| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:06 | |
Justin Sourdif (3) Tom Wilson (10), Martin Fehérváry (6) · wrist xG 0.52 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 2:53 | |
Brandon Hagel (8)SH Anthony Cirelli (6), Erik Cernak (4) · snap xG 0.07 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 5:21 | |
Oliver Bjorkstrand (2)PP Nikita Kucherov (11), Darren Raddysh (7) · snap xG 0.15 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 11:36 | |
Brandon Hagel (9) Nikita Kucherov (12), J.J. Moser (6) · slap xG 0.14 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 18:19 | |
Nikita Kucherov (10) Brandon Hagel (9), Charle-Edouard D'Astous (5) · snap xG 0.25 | 4–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:26 | |
Jakob Chychrun (6) Unassisted · snap xG 0.01 | 4–2 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:24 | |
Ethen Frank (3) Sonny Milano (1), Jakob Chychrun (13) · snap xG 0.09 | 4–3 ▶ |
| 15:51 | |
Anthony Cirelli (8) Brandon Hagel (10), Jake Guentzel (10) · backhand xG 0.19 | 5–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| TBL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.57 | Expected goals | 3.92 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.38 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.80 |
| 39 | Shot attempts | 72 |
| 26 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 16 | Shots on goal | 32 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:36 | WSH | Goalie | Goalie · Thompson −2.2 goals saved
3 goals on 0.78 xG, 5 shots on goal |
| 18:19 | WSH | Goalie change | Goalie change · Lindgren in for Thompson
18:19 of the 1st; Thompson had allowed 4 goals on 6 shots (1.14 xG) |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 13:30 | TBL | No shift | No shift · Kucherov, 25:21 on the bench
No shift after 1:12 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (5:18) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:00 | WSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced TBL 1.21–0.19
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:00 to 13:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 16:56 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Lindgren, down 5–3
With 3:04 left |
| 19:43 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Lindgren, down 5–3
With 0:17 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 20:28 |
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 7 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 19:44 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 19:23 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 18:36 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 2 | 1 | 17:23 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 15:08 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.40 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:06 |
| 21 | Brayden Point | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 |
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 05:18 |
| 42 | Curtis Douglas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 05:02 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 3 | 24:46 |
| 81 | Erik Cernak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 3 | 23:24 |
| 78 | Emil Lilleberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 19:56 |
| 51 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 6 | 18:49 |
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 17:54 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 11:18 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Johansson | 32 | 3 | 29 | .906 | 3.92 | +0.92 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 23:25 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 11 | 0.57 | 4 | 0 | 23:04 |
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.30 | 7 | 0 | 17:50 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 16:49 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 16:17 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 15:38 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 13:32 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.80 | 1 | 1 | 13:32 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 09:45 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 09:17 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 07:14 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10 | 0.66 | 1 | 1 | 25:29 |
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 4 | 25:20 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 18:03 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 2 | 1 | 17:21 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 16:04 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 15:09 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 6 | 4 | 2 | .333 | 1.14 | -2.86 |
| Charlie Lindgren | 10 | 1 | 9 | .900 | 1.01 | +0.01 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +3.14 | +2.90 | +0.19 | +0.18 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 19:44 |
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | +2.20 | +2.15 | +0.28 | -0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:18 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +1.49 | +0.55 | +0.43 | +0.34 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:28 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +1.28 | +1.45 | +0.24 | -0.31 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:06 |
| 31 Jonas Johansson G | +0.92 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.92 | 60:00 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +0.83 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:54 |
| 90 J.J. Moser D | +0.42 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 24:46 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | +0.35 | +0.75 | +0.26 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 12:10 |
| 78 Emil Lilleberg D | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:56 |
| 51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | -0.16 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 | — | 18:49 |
| 17 Dominic James C | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:08 |
| 20 Nick Paul L | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.04 | — | 18:36 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | +0.15 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 19:23 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 11:18 |
| 21 Brayden Point C | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.57 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:29 |
| 42 Curtis Douglas C | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:02 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:06 |
| 81 Erik Cernak D | -0.81 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 23:24 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | -1.07 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -1.13 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.01 | — | 17:23 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +2.22 | +0.75 | +0.52 | +0.77 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:32 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +2.12 | +0.70 | +0.19 | +0.78 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:50 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +2.03 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:04 |
| 74 John Carlson D | +1.71 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 25:20 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +1.64 | +1.30 | +0.43 | +0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 25:29 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | +1.53 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.82 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:17 |
| 53 Ethen Frank C | +1.49 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.78 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:06 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.87 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 9:45 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.51 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:38 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.37 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 23:04 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:17 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 16:49 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:21 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.07 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 13:32 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:09 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 18:03 |
| 79 Charlie Lindgren G | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.01 | 38:50 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 7:14 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 23:25 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | -2.86 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.86 | 18:19 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.