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Philadelphia FlyersPHI 1–3 Final Washington CapitalsWSH

Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 001 1 24
Washington CapitalsWSH 012 3 29
Playoff odds, % Change
WSH +4.6
PHI -2.9
NYI -0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Feb 23, 2026 9:51 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
13:52 WSH Rasmus Sandin (3) Hendrix Lapierre (8), Jakob Chychrun (26) · snap xG 0.18 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
0:29 PHI Noah Cates (11) Travis Sanheim (19), Bobby Brink (12) · tip-in xG 0.12 1–1 ▶
14:08 WSH Trevor van Riemsdyk (2) Declan Chisholm (4), Aliaksei Protas (20) · snap xG 0.23 1–2 ▶
19:34 WSH Aliaksei Protas (20)SHEN Unassisted · snap xG 0.52 1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 43%Deserve to win57% WSH
PHIWSH
2.71Expected goals3.99
1Goals (no shootout)3
2.52Expected goals, 5 on 52.98
49Shot attempts65
34Unblocked attempts45
24Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:41 WSH Deserve to win Deserve to win · WSH takes the lead, 60–40%
PHI had led since 6:30 of the 1st, by as much as 76%
19:51 WSH Goalie Goalie · Thompson +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.12 xG, 18 shots on goal

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WSH shoots
Matvei Michkov: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:47) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:09) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:18) Denver Barkey: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:32) Travis Konecny: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:43) Anthony Beauvillier: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:53) Ethen Frank: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:11) Carl Grundstrom: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:05) Bobby Brink: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:09) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:30) Rasmus Ristolainen: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:31) Carl Grundstrom: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:48) Noah Cates: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 9:31) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:24) Ethen Frank: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:30) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:20) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 14:27) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:31) Owen Tippett: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:31) Brandon Duhaime: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:47) Trevor van Riemsdyk: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:50) Ryan Leonard: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 16:45) Connor McMichael: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:08) Anthony Beauvillier: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:33) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:13) Hendrix Lapierre: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:48) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:13) Ethen Frank: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:43) Hendrix Lapierre: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:08) Matt Roy: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:12) Carl Grundstrom: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:17) Anthony Beauvillier: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:04) Cam York: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:33) Ryan Leonard: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:48) Ryan Leonard: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:55) Connor McMichael: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 5:57) Rasmus Ristolainen: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:06) Matvei Michkov: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:41) Trevor Zegras: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:35) Justin Sourdif: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:12) Martin Fehérváry: slap, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:58) Pierre-Luc Dubois: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 10:04) Owen Tippett: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:14) Trevor van Riemsdyk: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:20) Anthony Beauvillier: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:41) Owen Tippett: wrist, 180 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:50) Owen Tippett: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 13:17) Nic Dowd: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:05) Nic Dowd: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:06) Rasmus Sandin: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:26) Anthony Beauvillier: deflected, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:41) Matt Roy: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:18) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 17:20) Bobby Brink: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 18:38) Cam York: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 18:39) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:12) Trevor Zegras: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:25) Sean Couturier: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 19:51) Ethen Frank: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 1:40) Anthony Beauvillier: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:49) Hendrix Lapierre: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:27) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:10) Dylan Strome: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 5:23) Pierre-Luc Dubois: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:57) Hendrix Lapierre: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 7:53) Rasmus Ristolainen: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:29) Matvei Michkov: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 9:54) Cam York: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:36) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:02) Anthony Beauvillier: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:51) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:19) Cam York: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:32) Travis Konecny: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:12) Noah Cates: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:20) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 140 ft, xG 0.39 (P3 18:29) Rasmus Sandin: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 13:52) Noah Cates: GOAL, tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:29) Trevor van Riemsdyk: GOAL, snap, 9 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 14:08) Aliaksei Protas: GOAL, snap, 79 ft, xG 0.52 (P3 19:34)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Travis Konecny 000 -1 50.11 3121:37
22 Christian Dvorak 000 -1 30.12 0020:10
46 Trevor Zegras 000 -1 20.22 0019:10
14 Sean Couturier 000 -2 20.19 2217:29
74 Owen Tippett 000 -3 40.21 3317:28
39 Matvei Michkov 000 -1 40.35 0016:52
10 Bobby Brink 011 +1 20.35 1016:07
27 Noah Cates 101 +1 30.49 3015:10
86 Denver Barkey 000 -1 10.07 3014:22
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 0 00.00 1009:13
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 0 30.10 2107:43
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 00.00 3007:43
Defense
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 000 -1 40.24 0122:25
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 -1 50.05 1422:20
6 Travis Sanheim 011 -1 40.00 1221:59
8 Cam York 000 0 40.21 0119:50
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 20.00 0415:29
47 Noah Juulsen 000 0 10.00 3015:08
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 28226 .929 3.09 +1.09

