| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | |
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 40 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:27 | Pavel Zacha (17)PP Morgan Geekie (23), Charlie McAvoy (39) · snap xG 0.11 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 8:47 | Pavel Zacha (18) Viktor Arvidsson (16), Jonathan Aspirot (7) · backhand xG 0.07 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 12:23 | David Pastrnak (23) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.13 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 14:44 | Egor Chinakhov (14)PP Rickard Rakell (16), Erik Karlsson (35) · wrist xG 0.11 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:02 | Connor Dewar (14) Ryan Shea (21) · backhand xG 0.06 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 6:35 | Anthony Mantha (22) Tommy Novak (22), Ilya Solovyov (6) · backhand xG 0.10 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 8:34 | Pavel Zacha (19) Viktor Arvidsson (17), Jonathan Aspirot (8) · wrist xG 0.13 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 11:18 | Anthony Mantha (23) Parker Wotherspoon (17), Erik Karlsson (36) · backhand xG 0.03 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 0:17 | Tommy Novak (14) Unassisted · snap xG 0.21 | 4–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.52 | Expected goals | 3.48 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.64 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.66 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 57 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 40 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:17 | BOS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 62–38%
PIT had led since 5:05 of the 1st, by as much as 66% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 17:47 | PIT | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · PIT takes the lead, 62–38%
BOS had led since 14:17 of the 1st, by as much as 63% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:40 | BOS | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Kuraly and Kastelic: no shift after 6:35 of the 3rd |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 21:25 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 19:35 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 1 | 1 | 19:08 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 14:34 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 13:11 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 11:51 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 11:03 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 3 | 1 | 09:37 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:37 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 9 | 0.34 | 1 | 3 | 24:26 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 22:03 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 2 | 2 | 20:03 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.24 | 1 | 2 | 18:24 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 16:34 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 14:25 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo | 40 | 5 | 35 | .875 | 3.48 | -1.52 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 19:12 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 |
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 15:56 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.44 | 1 | 1 | 15:52 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 0.26 | 4 | 1 | 15:49 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 15:14 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.33 | 2 | 1 | 14:59 |
| 41 | Ville Koivunen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 11:47 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 10:21 |
| 85 | Avery Hayes | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 09:34 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 24:20 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 3 | 1 | 21:19 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.03 | 4 | 1 | 20:47 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 19:52 |
| 49 | Samuel Girard | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 18:04 |
| 7 | Ilya Solovyov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 28 | 4 | 24 | .857 | 2.52 | -1.48 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +2.37 | +2.25 | +0.30 | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 16:59 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +1.76 | +1.40 | +0.13 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:34 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +0.57 | +0.55 | +0.22 | -0.42 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 24:26 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.53 | +1.10 | 0.00 | -0.45 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:25 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.37 | +0.70 | +0.13 | -0.49 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:08 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +0.35 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:25 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:21 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:00 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.25 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:35 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:37 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.47 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:11 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:51 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:04 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:37 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 11:03 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:37 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 17:56 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:02 |
| 70 Joonas Korpisalo G | -1.52 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.52 | 60:17 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | +2.51 | +1.10 | +0.37 | +0.84 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 24:20 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +2.39 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:48 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +1.74 | +1.45 | +0.13 | +0.20 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:23 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | +1.31 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +1.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 15:52 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +1.30 | +1.50 | +0.08 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:14 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | +1.29 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.64 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:19 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +1.17 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 14:59 |
| 49 Samuel Girard D | +1.11 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:04 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +1.07 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.28 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:18 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | +1.01 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 15:56 |
| 7 Ilya Solovyov D | +0.83 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 14:12 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | +0.50 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:52 |
| 41 Ville Koivunen R | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:04 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:12 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.31 | +0.15 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 11:47 |
| 85 Avery Hayes R | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.31 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 9:34 |
| 25 Elmer Soderblom L | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:21 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:47 |
| 37 Arturs Silovs G | -1.48 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.48 | 60:17 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.