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Philadelphia FlyersPHI 4–1 Final New York IslandersNYI

Friday, April 3, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 211 4 21
New York IslandersNYI 010 1 22
Playoff odds, % Change
NYI -16.0
PHI +11.3
CBJ +3.3
WSH +0.7

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 3, 2026 6:30 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
13:54 PHI Owen Tippett (28) Travis Sanheim (25) · backhand xG 0.25 1–0 ▶
15:01 PHI Alex Bump (4) Matvei Michkov (25), Noah Cates (26) · wrist xG 0.01 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
2:52 PHI Matvei Michkov (17) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.05 3–0 ▶
15:37 NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (16) Mathew Barzal (50), Simon Holmstrom (21) · wrist xG 0.19 3–1 ▶
3rd Period
9:16 PHI Travis Sanheim (10) Matvei Michkov (26), Alex Bump (4) · snap xG 0.08 4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 56%Deserve to win44% NYI
PHINYI
4.48Expected goals2.25
4Goals (no shootout)1
1.48Expected goals, 5 on 51.48
47Shot attempts64
36Unblocked attempts37
21Shots on goal22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00 PHI xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.69–0.12
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:30 to 17:30 of the 1st; goals 2–0
2nd Period
17:20 NYI xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced PHI 1.24–0.06
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:30 to 17:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
14:08 NYI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 4–1
With 5:52 left

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots
Owen Tippett: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:11) Travis Sanheim: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:28) Sean Couturier: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:36) Cam York: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:51) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:32) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:40) Owen Tippett: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:41) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:09) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:10) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.54 (P1 8:13) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:40) Porter Martone: deflected, 4 ft, xG 0.33 (P1 9:42) Owen Tippett: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:15) Marc Gatcomb: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:55) Adam Pelech: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:15) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:33) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:21) Sean Couturier: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:27) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:18) Bo Horvat: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:25) Anders Lee: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:19) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:44) Bo Horvat: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:54) Matvei Michkov: poke, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 2:50) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:02) Emil Heineman: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:40) Anders Lee: snap, 4 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:47) Noah Cates: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:34) Christian Dvorak: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:44) Christian Dvorak: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:46) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:04) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:48) Ryan Pulock: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:22) Simon Holmstrom: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 10:26) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:28) Ryan Pulock: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:33) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:02) Owen Tippett: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:44) Adam Pelech: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:08) Brayden Schenn: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 13:36) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:45) Emil Heineman: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:17) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:31) Alex Bump: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:16) Carson Soucy: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:42) Anders Lee: snap, 4 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 17:12) Adam Boqvist: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:28) Simon Holmstrom: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:05) Anders Lee: tip-in, 168 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:10) Matthew Schaefer: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:10) Bo Horvat: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:33) Bo Horvat: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:01) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:38) Sean Couturier: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 6:01) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:39) Rasmus Ristolainen: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:34) Simon Holmstrom: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:51) Kyle MacLean: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 11:13) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:50) Calum Ritchie: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:13) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 159 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:31) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.44 (P3 12:44) Mathew Barzal: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:31) Alex Bump: wrist, 136 ft, xG 0.41 (P3 14:54) Simon Holmstrom: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:14) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:34) Travis Konecny: wrist, 83 ft, xG 0.63 (P3 17:23) Owen Tippett: wrist, 157 ft, xG 0.36 (P3 17:42) Owen Tippett: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 13:54) Alex Bump: GOAL, wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:01) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:52) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 15:37) Travis Sanheim: GOAL, snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:16)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Sean Couturier 000 0 30.17 4121:08
74 Owen Tippett 101 0 80.76 3217:33
22 Christian Dvorak 000 0 50.24 0217:18
27 Noah Cates 011 +3 20.01 3016:06
11 Travis Konecny 000 0 20.73 1115:18
94 Porter Martone 000 0 10.33 2015:13
71 Tyson Foerster 000 0 40.75 0115:06
41 Luke Glendening 000 0 10.00 2115:03
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 00.00 4113:03
39 Matvei Michkov 123 +3 40.31 0011:43
46 Trevor Zegras 000 0 10.44 0011:03
20 Alex Bump 112 +3 30.45 0209:09
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 112 +3 40.11 0224:36
8 Cam York 000 +1 10.03 2223:11
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 000 +3 30.09 1422:02
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 0 30.06 0018:55
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 10.00 1417:26
47 Noah Juulsen 000 -1 10.00 2010:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 22121 .955 2.25 +1.25

