Edmonton OilersEDM 5–6 Final Anaheim DucksANA

Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM	2	2	1	5	27
Anaheim DucksANA	1	1	4	6	29

Playoff odds, %	Change
EDM	-5.8
ANA	+3.8
SJS	+0.6
LAK	+0.5
SEA	+0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Feb 23, 2026 9:51 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:13	EDM	Jack Roslovic (16) Matt Savoie (10), Darnell Nurse (12) · snap xG 0.14	1–0 ▶
9:03	EDM	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (14) Connor McDavid (63), Matt Savoie (11) · snap xG 0.22	2–0 ▶
10:30	ANA	Ian Moore (3) Jansen Harkins (3), Ross Johnston (11) · slap xG 0.05	2–1 ▶
2nd Period
3:01	ANA	Alex Killorn (8)PP Leo Carlsson (27), Mason McTavish (18) · wrist xG 0.32	2–2 ▶
18:45	EDM	Zach Hyman (23) Mattias Ekholm (22), Evan Bouchard (49) · tip-in xG 0.10	3–2 ▶
19:20	EDM	Evan Bouchard (16) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (33), Connor McDavid (64) · wrist xG 0.09	4–2 ▶
3rd Period
1:30	ANA	Leo Carlsson (19) Jacob Trouba (17), Chris Kreider (12) · wrist xG 0.05	4–3 ▶
2:55	ANA	Olen Zellweger (7) Radko Gudas (10), Troy Terry (32) · snap xG 0.01	4–4 ▶
5:53	EDM	Matt Savoie (10)PP Vasily Podkolzin (14), Mattias Ekholm (23) · wrist xG 0.52	5–4 ▶
6:39	ANA	Beckett Sennecke (19) Jackson LaCombe (32) · snap xG 0.18	5–5 ▶
18:46	ANA	Cutter Gauthier (26) Leo Carlsson (28), Chris Kreider (13) · wrist xG 0.13	5–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 68%Deserve to win32% ANA

EDM		ANA
4.24	Expected goals	3.08
5	Goals (no shootout)	6
3.25	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.43
62	Shot attempts	54
47	Unblocked attempts	42
27	Shots on goal	29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
13:53	ANA	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · ANA takes the lead, 60–40% EDM had led since 9:03 of the 1st, by as much as 69%
2nd Period
11:30	EDM	No shift	No shift · Janmark, 33:41 on the bench No shift after 18:14 of the 1st; 5 shifts (2:30) before that
3rd Period
4:06	EDM	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 61–39% ANA had led since 13:53 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
6:00	EDM	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced ANA 1.53–0.18 In xG over 10 minutes, 16:30 of the 2nd to 6:30 of the 3rd; goals 3–2
6:39	EDM	Goalie	Goalie · Jarry −2.4 goals saved 5 goals on 2.61 xG, 25 shots on goal
6:39	EDM	Goalie change	Goalie change · Ingram in for Jarry 6:39 of the 3rd; Jarry had allowed 5 goals on 25 shots (2.61 xG)
19:53	EDM	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Ingram, down 6–5 With 0:07 left

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ ANA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Zach Hyman	1	0	1	+1	5	0.53	1	0	22:17
97	Connor McDavid	0	2	2	+2	4	0.38	1	0	22:02
29	Leon Draisaitl	0	0	0	-2	6	0.20	1	0	20:35
93	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	1	1	2	+1	5	0.54	0	0	20:12
22	Matt Savoie	1	2	3	0	5	0.78	0	1	16:28
96	Jack Roslovic	1	0	1	-2	2	0.19	1	0	15:28
19	Adam Henrique	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	12:42
92	Vasily Podkolzin	0	1	1	-1	6	0.48	3	0	12:18
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	6	0	11:14
26	Andrew Mangiapane	0	0	0	0	5	0.27	2	0	10:16
20	Curtis Lazar	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	1	10:13
13	Mattias Janmark	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	02:30
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	1	1	2	+2	5	0.36	0	1	22:16
25	Darnell Nurse	0	1	1	-3	2	0.00	0	2	21:24
96	Jake Walman	0	0	0	-2	3	0.04	0	3	21:18
14	Mattias Ekholm	0	2	2	+1	6	0.06	2	3	19:30
24	Spencer Stastney	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	16:51
49	Ty Emberson	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	2	0	15:34

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Tristan Jarry	25	5	20	.800	2.61	-2.39
Connor Ingram	4	1	3	.750	0.47	-0.53

