Seattle KrakenSEA 2–6 Final Winnipeg JetsWPG

Monday, April 6, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA	1	0	1	2	24
Winnipeg JetsWPG	1	2	3	6	31

Playoff odds, %	Change
WPG	+2.7
SEA	-0.6
LAK	-0.8
NSH	-0.8

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 6, 2026 6:59 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:17	SEA	Jordan Eberle (25) Matty Beniers (28) · backhand xG 0.20	1–0 ▶
12:39	WPG	Jonathan Toews (10)PP Gabriel Vilardi (35), Josh Morrissey (40) · wrist xG 0.71	1–1 ▶
2nd Period
9:55	WPG	Gabriel Vilardi (29)PP Jonathan Toews (17), Mark Scheifele (61) · snap xG 0.19	1–2 ▶
12:09	WPG	Kyle Connor (37)PP Mark Scheifele (62), Josh Morrissey (41) · slap xG 0.07	1–3 ▶
3rd Period
2:28	SEA	Jared McCann (19) Kaapo Kakko (24) · wrist xG 0.05	2–3 ▶
5:59	WPG	Brad Lambert (3) Adam Lowry (16), Neal Pionk (9) · wrist xG 0.06	2–4 ▶
15:19	WPG	Kyle Connor (38) Mark Scheifele (63), Alex Iafallo (16) · snap xG 0.16	2–5 ▶
17:56	WPG	Vladislav Namestnikov (8)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.52	2–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 29%Deserve to win71% WPG

SEA		WPG
2.90	Expected goals	4.74
2	Goals (no shootout)	6
2.88	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.91
57	Shot attempts	64
46	Unblocked attempts	53
24	Shots on goal	31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
2:10	WPG	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.36–0.27 In xG over 10 minutes, 12:10 of the 1st to 2:10 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
2:31	WPG	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 60–40% SEA had led since 9:17 of the 1st, by as much as 74%
13:20	SEA	Goalie change	Goalie change · Daccord in for Grubauer 13:20 of the 2nd; Grubauer had allowed 3 goals on 18 shots (2.76 xG)
3rd Period
17:21	SEA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 5–2 With 2:39 left; WPG scored at 17:56 of the 3rd (2–6)

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Chandler Stephenson	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	1	18:03
17	Eeli Tolvanen	0	0	0	0	7	0.39	1	1	17:06
74	Bobby McMann	0	0	0	0	8	0.37	2	0	16:52
7	Jordan Eberle	1	0	1	-1	4	0.68	0	0	16:37
71	Jaden Schwartz	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	15:38
10	Matty Beniers	0	1	1	-1	2	0.08	0	0	15:21
89	Frederick Gaudreau	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	0	1	14:41
26	Ryan Winterton	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	3	0	13:38
27	Berkly Catton	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	0	0	12:43
19	Jared McCann	1	0	1	0	3	0.16	0	0	12:36
78	Oscar Fisker Molgaard	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	1	1	12:28
84	Kaapo Kakko	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	12:26
Defense
41	Ryker Evans	0	0	0	+1	5	0.05	0	1	21:49
62	Brandon Montour	0	0	0	-1	5	0.11	2	1	21:38
6	Adam Larsson	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	2	1	19:25
55	Ryan Lindgren	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	19:11
29	Vince Dunn	0	0	0	-2	4	0.05	1	0	19:09
8	Cale Fleury	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	3	18:52

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Philipp Grubauer	18	3	15	.833	2.76	-0.24
Joey Daccord	12	2	10	.833	1.46	-0.54

Winnipeg Jets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
55	Mark Scheifele	0	3	3	+1	7	0.45	0	2	22:44
81	Kyle Connor	2	0	2	+1	7	0.62	2	0	21:30
9	Alex Iafallo	0	0	0	+1	6	0.65	2	0	20:45
13	Gabriel Vilardi	1	1	2	-1	6	0.82	0	0	16:44
91	Cole Perfetti	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	1	0	16:17
17	Adam Lowry	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	4	0	15:24
19	Jonathan Toews	1	1	2	+1	2	0.73	1	0	14:31
62	Nino Niederreiter	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	1	0	11:20
7	Vladislav Namestnikov	1	0	1	0	2	0.52	1	0	11:03
45	Cole Koepke	0	0	0	-1	6	0.16	3	2	10:54
93	Brad Lambert	1	0	1	0	5	0.21	2	1	10:52
27	Isak Rosen	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	2	10:05
Defense
54	Dylan Samberg	0	0	0	+2	3	0.05	1	0	22:42
4	Neal Pionk	0	1	1	+2	3	0.01	5	0	22:15
44	Josh Morrissey	0	2	2	-1	3	0.08	1	0	22:13
2	Dylan DeMelo	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	1	19:53
78	Jacob Bryson	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	15:28
24	Haydn Fleury	0	0	0	0	4	0.07	2	2	15:20

