Schmidt 011 +3 00.00 2120:09
6 John Marino 011 +2 10.00 1217:41
28 Ian Cole 000 0 20.02 2117:39
5 Sean Durzi 000 0 30.17 2115:41
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 28028 1.000 3.73 +3.73

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mitch Marner 000 -2 90.18 0021:46
9 Jack Eichel 000 -2 50.58 0021:34
61 Mark Stone 000 -2 50.59 3119:22
48 Tomas Hertl 000 -2 30.24 1118:28
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 -1 60.51 4117:57
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 -2 50.29 0017:07
22 Cole Smith 000 0 00.00 2012:19
21 Brett Howden 000 -1 10.14 2011:46
26 Nic Dowd 000 0 10.02 0111:36
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 0 20.23 2011:29
42 Braeden Bowman 000 -1 50.29 0010:58
15 Colton Sissons 000 -1 10.08 1010:52
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 000 -2 90.31 0122:29
4 Rasmus Andersson 000 -1 40.08 0120:17
3 Brayden McNabb 000 -1 40.04 0219:57
15 Noah Hanifin 000 -1 30.03 0319:28
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -1 20.12 6017:03
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 -1 10.00 1113:18
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Adin Hill 330 .000 0.64 -2.36
Akira Schmid 14014 1.000 1.27 +1.27

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
70 Karel Vejmelka G +3.73 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +3.73 59:57
9 Clayton Keller R +2.37 +1.50 +0.34 +0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:26
27 Barrett Hayton C +2.14 +1.45 +0.33 +0.34 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 14:01
67 Lawson Crouse L +1.40 +0.70 +0.06 +0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:04
8 Nick Schmaltz C +1.39 +0.55 +0.02 +0.88 0.00 +0.04 -0.10 — 17:12
6 John Marino D +1.28 +0.70 0.00 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 17:41
22 Jack McBain C +1.10 +0.75 +0.26 +0.10 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:23
88 Nate Schmidt D +0.84 +0.55 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:09
82 Kevin Stenlund C +0.45 +0.70 +0.37 -0.55 -0.15 +0.03 +0.05 — 16:12
53 Michael Carcone L +0.44 0.00 +0.06 +0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:34
50 Sean Durzi D +0.24 0.00 +0.11 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:41
56 Kailer Yamamoto R -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.14 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 12:23
98 Mikhail Sergachev D -0.03 +0.55 0.00 -0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:44
28 Ian Cole D -0.16 0.00 +0.01 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:39
15 Alexander Kerfoot C -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 14:32
11 Dylan Guenther R -0.89 0.00 +0.11 -0.99 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:53
52 MacKenzie Weegar D -0.95 0.00 +0.01 -1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:27
77 JJ Peterka R -1.03 0.00 +0.04 -0.99 0.00 0.00 -0.08 — 14:42
92 Logan Cooley C -1.43 0.00 +0.10 -1.65 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:20

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
40 Akira Schmid G +1.27 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.27 50:02
9 Jack Eichel C +1.24 0.00 +0.38 +0.83 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 21:34
49 Ivan Barbashev L +1.23 0.00 +0.33 +0.72 +0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 17:57
27 Shea Theodore D +1.12 0.00 +0.20 +0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:29
3 Brayden McNabb D +0.99 0.00 +0.03 +0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 19:57
61 Mark Stone R +0.89 0.00 +0.38 +0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:22
93 Mitch Marner R +0.46 0.00 +0.12 +0.19 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 21:46
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.24 0.00 +0.16 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:28
6 Kaedan Korczak D +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:18
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.10 0.00 +0.02 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 19:28
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.10 0.00 +0.15 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:29
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.09 0.00 +0.19 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 17:07
42 Braeden Bowman R +0.05 0.00 +0.19 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:58
22 Cole Smith R +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:19
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +0.03 0.00 +0.08 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:03
10 Colton Sissons C -0.01 0.00 +0.05 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:52
21 Brett Howden C -0.28 0.00 +0.09 -0.36 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 11:46
26 Nic Dowd C -0.33 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 -0.15 -0.04 +0.05 — 11:36
4 Rasmus Andersson D -0.75 0.00 +0.05 -0.73 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 20:17
33 Adin Hill G -2.36 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.36 8:12

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.