Utah MammothUTA 7–4 Final Vancouver CanucksVAN

Saturday, April 4, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Utah MammothUTA	2	2	3	7	25
Vancouver CanucksVAN	1	1	2	4	23

Playoff odds, %	Change
UTA	+1.5
VAN	+0.0
LAK	-0.5
SJS	-0.3

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 4, 2026 6:18 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:28	VAN	Linus Karlsson (14) Pierre-Olivier Joseph (5), Liam Ohgren (9) · backhand xG 0.04	0–1 ▶
13:34	UTA	Kailer Yamamoto (11) Logan Cooley (15) · tip-in xG 0.05	1–1 ▶
18:30	UTA	Clayton Keller (23) Lawson Crouse (19), Nick DeSimone (6) · wrist xG 0.07	2–1 ▶
2nd Period
2:05	VAN	Linus Karlsson (15) Victor Mancini (2), Teddy Blueger (7) · tip-in xG 0.06	2–2 ▶
7:04	UTA	Clayton Keller (24)PP Dylan Guenther (29), Mikhail Sergachev (45) · tip-in xG 0.10	3–2 ▶
11:55	UTA	Dylan Guenther (38) John Marino (30), Logan Cooley (16) · wrist xG 0.05	4–2 ▶
3rd Period
0:20	VAN	Jake DeBrusk (19)PP Filip Hronek (37) · tip-in xG 0.13	4–3 ▶
1:32	UTA	Lawson Crouse (21) Clayton Keller (53) · snap xG 0.11	5–3 ▶
4:40	VAN	Marco Rossi (10)PP Filip Hronek (38), Brock Boeser (23) · wrist xG 0.03	5–4 ▶
11:45	UTA	Liam O'Brien (3) Brandon Tanev (3), Nate Schmidt (16) · backhand xG 0.38	6–4 ▶
19:07	UTA	Clayton Keller (25)EN Nick Schmaltz (40), Ian Cole (19) · wrist xG 0.58	7–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 69%Deserve to win31% VAN

UTA		VAN
3.04	Expected goals	1.54
7	Goals (no shootout)	4
1.72	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.04
48	Shot attempts	47
37	Unblocked attempts	32
25	Shots on goal	23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
11:50	UTA	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · UTA takes the lead, 62–38% VAN had led since 8:18 of the 1st, by as much as 62%
2nd Period
11:55	VAN	Goalie	Goalie · Tolopilo −2.3 goals saved 4 goals on 1.68 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
4:40	UTA	Goalie	Goalie · Vejmelka −2.8 goals saved 4 goals on 1.19 xG, 20 shots on goal
17:28	VAN	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Tolopilo, down 6–4 With 2:32 left; UTA scored at 19:07 of the 3rd (7–4)

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VAN shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
8	Nick Schmaltz	0	1	1	+2	5	0.48	0	1	19:44
9	Clayton Keller	3	1	4	+3	7	0.81	0	1	17:21
11	Dylan Guenther	1	1	2	+1	5	0.37	1	0	17:03
14	Alexander Kerfoot	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	16:00
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	4	15:53
67	Lawson Crouse	1	1	2	+2	2	0.16	0	1	15:09
92	Logan Cooley	0	2	2	+1	2	0.17	0	1	14:45
10	JJ Peterka	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	0	14:00
53	Michael Carcone	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	3	0	12:53
56	Kailer Yamamoto	1	0	1	0	2	0.13	2	0	11:13
13	Brandon Tanev	0	1	1	+1	1	0.20	0	3	10:32
38	Liam O'Brien	1	0	1	+1	1	0.38	6	1	10:21
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	1	1	0	4	0.07	0	1	25:01
6	John Marino	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	0	0	20:02
5	Sean Durzi	0	0	0	+1	6	0.10	1	0	19:31
88	Nate Schmidt	0	1	1	+1	4	0.04	0	0	18:45
28	Ian Cole	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	17:27
57	Nick DeSimone	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	0	1	15:54

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Karel Vejmelka	23	4	19	.826	1.54	-2.46