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 +1 70.34 2117:25
53 Ethen Frank 000 0 40.40 3317:07
9 Ryan Leonard 000 0 50.67 1117:07
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois 000 +1 50.20 1116:57
77 Connor McMichael 000 0 30.32 1116:09
21 Aliaksei Protas 112 +1 20.52 1015:44
34 Justin Sourdif 000 0 10.12 2015:35
17 Dylan Strome 000 0 10.10 0014:40
8 Alex Ovechkin 000 0 40.24 1013:22
26 Nic Dowd 000 0 40.06 2013:05
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 +1 30.17 1012:41
22 Hendrix Lapierre 011 +1 40.22 0108:51
Defense
6 Jakob Chychrun 011 +1 60.06 1024:14
3 Matt Roy 000 +1 20.02 3121:04
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 0 40.00 5220:34
38 Rasmus Sandin 101 +1 20.30 1120:01
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 101 0 50.25 0217:27
47 Declan Chisholm 011 +1 30.00 0015:08
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Logan Thompson 24123 .958 2.71 +1.71

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 Bobby Brink R +1.97 +0.55 +0.23 +1.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:07
27 Noah Cates L +1.59 +0.75 +0.32 +0.41 +0.15 -0.04 0.00 — 15:10
39 Matvei Michkov R +1.16 0.00 +0.23 +0.95 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:52
80 Dan Vladar G +1.09 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.09 57:45
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.91 0.00 +0.04 +0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 22:20
8 Cam York D +0.76 0.00 +0.14 +0.74 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 19:50
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.28 0.00 +0.08 +0.21 0.00 +0.03 -0.04 — 20:10
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.05 +0.70 0.00 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:59
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 7:43
52 Denver Barkey C -0.25 0.00 +0.04 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:22
91 Carl Grundstrom R -0.25 0.00 +0.07 -0.34 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 7:43
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D -0.35 0.00 +0.16 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:25
46 Trevor Zegras C -0.51 0.00 +0.14 -0.62 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 19:10
29 Nikita Grebenkin R -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:13
47 Noah Juulsen D -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:08
24 Nick Seeler D -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 15:29
14 Sean Couturier C -0.67 0.00 +0.12 -0.91 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 17:29
74 Owen Tippett R -0.85 0.00 +0.14 -1.11 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 17:28
11 Travis Konecny R -0.85 0.00 +0.07 -0.95 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:37

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Logan Thompson G +1.71 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.71 60:00
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D +1.62 +0.75 +0.16 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:27
38 Rasmus Sandin D +1.47 +0.75 +0.20 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:01
47 Declan Chisholm D +1.42 +0.70 0.00 +0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:08
29 Hendrix Lapierre C +1.28 +0.70 +0.14 +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:51
21 Aliaksei Protas C +1.05 +1.30 +0.34 -0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:44
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois L +0.99 0.00 +0.13 +0.71 +0.15 -0.04 +0.05 — 16:57
24 Connor McMichael C +0.96 0.00 +0.21 +0.71 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 16:09
53 Ethen Frank C +0.89 0.00 +0.26 +0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:07
9 Ryan Leonard R +0.74 0.00 +0.43 +0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 17:07
22 Brandon Duhaime R +0.63 0.00 +0.11 +0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:41
6 Jakob Chychrun D +0.55 +0.55 +0.04 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 24:14
72 Anthony Beauvillier L +0.38 0.00 +0.22 +0.11 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 17:25
34 Justin Sourdif R +0.33 0.00 +0.08 +0.26 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 15:35
26 Nic Dowd C +0.09 0.00 +0.04 +0.18 -0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 13:05
42 Martin Fehérváry D -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 20:34
3 Matt Roy D -0.28 0.00 +0.01 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 21:04
17 Dylan Strome C -0.43 0.00 +0.07 -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:40
8 Alex Ovechkin L -0.60 0.00 +0.16 -0.61 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:22

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.