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Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1–2 Final Montréal CanadiensMTL

Thursday, March 26, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 100 1 26
Montréal CanadiensMTL 101 2 20
Playoff odds, % Change
CBJ -4.7
MTL +3.3
NYI +0.9
DET -0.7
PIT +0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 26, 2026 6:17 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:54 MTL Jayden Struble (1) Zachary Bolduc (17), Lane Hutson (59) · snap xG 0.09 0–1 ▶
12:17 CBJ Damon Severson (8) Boone Jenner (23), Isac Lundeström (7) · slap xG 0.13 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
4:36 MTL Zachary Bolduc (11) Jake Evans (11), Mike Matheson (28) · snap xG 0.15 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 63%Deserve to win37% MTL
CBJMTL
2.97Expected goals2.25
1Goals (no shootout)2
2.58Expected goals, 5 on 51.24
62Shot attempts41
44Unblocked attempts31
26Shots on goal20

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
18:38 CBJ Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Greaves, down 2–1
With 1:22 left

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MTL shoots
Adam Fantilli: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:10) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 1:12) Mason Marchment: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:13) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:27) Denton Mateychuk: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:34) Josh Anderson: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:56) Adam Fantilli: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:08) Damon Severson: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:03) Ivan Provorov: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:32) Erik Gudbranson: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:18) Zach Werenski: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:10) Nick Suzuki: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:48) Cole Caufield: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:56) Damon Severson: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 10:40) Adam Fantilli: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:47) Conor Garland: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:09) Adam Fantilli: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:15) Boone Jenner: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:40) Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:38) Mathieu Olivier: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:55) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:07) Alex Newhook: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 17:48) Kaiden Guhle: snap, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:39) Cole Caufield: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.32 (P1 18:57) Noah Dobson: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:43) Noah Dobson: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:15) Mike Matheson: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:28) Lane Hutson: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:33) Zach Werenski: backhand, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:57) Nick Suzuki: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:19) Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 110 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:25) Miles Wood: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 5:35) Mike Matheson: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:54) Zachary Bolduc: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:32) Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:00) Zach Werenski: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:55) Danton Heinen: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:41) Lane Hutson: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:53) Phillip Danault: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:25) Brendan Gallagher: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:29) Erik Gudbranson: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:22) Adam Fantilli: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:58) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:54) Cole Caufield: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 15:43) Alex Newhook: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:21) Mathieu Olivier: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:53) Mathieu Olivier: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 16:58) Mason Marchment: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 17:48) Jayden Struble: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:26) Zach Werenski: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:41) Ivan Provorov: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:28) Conor Garland: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:18) Kaiden Guhle: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:18) Mike Matheson: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:28) Mike Matheson: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:33) Mason Marchment: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:45) Mason Marchment: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:04) Adam Fantilli: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:05) Danton Heinen: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:11) Mike Matheson: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:57) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:55) Erik Gudbranson: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:04) Boone Jenner: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 14:38) Lane Hutson: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 16:01) Cole Caufield: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 16:33) Cole Caufield: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.34 (P3 16:35) Noah Dobson: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:42) Sean Monahan: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 18:05) Conor Garland: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:10) Sean Monahan: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:11) Adam Fantilli: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:22) Mason Marchment: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:23) Jayden Struble: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:54) Damon Severson: GOAL, slap, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 12:17) Zachary Bolduc: GOAL, snap, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 4:36)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Kirill Marchenko 000 0 60.40 0118:47
23 Sean Monahan 000 -1 30.15 0018:45
27 Mason Marchment 000 0 60.42 2018:36
19 Adam Fantilli 000 0 70.40 8018:35
3 Charlie Coyle 000 -1 20.16 1015:20
83 Conor Garland 000 -1 30.09 1014:43
22 Boone Jenner 011 +1 20.26 3013:53
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 -1 50.16 2012:47
58 Danton Heinen 000 -1 20.04 1012:33
21 Isac Lundeström 011 +1 20.00 0012:12
4 Cole Sillinger 000 -1 20.00 2011:49
18 Miles Wood 000 +1 10.19 3108:47
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 000 0 60.17 0127:21
9 Ivan Provorov 000 -2 50.06 0321:34
78 Damon Severson 101 +1 30.40 0021:23
44 Erik Gudbranson 000 +1 30.06 3020:36
15 Dante Fabbro 000 -2 10.00 1115:04
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 0 30.01 0112:37
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 20218 .900 2.25 +0.25