Vancouver Canucks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
6	Brock Boeser	0	1	1	-3	3	0.21	1	0	19:57
40	Elias Pettersson	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	2	18:58
23	Marco Rossi	1	0	1	-4	3	0.06	0	0	17:53
74	Jake DeBrusk	1	0	1	0	4	0.39	1	0	16:36
92	Liam Ohgren	0	1	1	-1	3	0.04	0	1	16:29
18	Drew O'Connor	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	0	15:58
73	Teddy Blueger	0	1	1	+1	3	0.06	0	1	14:06
94	Linus Karlsson	2	0	2	0	3	0.17	1	0	14:04
63	Max Sasson	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	12:08
54	Aatu Räty	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	7	0	12:04
91	Evander Kane	0	0	0	-2	3	0.13	1	0	11:52
39	Ty Mueller	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	1	09:21
Defense
17	Filip Hronek	0	2	2	-2	10	0.09	2	2	26:59
26	Marcus Pettersson	0	0	0	-2	4	0.01	2	1	21:54
8	Zeev Buium	0	0	0	-3	3	0.09	1	0	20:11
5	Tom Willander	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	1	19:14
90	Victor Mancini	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	13:21
7	Pierre-Olivier Joseph	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	3	1	13:00

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Nikita Tolopilo	24	6	18	.750	2.46	-3.54

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
9 Clayton Keller R	+3.94	+2.95	+0.53	+0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	17:21
11 Dylan Guenther R	+2.26	+1.45	+0.24	+0.59	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:03
67 Lawson Crouse L	+2.02	+1.45	+0.10	+0.39	0.00	+0.01	+0.07	—	15:09
92 Logan Cooley C	+1.66	+1.25	+0.11	+0.31	0.00	-0.04	+0.03	—	14:45
13 Brandon Tanev L	+1.53	+0.70	+0.13	+0.40	+0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	10:32
38 Liam O'Brien C	+1.45	+0.75	+0.25	+0.42	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	10:21
8 Nick Schmaltz C	+1.37	+0.70	+0.31	+0.19	+0.15	-0.03	+0.05	—	19:44
6 John Marino D	+1.25	+0.70	+0.01	+0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:02
88 Nate Schmidt D	+1.06	+0.55	+0.03	+0.49	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:45
57 Nick DeSimone D	+0.97	+0.55	+0.05	+0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:54
82 Kevin Stenlund C	+0.92	0.00	0.00	+0.70	0.00	+0.04	+0.18	—	15:53
56 Kailer Yamamoto R	+0.92	+0.75	+0.09	+0.11	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	11:13
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	+0.89	+0.55	+0.05	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	25:01
28 Ian Cole D	+0.55	+0.55	0.00	+0.32	-0.30	0.00	-0.02	—	17:27
50 Sean Durzi D	+0.31	0.00	+0.06	+0.26	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:31
53 Michael Carcone L	+0.19	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:53
15 Alexander Kerfoot C	+0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	16:00
77 JJ Peterka R	-0.11	0.00	+0.02	+0.04	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	14:00
70 Karel Vejmelka G	-2.46	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.46	60:00

Vancouver Canucks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
94 Linus Karlsson C	+1.56	+1.50	+0.11	-0.19	+0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	14:04
74 Jake DeBrusk L	+1.22	+0.75	+0.25	+0.21	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:36
17 Filip Hronek D	+0.90	+1.40	+0.06	-0.41	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	26:59
53 Teddy Blueger C	+0.88	+0.55	+0.04	+0.35	-0.15	+0.04	+0.05	—	14:06
90 Victor Mancini D	+0.61	+0.70	+0.01	-0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:21
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D	+0.59	+0.70	0.00	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	13:00
63 Max Sasson C	+0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.10	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	12:08
6 Brock Boeser R	+0.10	+0.55	+0.14	-0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:57
40 Elias Pettersson C	+0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.22	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	18:58
93 Marco Rossi C	-0.04	+0.75	+0.04	-0.84	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	17:53
54 Aatu Räty C	-0.08	0.00	+0.10	-0.33	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:04
39 Ty Mueller C	-0.17	0.00	+0.06	-0.24	0.00	-0.03	+0.03	—	9:21
91 Evander Kane L	-0.20	0.00	+0.08	-0.29	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	11:52
92 Liam Ohgren L	-0.22	+0.55	+0.03	-0.86	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	16:29
29 Marcus Pettersson D	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:54
24 Zeev Buium D	-0.59	0.00	+0.06	-0.63	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:11
18 Drew O'Connor L	-0.73	0.00	0.00	-0.72	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	15:58
5 Tom Willander D	-0.78	0.00	+0.01	-0.80	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:14
60 Nikita Tolopilo G	-3.54	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-3.54	58:21

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.