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck	24	2	22	.917	2.90	+0.90

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
7 Jordan Eberle R	+1.02	+0.75	+0.44	-0.16	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:37
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard C	+0.87	0.00	+0.13	+0.75	0.00	-0.04	+0.03	—	12:28
10 Matty Beniers C	+0.86	+0.70	+0.05	+0.20	0.00	-0.05	-0.04	—	15:21
8 Cale Fleury D	+0.76	0.00	+0.02	+0.75	-0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	18:52
26 Ryan Winterton C	+0.71	0.00	+0.15	+0.61	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	13:38
19 Jared McCann L	+0.68	+0.75	+0.10	-0.18	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	12:36
89 Frederick Gaudreau C	+0.67	0.00	+0.07	+0.54	0.00	-0.01	+0.07	—	14:41
84 Kaapo Kakko R	+0.31	+0.70	0.00	-0.39	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:26
41 Ryker Evans D	+0.29	0.00	+0.03	+0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	21:49
29 Vince Dunn D	+0.16	0.00	+0.03	+0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:09
74 Bobby McMann C	+0.07	0.00	+0.24	-0.16	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	16:52
20 Eeli Tolvanen R	-0.02	0.00	+0.25	-0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	17:06
6 Adam Larsson D	-0.06	0.00	+0.04	+0.03	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	19:25
31 Philipp Grubauer G	-0.24	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.24	33:20
17 Jaden Schwartz L	-0.28	0.00	+0.04	-0.31	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	15:38
9 Chandler Stephenson C	-0.28	0.00	+0.13	-0.44	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	18:03
27 Berkly Catton C	-0.38	0.00	+0.04	-0.26	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	12:43
62 Brandon Montour D	-0.49	0.00	+0.07	-0.59	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:38
55 Ryan Lindgren D	-0.54	0.00	+0.04	-0.60	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	19:11
35 Joey Daccord G	-0.54	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.54	26:05

Winnipeg Jets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
55 Mark Scheifele C	+3.30	+1.95	+0.29	+1.00	0.00	-0.02	+0.08	—	22:44
81 Kyle Connor L	+3.00	+1.50	+0.40	+1.12	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:30
19 Jonathan Toews C	+1.97	+1.45	+0.47	0.00	0.00	+0.09	-0.04	—	14:31
9 Alex Iafallo L	+1.60	+0.55	+0.42	+0.64	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:45
13 Gabriel Vilardi C	+1.33	+1.45	+0.53	-0.64	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:44
4 Neal Pionk D	+1.06	+0.55	+0.01	+0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	22:15
37 Connor Hellebuyck G	+0.90	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.90	60:00
93 Brad Lambert C	+0.79	+0.75	+0.14	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	10:52
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C	+0.68	+0.75	+0.34	-0.42	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	11:03
78 Jacob Bryson D	+0.66	0.00	0.00	+0.61	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:28
54 Dylan Samberg D	+0.55	0.00	+0.03	+0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	22:42
24 Haydn Fleury D	+0.53	0.00	+0.04	+0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	15:20
27 Isak Rosen R	+0.46	0.00	+0.07	+0.16	+0.15	-0.02	+0.10	—	10:05
62 Nino Niederreiter R	+0.21	0.00	0.00	-0.07	+0.30	0.00	-0.02	—	11:20
17 Adam Lowry C	+0.20	+0.70	+0.04	-0.58	0.00	+0.06	-0.02	—	15:24
45 Cole Koepke L	+0.17	0.00	+0.10	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	10:54
44 Josh Morrissey D	+0.10	+1.10	+0.05	-1.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	22:13
2 Dylan DeMelo D	-0.79	0.00	+0.01	-0.87	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	19:53
91 Cole Perfetti C	-0.90	0.00	+0.13	-1.01	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:17

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.