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Mathew Barzal 011 -1 100.16 0024:06
14 Bo Horvat 000 -1 60.18 0122:09
92 Simon Holmstrom 011 +1 40.30 0020:09
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 101 +1 20.25 0020:01
72 Anders Lee 000 -1 50.39 1017:37
51 Emil Heineman 000 -2 20.16 4015:53
64 Calum Ritchie 000 -2 20.02 0015:08
10 Brayden Schenn 000 -3 10.17 2014:51
53 Casey Cizikas 000 0 10.00 3112:04
32 Kyle MacLean 000 0 10.15 5111:15
17 Marc Gatcomb 000 0 30.14 1010:38
81 Ondrej Palat 000 -1 00.00 3009:49
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 -3 80.17 2328:43
6 Ryan Pulock 000 -2 60.13 1419:28
34 Adam Boqvist 000 -2 50.03 0017:40
3 Adam Pelech 000 0 40.01 2017:28
24 Scott Mayfield 000 0 20.00 1013:30
7 Carson Soucy 000 +1 20.01 1012:41
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 21417 .810 2.56 -1.44

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Matvei Michkov R +3.03 +2.15 +0.20 +0.83 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:43
20 Alex Bump L +2.60 +1.30 +0.29 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 9:09
6 Travis Sanheim D +2.56 +1.45 +0.07 +0.98 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 24:36
74 Owen Tippett R +1.62 +0.75 +0.49 +0.30 0.00 -0.02 +0.10 — 17:33
27 Noah Cates L +1.43 +0.55 +0.01 +0.88 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:06
80 Dan Vladar G +1.25 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.25 60:00
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D +1.14 0.00 +0.06 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 22:02
71 Tyson Foerster R +0.89 0.00 +0.48 +0.20 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 15:06
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.48 0.00 +0.29 +0.22 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 11:03
8 Cam York D +0.41 0.00 +0.02 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 23:11
14 Sean Couturier C +0.05 0.00 +0.11 -0.27 +0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 21:08
11 Travis Konecny R +0.02 0.00 +0.48 -0.33 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:18
94 Porter Martone R -0.07 0.00 +0.21 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:13
22 Christian Dvorak C -0.18 0.00 +0.16 -0.39 0.00 -0.05 +0.10 — 17:18
9 Jamie Drysdale D -0.19 0.00 +0.04 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:55
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:03
24 Nick Seeler D -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 17:26
41 Luke Glendening C -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.34 -0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 15:03
47 Noah Juulsen D -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 10:07

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +1.41 +0.75 +0.16 +0.47 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 20:01
92 Simon Holmstrom R +1.33 +0.55 +0.19 +0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:09
13 Mathew Barzal C +0.89 +0.70 +0.11 -0.07 +0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 24:06
32 Kyle MacLean C +0.35 0.00 +0.10 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:15
53 Casey Cizikas C +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:04
4 Carson Soucy D +0.26 0.00 +0.01 +0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:41
24 Scott Mayfield D +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:30
16 Marc Gatcomb C +0.16 0.00 +0.09 +0.22 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:38
14 Bo Horvat C +0.10 0.00 +0.12 -0.07 0.00 +0.06 -0.01 — 22:09
27 Anders Lee L +0.03 0.00 +0.25 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:37
6 Ryan Pulock D -0.04 0.00 +0.09 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 19:28
48 Matthew Schaefer D -0.07 0.00 +0.11 -0.48 +0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 28:43
81 Ondrej Palat L -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.37 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 9:49
51 Emil Heineman L -0.26 0.00 +0.10 -0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:53
34 Adam Boqvist D -0.30 0.00 +0.02 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:40
3 Adam Pelech D -0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.34 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:28
64 Calum Ritchie C -0.82 0.00 +0.01 -0.84 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:08
10 Brayden Schenn C -0.97 0.00 +0.11 -1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:51
30 Ilya Sorokin G -1.44 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.44 52:50

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.