Anaheim Ducks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
17	Alex Killorn	1	0	1	-2	7	0.62	0	0	22:14
83	Mason McTavish	0	1	1	+2	5	0.36	1	0	19:06
25	Ryan Poehling	0	0	0	-2	3	0.12	0	0	17:53
91	Leo Carlsson	1	2	3	0	5	0.30	1	1	17:01
45	Beckett Sennecke	1	0	1	-1	3	0.37	4	1	16:27
22	Chris Kreider	0	2	2	+1	3	0.19	0	0	15:36
61	Cutter Gauthier	1	0	1	+1	4	0.41	0	0	15:15
19	Troy Terry	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0	0	13:52
25	Jeffrey Viel	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	0	12:18
42	Tim Washe	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	11:35
10	Jansen Harkins	0	1	1	+1	3	0.07	1	1	11:34
49	Ross Johnston	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	4	1	09:55
Defense
2	Jackson LaCombe	0	1	1	+2	2	0.01	2	1	22:27
98	Pavel Mintyukov	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	0	2	20:21
65	Jacob Trouba	0	1	1	+1	6	0.36	3	1	19:58
3	Ian Moore	1	0	1	0	4	0.11	0	4	19:21
8	Olen Zellweger	1	0	1	0	2	0.05	0	1	16:47
6	Radko Gudas	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	2	1	14:23

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Lukas Dostal	27	5	22	.815	4.24	-0.76

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
22 Matt Savoie C	+3.21	+2.00	+0.51	+0.62	0.00	0.00	+0.09	—	16:28
2 Evan Bouchard D	+2.88	+1.30	+0.23	+1.30	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:16
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	+2.78	+1.45	+0.35	+1.00	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:12
97 Connor McDavid C	+2.71	+1.25	+0.25	+1.25	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	22:02
14 Mattias Ekholm D	+2.06	+1.25	+0.04	+0.77	-0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	19:30
18 Zach Hyman L	+1.95	+0.75	+0.34	+0.88	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	22:17
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	+1.27	+0.70	+0.31	+0.27	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:18
28 Jack Roslovic C	+0.97	+0.75	+0.12	+0.28	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:28
25 Darnell Nurse D	+0.72	+0.55	0.00	+0.13	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	21:24
96 Jake Walman D	+0.61	0.00	+0.02	+0.30	+0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	21:18
29 Leon Draisaitl C	+0.59	0.00	+0.13	+0.45	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	20:35
49 Ty Emberson D	+0.55	0.00	+0.03	+0.67	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	15:34
88 Andrew Mangiapane L	+0.52	0.00	+0.17	+0.35	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:16
24 Spencer Stastney D	+0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.53	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:51
10 Trent Frederic C	+0.46	0.00	+0.17	+0.28	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	11:14
20 Curtis Lazar C	+0.10	0.00	+0.02	-0.02	0.00	+0.05	+0.05	—	10:13
19 Adam Henrique C	+0.09	0.00	+0.05	+0.18	-0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	12:42
13 Mattias Janmark C	+0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	2:30
39 Connor Ingram G	-0.53	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.53	12:41
35 Tristan Jarry G	-2.39	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.39	46:39

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
91 Leo Carlsson C	+1.81	+2.15	+0.20	-0.50	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	—	17:01
65 Jacob Trouba D	+1.12	+0.70	+0.23	+0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:58
2 Jackson LaCombe D	+0.94	+0.70	+0.01	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:27
20 Chris Kreider L	+0.86	+1.10	+0.12	-0.32	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	15:36
45 Beckett Sennecke R	+0.65	+0.75	+0.24	-0.52	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	16:27
23 Mason McTavish C	+0.54	+0.55	+0.23	-0.32	+0.15	-0.05	-0.02	—	19:06
61 Cutter Gauthier L	+0.54	+0.75	+0.27	-0.34	-0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	15:15
44 Ross Johnston L	+0.41	+0.55	0.00	-0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:55
17 Alex Killorn L	+0.36	+0.75	+0.40	-0.91	+0.15	-0.02	-0.02	—	22:14
24 Jansen Harkins C	+0.19	+0.70	+0.04	-0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	11:34
7 Radko Gudas D	+0.13	+0.70	+0.01	-0.63	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:23
19 Troy Terry R	+0.12	+0.55	0.00	-0.43	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:52
51 Olen Zellweger D	+0.06	+0.75	+0.03	-0.73	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	16:47
42 Tim Washe C	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.31	0.00	+0.03	+0.05	—	11:35
28 Jeffrey Viel L	-0.32	0.00	+0.04	-0.53	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	12:18
74 Ian Moore D	-0.58	+0.75	+0.07	-1.45	-0.15	0.00	+0.20	—	19:21
25 Ryan Poehling C	-0.69	0.00	+0.08	-0.72	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	—	17:53
1 Lukas Dostal G	-0.76	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.76	60:00
98 Pavel Mintyukov D	-0.89	0.00	+0.03	-1.11	+0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	20:21

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.