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New York IslandersNYI 3–1 Final New Jersey DevilsNJD

Thursday, February 5, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 012 3 14
New Jersey DevilsNJD 010 1 24
Playoff odds, % Change
NYI +6.6
NJD -1.8
CBJ -1.5
WSH -0.6
PIT -0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Feb 5, 2026 5:15 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
6:30 NYI Casey Cizikas (7) Kyle MacLean (4), Marc Gatcomb (3) · wrist xG 0.32 1–0 ▶
18:26 NJD Nico Hischier (19) Jesper Bratt (28), Jake Allen (1) · wrist xG 0.11 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
16:33 NYI Bo Horvat (24) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.26 2–1 ▶
19:36 NYI Mathew Barzal (17)EN Bo Horvat (16) · wrist xG 0.69 3–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 50%Deserve to win50% NJD
NYINJD
2.76Expected goals2.08
3Goals (no shootout)1
1.90Expected goals, 5 on 51.59
46Shot attempts51
28Unblocked attempts39
14Shots on goal24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
18:07 NJD Deserve to win Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 60–40%
NYI had led since 6:30 of the 2nd, by as much as 63%
3rd Period
17:35 NJD Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Allen, down 2–1
With 2:25 left; NYI scored at 19:36 of the 3rd (3–1)

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots
Jesper Bratt: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:34) Adam Pelech: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:24) Paul Cotter: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 2:34) Jonathan Drouin: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:56) Timo Meier: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:08) Timo Meier: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:41) Johnathan Kovacevic: wrist, 139 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:26) Adam Pelech: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:03) Casey Cizikas: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 6:05) Ondrej Palat: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:38) Emil Heineman: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:00) Dougie Hamilton: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:54) Johnathan Kovacevic: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:17) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:15) Emil Heineman: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:33) Cody Glass: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:59) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:47) Jonas Siegenthaler: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:50) Connor Brown: tip-in, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:00) Anders Lee: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 15:57) Jesper Bratt: backhand, 98 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:02) Dawson Mercer: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 19:09) Tony DeAngelo: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:16) Lenni Hameenaho: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:36) Anders Lee: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:32) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:56) Dawson Mercer: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:31) Adam Pelech: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:13) Casey Cizikas: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:28) Nico Hischier: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:49) Nico Hischier: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 7:50) Nico Hischier: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:09) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:31) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:53) Ryan Pulock: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:24) Arseny Gritsyuk: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:56) Lenni Hameenaho: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:07) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:23) Paul Cotter: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:24) Anders Lee: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:58) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 13:12) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:24) Lenni Hameenaho: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:16) Evgenii Dadonov: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:07) Timo Meier: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:12) Carson Soucy: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:28) Connor Brown: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:47) Connor Brown: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:25) Kyle MacLean: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:54) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:16) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:26) Emil Heineman: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:17) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:35) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:37) Ondrej Palat: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:06) Cody Glass: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:47) Johnathan Kovacevic: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:52) Ondrej Palat: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 11:18) Evgenii Dadonov: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:57) Simon Holmstrom: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 14:15) Anders Lee: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:49) Adam Pelech: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:25) Timo Meier: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:58) Casey Cizikas: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.32 (P2 6:30) Nico Hischier: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 18:26) Bo Horvat: GOAL, backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 16:33) Mathew Barzal: GOAL, wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.69 (P3 19:36)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 112 +1 20.26 3120:50
13 Mathew Barzal 101 +1 20.69 2018:44
81 Ondrej Palat 000 +2 40.21 2317:44
51 Emil Heineman 000 0 30.27 5016:49
92 Jonathan Drouin 000 -1 10.09 0016:13
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 000 0 00.00 1014:44
92 Simon Holmstrom 000 0 30.14 1014:39
72 Anders Lee 000 0 40.25 2014:32
64 Calum Ritchie 000 0 10.00 0213:54
53 Casey Cizikas 101 +1 30.54 0112:05
32 Kyle MacLean 011 +1 10.06 3010:22
17 Marc Gatcomb 011 +1 10.06 2009:20
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 +2 50.00 0024:17
3 Adam Pelech 000 +1 80.06 2022:31
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 0 30.08 0120:32
6 Ryan Pulock 000 +1 20.02 1119:40
24 Scott Mayfield 000 0 10.00 0116:26
7 Carson Soucy 000 0 20.04 1214:38
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 24123 .958 2.08 +1.08