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 000 0 40.02 0019:38
20 Juraj Slafkovský 000 0 30.11 1119:24
71 Jake Evans 011 +2 10.00 2118:56
13 Cole Caufield 000 0 71.06 1017:48
93 Ivan Demidov 000 0 00.00 1017:15
15 Alex Newhook 000 0 20.17 1016:36
17 Josh Anderson 000 +2 10.14 3016:12
91 Oliver Kapanen 000 0 10.01 0015:22
76 Zachary Bolduc 112 +2 20.20 3113:51
24 Phillip Danault 000 -1 10.07 1009:40
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 -1 20.04 1008:15
90 Joseph Veleno 000 -1 00.00 3007:00
Defense
53 Noah Dobson 000 0 40.06 1324:45
8 Mike Matheson 011 +1 50.04 0421:24
21 Kaiden Guhle 000 0 20.01 3320:50
48 Lane Hutson 011 0 30.17 0319:45
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 0 00.00 1117:18
3 Jayden Struble 101 +1 30.18 2012:05
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jakub Dobes 26125 .962 2.97 +1.97

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
78 Damon Severson D +2.07 +0.75 +0.26 +1.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:23
19 Adam Fantilli C +1.68 0.00 +0.26 +1.44 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 18:35
17 Mason Marchment L +1.47 0.00 +0.27 +1.24 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:36
86 Kirill Marchenko R +1.24 0.00 +0.26 +0.79 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 18:47
44 Erik Gudbranson D +1.21 0.00 +0.04 +1.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:36
38 Boone Jenner C +1.09 +0.70 +0.17 +0.38 -0.15 +0.03 -0.04 — 13:53
21 Isac Lundeström C +0.90 +0.55 0.00 +0.36 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:12
8 Zach Werenski D +0.70 0.00 +0.11 +0.71 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 27:21
11 Miles Wood L +0.52 0.00 +0.12 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 8:47
5 Denton Mateychuk D +0.44 0.00 +0.01 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:37
24 Mathieu Olivier R +0.36 0.00 +0.10 +0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:47
73 Jet Greaves G +0.25 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.25 58:38
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.17 0.00 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:34
83 Conor Garland R -0.01 0.00 +0.06 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:43
4 Cole Sillinger C -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:49
23 Sean Monahan C -0.02 0.00 +0.10 -0.06 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 — 18:45
3 Charlie Coyle C -0.27 0.00 +0.11 -0.39 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:20
43 Danton Heinen L -0.28 0.00 +0.03 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:33
15 Dante Fabbro D -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:04

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
75 Jakub Dobes G +2.12 0.00 — — +0.15 — — +1.97 60:00
76 Zachary Bolduc R +2.06 +1.45 +0.13 +0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:51
47 Jayden Struble D +1.02 +0.75 +0.11 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:05
71 Jake Evans C +0.49 +0.70 0.00 -0.23 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 18:56
17 Josh Anderson R +0.46 0.00 +0.09 +0.22 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:12
13 Cole Caufield R +0.38 0.00 +0.69 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:48
48 Lane Hutson D +0.24 +0.55 +0.11 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 19:45
21 Kaiden Guhle D +0.01 0.00 +0.01 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 20:50
8 Mike Matheson D -0.01 +0.55 +0.03 -0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 21:24
14 Nick Suzuki C -0.22 0.00 +0.01 -0.27 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 19:38
45 Alexandre Carrier D -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:18
90 Joseph Veleno C -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:00
11 Brendan Gallagher R -0.42 0.00 +0.03 -0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:15
93 Ivan Demidov R -0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:15
91 Oliver Kapanen C -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 15:22
15 Alex Newhook C -0.57 0.00 +0.11 -0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:32
20 Juraj Slafkovský L -0.60 0.00 +0.07 -0.56 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 19:24
24 Phillip Danault C -0.73 0.00 +0.04 -0.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:40
53 Noah Dobson D -0.91 0.00 +0.04 -1.08 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 24:45

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.