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Nico Hischier 101 -1 60.42 1120:02
91 Dawson Mercer 000 -1 40.23 0119:22
16 Connor Brown 000 -1 30.19 0219:02
28 Timo Meier 000 0 40.15 1018:46
63 Jesper Bratt 011 -1 40.18 1018:44
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 000 -1 10.01 0016:30
33 Evgenii Dadonov 000 0 20.09 0014:41
29 Lenni Hameenaho 000 0 30.14 0014:38
12 Cody Glass 000 0 20.02 0113:34
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 -1 20.06 3010:42
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 000 -1 10.05 0009:18
47 Paul Cotter 000 -1 20.15 4108:37
Defense
7 Dougie Hamilton 000 +1 80.35 0222:47
22 Brett Pesce 000 0 00.00 0219:44
8 Johnathan Kovacevic 000 -2 30.04 1219:18
71 Simon Nemec 000 0 20.00 1219:03
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 -2 20.00 0018:09
5 Brenden Dillon 000 0 20.00 1017:04
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jake Allen 13211 .846 2.07 +0.07

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Casey Cizikas C +1.80 +0.75 +0.35 +0.63 0.00 +0.04 +0.03 — 12:05
14 Bo Horvat C +1.56 +1.45 +0.17 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 +0.03 — 20:50
16 Marc Gatcomb C +1.28 +0.55 +0.04 +0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:20
32 Kyle MacLean C +1.23 +0.70 +0.04 +0.63 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 10:22
3 Adam Pelech D +1.10 0.00 +0.04 +1.03 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 22:31
30 Ilya Sorokin G +1.08 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.08 60:00
13 Mathew Barzal C +1.07 +0.75 +0.45 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:44
77 Tony DeAngelo D +0.76 0.00 +0.05 +0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 20:32
81 Ondrej Palat L +0.41 0.00 +0.13 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:44
64 Calum Ritchie C +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:54
51 Emil Heineman L +0.08 0.00 +0.17 -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:49
10 Simon Holmstrom R +0.07 0.00 +0.09 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:39
27 Anders Lee L 0.00 0.00 +0.16 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:32
24 Scott Mayfield D -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.21 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:26
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 +0.09 -0.04 — 14:44
48 Matthew Schaefer D -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:17
4 Carson Soucy D -0.10 0.00 +0.03 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 14:38
29 Jonathan Drouin L -0.11 0.00 +0.06 -0.11 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 — 16:13
6 Ryan Pulock D -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:40

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Nico Hischier C +0.86 +0.75 +0.28 -0.17 0.00 -0.03 +0.03 — 20:02
17 Simon Nemec D +0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:03
7 Dougie Hamilton D +0.63 0.00 +0.23 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 22:47
34 Jake Allen G +0.62 +0.55 — — 0.00 — — +0.07 57:59
63 Jesper Bratt L +0.60 +0.70 +0.12 -0.19 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 18:44
16 Connor Brown R +0.45 0.00 +0.12 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:02
12 Cody Glass C +0.16 0.00 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 +0.05 — 13:34
91 Dawson Mercer C +0.15 0.00 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 19:22
29 Lenni Hameenaho R +0.11 0.00 +0.09 +0.05 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:38
5 Brenden Dillon D +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:04
22 Brett Pesce D +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 19:44
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R +0.06 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:30
28 Timo Meier R +0.04 0.00 +0.10 +0.16 -0.15 -0.03 -0.04 — 18:46
33 Evgenii Dadonov L -0.12 0.00 +0.06 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:41
47 Paul Cotter L -0.27 0.00 +0.09 -0.55 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 8:37
72 Nick Bjugstad C -0.51 0.00 +0.04 -0.49 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 10:42
42 Maxim Tsyplakov R -0.52 0.00 +0.03 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:18
8 Johnathan Kovacevic D -0.76 0.00 +0.03 -0.89 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:18
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D -1.23 0.00 0.00 -1.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:09

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.